Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland · 18/10, 14:00

Prediction: Nosaby vs Osterlen FF

Team pages: Nosaby · Osterlen FF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.63Total

Nosaby1.92

Osterlen FF1.71

1X2

42% 25% 33%

Nosaby Draw Osterlen FF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Nosaby 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLWLWLDWWW

Osterlen FF 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WLDLWLDDLW

Head-to-head

Nosaby 1–1–4 Osterlen FF (6 last)

Osterlen FF2-1Nosaby
Osterlen FF4-1Nosaby
Nosaby2-1Osterlen FF
Nosaby0-3Osterlen FF
Osterlen FF1-1Nosaby
Nosaby1-2Osterlen FF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nosaby 1533 · Osterlen FF 1486

	Nosaby	Draw	Osterlen FF
Our model	42%	23%	34%
Market	41%	25%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.63 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nosaby (rating 1533 vs 1486).
H2H favours Osterlen FF: 4-1-1.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nosaby	Osterlen FF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.4	2.2 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	1.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 4.3	4.3 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0	2.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.50

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
12:00 +9’	2.15	3.50	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Nosaby 1–1–4 Osterlen FF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/06/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	Osterlen FF	2-1 HT 1-0	Nosaby
27/06/25 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	Osterlen FF	4-1 HT 1-1	Nosaby
30/05/25 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	Nosaby	2-1 HT 0-1	Osterlen FF
02/08/24 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	Nosaby	0-3 HT 0-1	Osterlen FF
29/03/24 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	Osterlen FF	1-1 HT 1-1	Nosaby
24/09/23 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	Nosaby	1-2 HT 1-0	Osterlen FF

Standings · Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland · Sodra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Karlskrona	25	19	3	3	64	23	60
2	IFK Trelleborg	25	16	5	4	53	24	53
3	Oskarshamns AIK	25	14	3	8	61	33	45
4	IFK Berga	25	13	4	8	55	37	43
5	Nosaby	25	12	6	7	47	40	42
6	Linero IF	25	13	2	10	48	42	41
7	Växjö Norra	25	9	8	8	32	36	35
8	Osterlen FF	25	9	6	10	42	41	33
9	Staffanstorp United	25	7	8	10	39	41	29
10	Lilla Torg FF	25	6	11	8	34	42	29
11	Sölvesborgs GoIF	25	9	2	14	36	47	29
12	Torns IF	25	7	0	18	31	71	21
13	Räppe GOIF	25	4	6	15	26	55	18
14	IFK Karlshamn	25	4	2	19	26	62	14

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nosaby	Osterlen FF
Räppe GOIF	2-1 W	1-1 D
Lilla Torg FF	3-2 W	3-3 D
Staffanstorp United	3-0 W	2-2 D
Växjö Norra	0-0 D	0-3 L
IFK Berga	1-3 L	0-3 L
Oskarshamns AIK	2-1 W	0-3 L
IFK Karlshamn	1-3 L	6-0 W
Torns IF	5-0 W	5-0 W
IFK Trelleborg	0-3 L	1-4 L
Sölvesborgs GoIF	2-1 W	4-1 W
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Nosaby (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nosaby

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Räppe GOIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	2-1	6	2	W
02/10	Lilla Torg FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	2-1	3-2	5	2	W
26/09	Staffanstorp United Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
20/09	Växjö Norra Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
12/09	IFK Berga Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
05/09	Oskarshamns AIK Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	2-1	3	2	W
29/08	IFK Karlshamn Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
22/08	Torns IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	5-0	–	–	W
18/08	IFK Trelleborg Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
14/08	Sölvesborgs GoIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	2-0	2-1	3	3	W

Osterlen FF

WLDLWLDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Torns IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	2-0	5-0	–	–	W
04/10	IFK Berga Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
27/09	Lilla Torg FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	3-3	–	–	D
18/09	Staffanstorp United Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	2-0	2-2	8	0	D
12/09	IFK Trelleborg Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	1-4	–	–	L
05/09	IFK Karlshamn Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	2-0	6-0	–	–	W
30/08	Växjö Norra Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	0-3	–	–	L
22/08	Räppe GOIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	1-1	5	4	D
16/08	Oskarshamns AIK Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	0-3	6	4	L
07/08	Sölvesborgs GoIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	2-0	4-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nosaby vs Osterlen FF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nosaby win (42%). Probabilities: Nosaby 42%, draw 25%, Osterlen FF 33%.

How many goals are expected in Nosaby vs Osterlen FF?

The model expects 3.63 goals (Nosaby 1.92 · Osterlen FF 1.71), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Nosaby vs Osterlen FF?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.