Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 08/08, 16:00

Prediction: Skövde AIK vs Lunds BK

Team pages: Skövde AIK · Lunds BK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.32Total

Skövde AIK1.44

Lunds BK1.88

1X2

29% 24% 47%

Skövde AIK Draw Lunds BK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Skövde AIK 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WDLWLWLDLL

Lunds BK 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DLWWWDLDWD

Head-to-head

Skövde AIK 4–2 Lunds BK (6 last)

Lunds BK2-1Skövde AIK
Skövde AIK1-0Lunds BK
Lunds BK3-0Skövde AIK
Lunds BK1-5Skövde AIK
Skövde AIK1-0Lunds BK
Skövde AIK2-0Lunds BK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Skövde AIK 1481 · Lunds BK 1524

	Skövde AIK	Draw	Lunds BK
Our model	29%	24%	47%
Market	29%	24%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 3.32 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lunds BK (rating 1481 vs 1524).
H2H favours Skövde AIK: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Skövde AIK	Lunds BK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.3	2.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.3	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/10/70%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4	2.7 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0	2.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.75

21.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.85

2 (-0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
18:12 +41’	3.10	3.75	1.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Skövde AIK 4–0–2 Lunds BK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/06/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	Lunds BK	2-1 HT 2-0	Skövde AIK
11/10/25 Sweden 1.div Södra	Skövde AIK	1-0 HT 1-0	Lunds BK
19/06/25 Sweden 1.div Södra	Lunds BK	3-0 HT 1-0	Skövde AIK
02/10/21 Sweden 1.div Södra	Lunds BK	1-5 HT 1-2	Skövde AIK
24/06/21 Sweden 1.div Södra	Skövde AIK	1-0 HT 0-0	Lunds BK
11/10/20 Sweden 1.div Södra	Skövde AIK	2-0 HT 2-0	Lunds BK

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	15	9	6	0	35	14	33
2	Ariana FC Malmo	15	8	4	3	30	18	28
3	Lunds BK	15	7	6	2	28	18	27
4	Atvidabergs FF	15	7	5	3	30	20	26
5	FC Rosengård 1917	15	7	4	4	27	21	25
6	Hässleholms IF	15	7	3	5	29	22	24
7	BK Olympic	15	7	1	7	25	25	22
8	Tvååkers IF	15	6	4	5	19	21	22
9	Eskilsminne IF	15	6	2	7	25	28	20
10	Jonkopings Sodra	15	5	3	7	22	19	18
11	Angelholm	15	3	8	4	24	24	17
12	FC Trollhättan	15	3	7	5	19	26	16
13	Skövde AIK	15	3	7	5	12	23	16
14	Kristianstad FC	15	3	5	7	16	24	14
15	Laholms FK	15	4	1	10	21	30	13
16	Utsiktens BK	15	1	2	12	12	41	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Skövde AIK	Lunds BK
BK Olympic	1-3 L	3-1 W
Trelleborgs FF	0-4 L	2-2 D
Jonkopings Sodra	1-0 W	0-0 D
Ariana FC Malmo	0-4 L	1-4 L
Eskilsminne IF	1-1 D	4-2 W
Utsiktens BK	3-2 W	5-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Lunds BK (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Skövde AIK

WDLWLWLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	0-3	1-3	7	3	L
27/06	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-2	1-2	3	4	L
18/06	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	2-2	4	2	D
14/06	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-3	4	3	L
10/06	Lidköpings FK Sweden Cup	1-2	3-2	4	1	W
07/06	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-4	3	1	L
01/06	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
23/05	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	0-2	0-4	2	1	L
17/05	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-1	3	2	D
13/05	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	2-1	3-2	7	2	W

Lunds BK

DLWWWDLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	2-2	4	4	D
27/06	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	2-1	8	4	W
18/06	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
12/06	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	0-3	1-4	10	1	L
07/06	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	1-1	13	1	D
03/06	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	3-1	6	1	W
22/05	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	4-2	4	3	W
17/05	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	5-0	3	0	W
13/05	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	2-1	3-4	3	5	L
09/05	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-1	2	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Skövde AIK vs Lunds BK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Lunds BK win (47%). Probabilities: Skövde AIK 29%, draw 24%, Lunds BK 47%.

How many goals are expected in Skövde AIK vs Lunds BK?

The model expects 3.32 goals (Skövde AIK 1.44 · Lunds BK 1.88), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Skövde AIK vs Lunds BK?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.