Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland · 18/10, 14:00

Prediction: Växjö Norra vs Oskarshamns AIK

Team pages: Växjö Norra · Oskarshamns AIK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.15Total

Växjö Norra1.47

Oskarshamns AIK1.68

1X2

33% 25% 42%

Växjö Norra Draw Oskarshamns AIK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Växjö Norra 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWWDDDLL

Oskarshamns AIK 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWLLWL

Head-to-head

Växjö Norra 0–1 Oskarshamns AIK (1 last)

Oskarshamns AIK2-0Växjö Norra

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Växjö Norra 1457 · Oskarshamns AIK 1530

	Växjö Norra	Draw	Oskarshamns AIK
Our model	33%	26%	42%
Market	33%	25%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 3.15 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oskarshamns AIK (rating 1457 vs 1530).
High corners: 14.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Växjö Norra	Oskarshamns AIK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.5	3.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.1	1.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	60/40/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 6.8	4.2 / 7.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.4	3.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.75

X3.60

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 04:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.20 → 2.75▼	Bet365 2.75
X	3.70 → 3.60▼	Pinn 3.93 ★
2	1.91 → 2.15▲	Pinn 2.32

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.7% Pinnacle margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:52 +23’	3.20	3.70	1.91
04:04 +4’	2.75▼	3.60▼	2.15▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
02:12 +55’	2.35	3.69	2.33
10:02 +3’	2.32▼	3.86▲	2.30▼
12:01 +8’	2.34▲	3.93▲	2.32▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Växjö Norra 0–0–1 Oskarshamns AIK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/06/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	Oskarshamns AIK	2-0 HT 0-0	Växjö Norra

Standings · Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland · Sodra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Karlskrona	25	19	3	3	64	23	60
2	IFK Trelleborg	25	16	5	4	53	24	53
3	Oskarshamns AIK	25	14	3	8	61	33	45
4	IFK Berga	25	13	4	8	55	37	43
5	Nosaby	25	12	6	7	47	40	42
6	Linero IF	25	13	2	10	48	42	41
7	Växjö Norra	25	9	8	8	32	36	35
8	Osterlen FF	25	9	6	10	42	41	33
9	Staffanstorp United	25	7	8	10	39	41	29
10	Lilla Torg FF	25	6	11	8	34	42	29
11	Sölvesborgs GoIF	25	9	2	14	36	47	29
12	Torns IF	25	7	0	18	31	71	21
13	Räppe GOIF	25	4	6	15	26	55	18
14	IFK Karlshamn	25	4	2	19	26	62	14

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Växjö Norra	Oskarshamns AIK
Linero IF	1-3 L	7-1 W
IFK Karlshamn	0-2 L	5-0 W
Räppe GOIF	1-1 D	7-1 W
Nosaby	0-0 D	1-2 L
Torns IF	3-1 W	2-0 W
Osterlen FF	3-0 W	3-0 W
FK Karlskrona	0-5 L	0-2 L
Staffanstorp United	2-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	6 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Oskarshamns AIK (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Växjö Norra

WLLWWDDDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Linero IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-3	1-3	–	–	L
03/10	IFK Karlshamn Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	0-2	8	3	L
25/09	Räppe GOIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	1-1	6	9	D
20/09	Nosaby Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
12/09	Lilla Torg FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	Torns IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	3-0	3-1	–	–	W
30/08	Osterlen FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	3-0	–	–	W
25/08	Sölvesborgs GoIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-2	1-2	6	6	L
22/08	FK Karlskrona Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-3	0-5	8	1	L
16/08	Staffanstorp United Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	2-0	6	2	W

Oskarshamns AIK

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/10	IFK Berga Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	1-3	–	–	L
03/10	Torns IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
26/09	IFK Trelleborg Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	3-4	–	–	L
19/09	FK Karlskrona Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	0-2	10	7	L
12/09	Räppe GOIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	3-1	7-1	4	4	W
05/09	Nosaby Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	1-2	9	2	L
29/08	Staffanstorp United Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	2-1	4	5	W
22/08	Linero IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	4-0	7-1	–	–	W
16/08	Osterlen FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	3-0	7	4	W
08/08	IFK Karlshamn Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	2-0	5-0	12	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Växjö Norra vs Oskarshamns AIK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Oskarshamns AIK win (42%). Probabilities: Växjö Norra 33%, draw 25%, Oskarshamns AIK 42%.

How many goals are expected in Växjö Norra vs Oskarshamns AIK?

The model expects 3.15 goals (Växjö Norra 1.47 · Oskarshamns AIK 1.68), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Växjö Norra vs Oskarshamns AIK?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.