Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland · 03/10, 13:00

Prediction: Växjö Norra vs IFK Karlshamn

Team pages: Växjö Norra · IFK Karlshamn

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.44Total

Växjö Norra2.39

IFK Karlshamn1.06

1X2

66% 20% 14%

Växjö Norra Draw IFK Karlshamn

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Växjö Norra 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LLWLLWWDDD

IFK Karlshamn 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LDLLLWLLLL

Head-to-head

Växjö Norra 2–1–0 IFK Karlshamn (3 last)

IFK Karlshamn1-2Växjö Norra
IFK Karlshamn0-0Växjö Norra
Växjö Norra2-0IFK Karlshamn

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Växjö Norra 1489 · IFK Karlshamn 1398

	Växjö Norra	Draw	IFK Karlshamn
Our model	66%	20%	14%
Market	66%	20%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 3.44 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Växjö Norra (rating 1489 vs 1398).
H2H favours Växjö Norra: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Växjö Norra	IFK Karlshamn
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.7	1.1 / 3.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1	0.5 / 1.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	10/10/80%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 5.2	1.7 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.7	2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.36

X4.60

26.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.82

2 (+1.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.36 → 1.36	Bet365 1.36
X	4.60 → 4.60	Bet365 4.60
2	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
18:07 +7’	1.36	4.60	6.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Växjö Norra 2–1–0 IFK Karlshamn

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
22/05/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	IFK Karlshamn	1-2 HT 1-1	Växjö Norra
15/08/25 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	IFK Karlshamn	0-0 HT 0-0	Växjö Norra
04/04/25 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	Växjö Norra	2-0 HT 1-0	IFK Karlshamn

Standings · Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland · Sodra Gotaland

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Karlskrona	23	18	3	2	61	20	57
2	IFK Trelleborg	23	14	5	4	49	23	47
3	Oskarshamns AIK	23	13	3	7	58	30	42
4	Linero IF	23	12	2	9	44	39	38
5	IFK Berga	23	11	4	8	49	36	37
6	Nosaby	23	10	6	7	42	37	36
7	Växjö Norra	23	9	8	6	31	31	35
8	Osterlen FF	23	8	6	9	37	38	30
9	Sölvesborgs GoIF	23	9	1	13	35	42	28
10	Lilla Torg FF	23	6	10	7	31	38	28
11	Staffanstorp United	23	5	8	10	33	41	23
12	Torns IF	23	7	0	16	31	64	21
13	Räppe GOIF	23	4	6	13	25	51	18
14	IFK Karlshamn	23	3	2	18	24	60	11

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Växjö Norra	IFK Karlshamn
Räppe GOIF	1-1 D	2-2 D
Nosaby	0-0 D	3-1 W
Torns IF	3-1 W	1-2 L
Osterlen FF	3-0 W	0-6 L
Sölvesborgs GoIF	1-2 L	1-2 L
FK Karlskrona	0-5 L	1-4 L
IFK Trelleborg	0-4 L	1-5 L
IFK Berga	1-3 L	1-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	1 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Växjö Norra (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Växjö Norra

LLWLLWWDDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	Räppe GOIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	1-1	6	9	D
20/09	Nosaby Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
12/09	Lilla Torg FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	Torns IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	3-0	3-1	–	–	W
30/08	Osterlen FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	3-0	–	–	W
25/08	Sölvesborgs GoIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-2	1-2	6	6	L
22/08	FK Karlskrona Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-3	0-5	8	1	L
16/08	Staffanstorp United Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	2-0	6	2	W
09/08	IFK Trelleborg Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	0-4	1	5	L
26/06	IFK Berga Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-2	1-3	4	7	L

IFK Karlshamn

LDLLLWLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	FK Karlskrona Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-2	1-4	–	–	L
19/09	IFK Berga Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-3	1-4	–	–	L
13/09	Torns IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	1-2	8	8	L
05/09	Osterlen FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-2	0-6	–	–	L
29/08	Nosaby Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
21/08	Sölvesborgs GoIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	1-2	2	2	L
15/08	IFK Trelleborg Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-2	1-5	3	0	L
08/08	Oskarshamns AIK Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-2	0-5	2	0	L
31/07	Räppe GOIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	2-2	7	3	D
28/06	Linero IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-2	1-3	4	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Växjö Norra vs IFK Karlshamn?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Växjö Norra win (66%). Probabilities: Växjö Norra 66%, draw 20%, IFK Karlshamn 14%.

How many goals are expected in Växjö Norra vs IFK Karlshamn?

The model expects 3.44 goals (Växjö Norra 2.39 · IFK Karlshamn 1.06), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Växjö Norra vs IFK Karlshamn?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.