Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 07/08, 19:00

Prediction: Kristianstad FC vs Angelholm

Team pages: Kristianstad FC · Angelholm

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.89Total

Kristianstad FC1.47

Angelholm1.42

1X2

38% 26% 36%

Kristianstad FC Draw Angelholm

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Kristianstad FC 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLWDDLDL

Angelholm 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DLLWDWLWDD

Head-to-head

Kristianstad FC 5–0 Angelholm (5 last)

Angelholm0-1Kristianstad FC
Angelholm0-2Kristianstad FC
Kristianstad FC2-1Angelholm
Angelholm0-2Kristianstad FC
Kristianstad FC3-0Angelholm

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kristianstad FC 1456 · Angelholm 1505

	Kristianstad FC	Draw	Angelholm
Our model	38%	27%	35%
Market	38%	26%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.89 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Angelholm (rating 1456 vs 1505).
H2H favours Kristianstad FC: 5-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kristianstad FC	Angelholm
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.6	1.7 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5	1.9 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.3	2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.50

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
18:12 +19’	2.35	3.50	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kristianstad FC 5–0–0 Angelholm

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/05/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	Angelholm	0-1 HT 0-1	Kristianstad FC
15/10/18 Sweden 1.div Södra	Angelholm	0-2 HT 0-0	Kristianstad FC
23/04/18 Sweden 1.div Södra	Kristianstad FC	2-1 HT 0-1	Angelholm
08/10/17 Sweden 1.div Södra	Angelholm	0-2 HT 0-0	Kristianstad FC
19/06/17 Sweden 1.div Södra	Kristianstad FC	3-0 HT 1-0	Angelholm

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	15	9	6	0	35	14	33
2	Ariana FC Malmo	15	8	4	3	30	18	28
3	Lunds BK	15	7	6	2	28	18	27
4	Atvidabergs FF	15	7	5	3	30	20	26
5	FC Rosengård 1917	15	7	4	4	27	21	25
6	Hässleholms IF	15	7	3	5	29	22	24
7	BK Olympic	15	7	1	7	25	25	22
8	Tvååkers IF	15	6	4	5	19	21	22
9	Eskilsminne IF	15	6	2	7	25	28	20
10	Jonkopings Sodra	15	5	3	7	22	19	18
11	Angelholm	15	3	8	4	24	24	17
12	FC Trollhättan	15	3	7	5	19	26	16
13	Skövde AIK	15	3	7	5	12	23	16
14	Kristianstad FC	15	3	5	7	16	24	14
15	Laholms FK	15	4	1	10	21	30	13
16	Utsiktens BK	15	1	2	12	12	41	5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kristianstad FC	Angelholm
FC Trollhättan	1-1 D	1-1 D
Tvååkers IF	2-1 W	2-3 L
FC Rosengård 1917	1-2 L	2-1 W
BK Olympic	0-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Angelholm (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Kristianstad FC

LLWLWDDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/07	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-3	4	5	L
26/06	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
21/06	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-2	0-3	7	3	L
13/06	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-1	6	5	D
07/06	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	1-1	6	1	D
30/05	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	2-1	6	3	W
22/05	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	1-3	9	4	L
18/05	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-0	0	3	W
13/05	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-2	3	4	L
09/05	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-2	8	4	L

Angelholm

DLLWDWLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	2-2	0	4	D
27/06	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
23/06	BK Astrio Sweden Cup	0-0	3-0	5	2	W
18/06	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-2	2-3	7	0	L
13/06	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	2-1	4-2	8	2	W
08/06	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-1	3	2	D
02/06	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-1	3	1	W
24/05	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-3	3	3	L
18/05	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-1	2	3	L
14/05	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	2-2	9	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kristianstad FC vs Angelholm?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kristianstad FC win (38%). Probabilities: Kristianstad FC 38%, draw 26%, Angelholm 36%.

How many goals are expected in Kristianstad FC vs Angelholm?

The model expects 2.89 goals (Kristianstad FC 1.47 · Angelholm 1.42), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Kristianstad FC vs Angelholm?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.