Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 16/08, 16:00

Prediction: Atvidabergs FF vs Skövde AIK

Team pages: Atvidabergs FF · Skövde AIK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.29Total

Atvidabergs FF2.25

Skövde AIK1.04

1X2

64% 21% 15%

Atvidabergs FF Draw Skövde AIK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Atvidabergs FF 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DWWDDWWDLW

Skövde AIK 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLWLWLDLLD

Head-to-head

Atvidabergs FF 0–2–4 Skövde AIK (6 last)

Skövde AIK0-0Atvidabergs FF
Skövde AIK1-1Atvidabergs FF
Atvidabergs FF0-2Skövde AIK
Atvidabergs FF0-1Skövde AIK
Skövde AIK4-0Atvidabergs FF
Skövde AIK1-0Atvidabergs FF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atvidabergs FF 1553 · Skövde AIK 1462

	Atvidabergs FF	Draw	Skövde AIK
Our model	64%	21%	15%
Market	64%	21%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 3.29 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atvidabergs FF (rating 1553 vs 1462).
H2H favours Skövde AIK: 4-2-0.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Atvidabergs FF	Skövde AIK
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.6	1 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.6	0.2 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/10/30%	10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 7.2	1.8 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.1	2.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.33

25.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.93

2 (+1.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 10:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.40▼	Bet365 1.40
X	4.10 → 4.33▲	Pinn 4.71 ★
2	5.00 → 5.75▲	Pinn 6.10

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
21:41 +7’	1.50	4.10	5.00
15:26 +11’	1.53▲	4.10	4.75▼
22:58 +6’	1.30▼	4.75▲	7.00▲
03:42 +5’	1.44▲	4.33▼	5.50▼
10:00 +3’	1.40▼	4.33	5.75▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:37	1.52	4.24	5.02
23:04	1.41▼	4.62▲	5.98▲
09:59 +4’	1.40▼	4.71▲	6.10▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3

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Both teams to score

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We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Atvidabergs FF 0–2–4 Skövde AIK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	Skövde AIK	0-0 HT 0-0	Atvidabergs FF
13/11/21 Sweden 1.div Södra	Skövde AIK	1-1 HT 1-1	Atvidabergs FF
08/05/21 Sweden 1.div Södra	Atvidabergs FF	0-2 HT 0-1	Skövde AIK
17/08/19 Sweden 1.div Södra	Atvidabergs FF	0-1 HT 0-1	Skövde AIK
20/06/19 Sweden 1.div Södra	Skövde AIK	4-0 HT 4-0	Atvidabergs FF
14/07/18 Sweden 1.div Södra	Skövde AIK	1-0 HT 0-0	Atvidabergs FF

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	16	10	6	0	37	15	36
2	Hässleholms IF	17	9	3	5	34	22	30
3	Atvidabergs FF	16	8	5	3	32	21	29
4	Ariana FC Malmo	16	8	4	4	31	20	28
5	Lunds BK	17	7	7	3	29	22	28
6	FC Rosengård 1917	16	7	5	4	27	21	26
7	BK Olympic	16	7	1	8	25	27	22
8	Tvååkers IF	16	6	4	6	20	23	22
9	Jonkopings Sodra	16	6	3	7	24	19	21
10	Eskilsminne IF	16	6	3	7	25	28	21
11	Angelholm	16	3	8	5	24	25	17
12	Kristianstad FC	16	4	5	7	17	24	17
13	Skövde AIK	16	3	8	5	13	24	17
14	Laholms FK	16	5	1	10	22	30	16
15	FC Trollhättan	16	3	7	6	19	27	16
16	Utsiktens BK	16	1	2	13	12	43	5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Atvidabergs FF	Skövde AIK
Hässleholms IF	0-2 L	2-2 D
FC Rosengård 1917	3-3 D	0-3 L
Eskilsminne IF	4-0 W	1-1 D
BK Olympic	3-2 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Atvidabergs FF (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Atvidabergs FF

DWWDDWWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	2-1	13	5	W
01/08	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-2	16	3	L
27/06	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	3-2	3-3	4	3	D
17/06	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	3-0	6	0	W
13/06	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	3-0	4-0	2	3	W
07/06	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	2-2	10	4	D
30/05	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	1-2	3-3	5	2	D
24/05	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	3-1	8	2	W
17/05	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	3-2	2	5	W
14/05	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	2-2	6	2	D

Skövde AIK

DLWLWLDLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
01/08	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	0-3	1-3	7	3	L
27/06	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-2	1-2	3	4	L
18/06	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	2-2	4	2	D
14/06	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-3	4	3	L
10/06	Lidköpings FK Sweden Cup	1-2	3-2	4	1	W
07/06	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-4	3	1	L
01/06	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
23/05	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	0-2	0-4	2	1	L
17/05	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-1	3	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atvidabergs FF vs Skövde AIK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Atvidabergs FF win (64%). Probabilities: Atvidabergs FF 64%, draw 21%, Skövde AIK 15%.

How many goals are expected in Atvidabergs FF vs Skövde AIK?

The model expects 3.29 goals (Atvidabergs FF 2.25 · Skövde AIK 1.04), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Atvidabergs FF vs Skövde AIK?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.