Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 16/08, 13:00

Prediction: Trelleborgs FF vs Eskilsminne IF

Team pages: Trelleborgs FF · Eskilsminne IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.08Total

Trelleborgs FF2.02

Eskilsminne IF1.07

1X2

59% 23% 19%

Trelleborgs FF Draw Eskilsminne IF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Trelleborgs FF 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DDWWLWWDDW

Eskilsminne IF 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLLLDLWLWD

Head-to-head

Trelleborgs FF 3–1–0 Eskilsminne IF (4 last)

Eskilsminne IF2-3Trelleborgs FF
Eskilsminne IF1-1Trelleborgs FF
Eskilsminne IF2-5Trelleborgs FF
Trelleborgs FF3-2Eskilsminne IF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Trelleborgs FF 1557 · Eskilsminne IF 1470

	Trelleborgs FF	Draw	Eskilsminne IF
Our model	58%	23%	18%
Market	59%	22%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 3.08 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Trelleborgs FF (rating 1557 vs 1470).
H2H favours Trelleborgs FF: 3-1-0.
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Trelleborgs FF	Eskilsminne IF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.1	1.4 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	0.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.8 / 6.2	2.2 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.1	3.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.53

X4.10

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.90

2 (+1)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 03:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.53▲	Pinn 1.54
X	4.10 → 4.10	Pinn 4.26 ★
2	5.00 → 4.75▼	Pinn 4.83

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.7% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
21:27 +9’	1.50	4.10	5.00
03:22 +9’	1.53▲	4.10	4.75▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:24 +1’	1.54	4.22	4.81
22:54	1.54▼	4.26▲	4.83▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Trelleborgs FF 3–1–0 Eskilsminne IF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	Eskilsminne IF	2-3 HT 2-1	Trelleborgs FF
28/03/26 Club Friendly List	Eskilsminne IF	1-1 HT 0-1	Trelleborgs FF
17/10/15 Sweden 1.div Södra	Eskilsminne IF	2-5 HT 0-1	Trelleborgs FF
13/04/15 Sweden 1.div Södra	Trelleborgs FF	3-2 HT 2-0	Eskilsminne IF

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	16	10	6	0	37	15	36
2	Hässleholms IF	17	9	3	5	34	22	30
3	Atvidabergs FF	16	8	5	3	32	21	29
4	Ariana FC Malmo	16	8	4	4	31	20	28
5	Lunds BK	17	7	7	3	29	22	28
6	FC Rosengård 1917	16	7	5	4	27	21	26
7	BK Olympic	16	7	1	8	25	27	22
8	Tvååkers IF	16	6	4	6	20	23	22
9	Jonkopings Sodra	16	6	3	7	24	19	21
10	Eskilsminne IF	16	6	3	7	25	28	21
11	Angelholm	16	3	8	5	24	25	17
12	Kristianstad FC	16	4	5	7	17	24	17
13	Skövde AIK	16	3	8	5	13	24	17
14	Laholms FK	16	5	1	10	22	30	16
15	FC Trollhättan	16	3	7	6	19	27	16
16	Utsiktens BK	16	1	2	13	12	43	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Trelleborgs FF	Eskilsminne IF
Ariana FC Malmo	2-1 W	1-2 L
Lunds BK	2-2 D	2-4 L
Kristianstad FC	0-0 D	3-2 W
FC Rosengård 1917	3-2 W	0-0 D
Skövde AIK	4-0 W	1-1 D
FC Trollhättan	2-2 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 0 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Trelleborgs FF (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Trelleborgs FF

DDWWLWWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	2-1	8	2	W
02/08	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-2	3	4	D
26/06	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
18/06	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	2-2	3-2	3	4	W
14/06	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-0	15	6	W
10/06	Osters IF Club Friendly List	0-2	1-2	5	1	L
07/06	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	4-0	7	1	W
30/05	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-2	3-2	6	5	W
23/05	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	2	0	D
17/05	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-2	9	4	D

Eskilsminne IF

DLLLDLWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
01/07	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	3-2	5	5	W
28/06	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-2	6	4	L
18/06	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
13/06	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-3	0-4	3	3	L
10/06	FBK Balkan Sweden Cup Qualification	0-2	2-2	11	5	D
07/06	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	1-2	9	3	L
30/05	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	2-1	2-3	2	5	L
22/05	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	2-4	6	3	L
17/05	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	1-1	3	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Trelleborgs FF vs Eskilsminne IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Trelleborgs FF win (59%). Probabilities: Trelleborgs FF 59%, draw 23%, Eskilsminne IF 19%.

How many goals are expected in Trelleborgs FF vs Eskilsminne IF?

The model expects 3.08 goals (Trelleborgs FF 2.02 · Eskilsminne IF 1.07), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Trelleborgs FF vs Eskilsminne IF?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.