Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 07/11, 15:00

Prediction: Jonkopings Sodra vs Trelleborgs FF

Team pages: Jonkopings Sodra · Trelleborgs FF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.84Total

Jonkopings Sodra1.31

Trelleborgs FF1.52

1X2

33% 25% 42%

Jonkopings Sodra Draw Trelleborgs FF

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Jonkopings Sodra 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LDWWLLLWWL

Trelleborgs FF 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Jonkopings Sodra 2–2–2 Trelleborgs FF (6 last)

Trelleborgs FF1-1Jonkopings Sodra
Trelleborgs FF1-1Jonkopings Sodra
Trelleborgs FF2-1Jonkopings Sodra
Jonkopings Sodra3-1Trelleborgs FF
Trelleborgs FF1-3Jonkopings Sodra
Jonkopings Sodra2-3Trelleborgs FF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jonkopings Sodra 1494 · Trelleborgs FF 1600

	Jonkopings Sodra	Draw	Trelleborgs FF
Our model	32%	27%	41%
Market	33%	24%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.84 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Trelleborgs FF (rating 1494 vs 1600).
High corners: 13.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Jonkopings Sodra	Trelleborgs FF
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.2	2.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	1.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.2	4.8 / 8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	4.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.75

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.88

2 (-0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.77

Under 2.752.02

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:58 +17’	2.70	3.75	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Jonkopings Sodra 2–2–2 Trelleborgs FF

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
14/05/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	Trelleborgs FF	1-1 HT 0-0	Jonkopings Sodra
16/03/24 Club Friendly List	Trelleborgs FF	1-1 HT 0-1	Jonkopings Sodra
28/09/23 Sweden Superettan	Trelleborgs FF	2-1 HT 1-1	Jonkopings Sodra
10/06/23 Sweden Superettan	Jonkopings Sodra	3-1 HT 1-1	Trelleborgs FF
03/10/22 Sweden Superettan	Trelleborgs FF	1-3 HT 0-1	Jonkopings Sodra
23/04/22 Sweden Superettan	Jonkopings Sodra	2-3 HT 0-2	Trelleborgs FF

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	29	20	6	3	66	32	66
2	Hässleholms IF	29	16	5	8	51	33	53
3	Lunds BK	29	14	8	7	57	37	50
4	Ariana FC Malmo	29	13	8	8	58	45	47
5	Atvidabergs FF	29	13	8	8	53	43	47
6	FC Rosengård 1917	29	10	10	9	46	44	40
7	Jonkopings Sodra	29	11	6	12	35	31	39
8	FC Trollhättan	29	10	8	11	51	54	38
9	Tvååkers IF	29	10	8	11	39	43	38
10	Skövde AIK	29	9	11	9	39	47	38
11	BK Olympic	29	11	4	14	54	57	37
12	Kristianstad FC	29	10	6	13	37	41	36
13	Eskilsminne IF	29	9	6	14	45	60	33
14	Laholms FK	29	9	5	15	40	47	32
15	Angelholm	29	7	9	13	37	50	30
16	Utsiktens BK	29	3	6	20	27	71	15

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Jonkopings Sodra	Trelleborgs FF
Lunds BK	0-1 L	4-2 W
Hässleholms IF	0-1 L	2-1 W
Skövde AIK	3-2 W	1-2 L
Atvidabergs FF	1-0 W	3-1 W
Kristianstad FC	0-0 D	2-0 W
Tvååkers IF	0-1 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Trelleborgs FF (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jonkopings Sodra

LDWWLLLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-1	6	5	L
24/10	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	2-1	4-2	5	4	W
17/10	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	2-1	3	2	W
10/10	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
03/10	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-1	7	5	L
26/09	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-3	5	2	L
21/09	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	3-2	6	3	W
16/09	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-0	7	3	W
13/09	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
06/09	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-1	8	5	L

Trelleborgs FF

LWWWWWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	2-1	9	6	W
25/10	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	3-1	3-1	12	6	W
16/10	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-2	4-2	16	6	W
10/10	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	2-0	8	6	W
04/10	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	2-0	8	5	W
27/09	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	4-1	5	3	W
20/09	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
17/09	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	3-1	4-3	3	4	W
12/09	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	2-1	4	7	W
06/09	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	1-2	11	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jonkopings Sodra vs Trelleborgs FF?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Trelleborgs FF win (42%). Probabilities: Jonkopings Sodra 33%, draw 25%, Trelleborgs FF 42%.

How many goals are expected in Jonkopings Sodra vs Trelleborgs FF?

The model expects 2.84 goals (Jonkopings Sodra 1.31 · Trelleborgs FF 1.52), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Jonkopings Sodra vs Trelleborgs FF?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.