Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland · 10/10, 14:00

Prediction: Räppe GOIF vs Nosaby

Team pages: Räppe GOIF · Nosaby

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.31Total

Räppe GOIF1.57

Nosaby1.74

1X2

34% 24% 41%

Räppe GOIF Draw Nosaby

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Räppe GOIF 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

DLLDLLLWDL

Nosaby 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWLWLDWW

Head-to-head

Räppe GOIF 4–2–0 Nosaby (6 last)

Nosaby1-1Räppe GOIF
Räppe GOIF2-2Nosaby
Nosaby1-2Räppe GOIF
Nosaby1-2Räppe GOIF
Räppe GOIF1-0Nosaby
Nosaby0-4Räppe GOIF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Räppe GOIF 1436 · Nosaby 1534

	Räppe GOIF	Draw	Nosaby
Our model	34%	25%	41%
Market	34%	24%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 3.31 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nosaby (rating 1436 vs 1534).
H2H favours Räppe GOIF: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Räppe GOIF	Nosaby
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.8	2.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1	1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/10/40%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 2.7	2.5 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.75

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.82

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Pinn 2.87 ★
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6% Pinnacle margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
22:25 +12’	2.60	3.75	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
02:12 +47’	2.87	3.50	2.04

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Räppe GOIF 4–2–0 Nosaby

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/04/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	Nosaby	1-1 HT 0-0	Räppe GOIF
12/09/25 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	Räppe GOIF	2-2 HT 0-1	Nosaby
05/04/25 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	Nosaby	1-2 HT 1-2	Räppe GOIF
31/08/24 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	Nosaby	1-2 HT 0-1	Räppe GOIF
03/05/24 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	Räppe GOIF	1-0 HT 0-0	Nosaby
27/08/23 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	Nosaby	0-4 HT 0-1	Räppe GOIF

Standings · Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland · Sodra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Karlskrona	24	19	3	2	63	21	60
2	IFK Trelleborg	24	15	5	4	51	23	50
3	Oskarshamns AIK	24	14	3	7	60	30	45
4	IFK Berga	24	12	4	8	52	36	40
5	Nosaby	24	11	6	7	45	39	39
6	Linero IF	24	12	2	10	45	41	38
7	Växjö Norra	24	9	8	7	31	33	35
8	Osterlen FF	24	8	6	10	37	41	30
9	Lilla Torg FF	24	6	10	8	33	41	28
10	Sölvesborgs GoIF	24	9	1	14	35	46	28
11	Staffanstorp United	24	6	8	10	37	41	26
12	Torns IF	24	7	0	17	31	66	21
13	Räppe GOIF	24	4	6	14	25	53	18
14	IFK Karlshamn	24	4	2	18	26	60	14

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Räppe GOIF	Nosaby
IFK Trelleborg	0-2 L	0-3 L
Växjö Norra	1-1 D	0-0 D
Torns IF	2-1 W	5-0 W
Oskarshamns AIK	1-7 L	2-1 W
Sölvesborgs GoIF	2-3 L	2-1 W
Lilla Torg FF	1-3 L	3-2 W
Linero IF	1-5 L	4-0 W
IFK Berga	0-3 L	1-3 L
IFK Karlshamn	2-2 D	1-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 6 L	5 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Nosaby (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Räppe GOIF

DLLDLLLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	IFK Trelleborg Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	0-2	5	2	L
25/09	Växjö Norra Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	1-1	4	9	D
19/09	Torns IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
12/09	Oskarshamns AIK Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-3	1-7	3	4	L
05/09	Sölvesborgs GoIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	2-3	–	–	L
29/08	Lilla Torg FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	1-3	3	3	L
22/08	Osterlen FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	1-1	0	4	D
16/08	Linero IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-3	1-5	0	1	L
07/08	IFK Berga Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-2	0-3	4	1	L
31/07	IFK Karlshamn Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	2-2	2	3	D

Nosaby

WWLWLWLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	Lilla Torg FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	2-1	3-2	5	2	W
26/09	Staffanstorp United Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
20/09	Växjö Norra Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
12/09	IFK Berga Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
05/09	Oskarshamns AIK Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	2-1	3	2	W
29/08	IFK Karlshamn Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
22/08	Torns IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	5-0	–	–	W
18/08	IFK Trelleborg Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
14/08	Sölvesborgs GoIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	2-0	2-1	3	3	W
08/08	Linero IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	3-0	4-0	4	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Räppe GOIF vs Nosaby?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Nosaby win (41%). Probabilities: Räppe GOIF 34%, draw 24%, Nosaby 41%.

How many goals are expected in Räppe GOIF vs Nosaby?

The model expects 3.31 goals (Räppe GOIF 1.57 · Nosaby 1.74), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Räppe GOIF vs Nosaby?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.