Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · 16/08, 12:00

Prediction: Nacka FC vs Örebro Syrianska IF

Team pages: Nacka FC · Örebro Syrianska IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.68Total

Nacka FC1.36

Örebro Syrianska IF1.32

1X2

37% 28% 35%

Nacka FC Draw Örebro Syrianska IF

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Nacka FC 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LDLLLLLLDW

Örebro Syrianska IF 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLWLLWLLD

Head-to-head

Nacka FC 0–1 Örebro Syrianska IF (1 last)

Örebro Syrianska IF2-0Nacka FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nacka FC 1425 · Örebro Syrianska IF 1469

	Nacka FC	Draw	Örebro Syrianska IF
Our model	37%	28%	35%
Market	37%	28%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Örebro Syrianska IF (rating 1425 vs 1469).
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nacka FC	Örebro Syrianska IF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.3	0.8 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 4.6	1.3 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.20

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	3.20 → 3.20	Pinn 3.53 ★
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1% Pinnacle margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
03:55 +2’	2.40	3.20	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
03:54 +2’	2.27	3.53	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nacka FC 0–0–1 Örebro Syrianska IF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	Örebro Syrianska IF	2-0 HT 1-0	Nacka FC

Standings · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · Sodra Svealand

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BK Forward	16	10	3	3	31	19	33
2	Nykopings BIS	17	10	2	5	28	16	32
3	IFK Haninge	17	10	2	5	40	31	32
4	IK Sleipner	17	9	4	4	32	30	31
5	FOC Farsta	17	9	3	5	36	20	30
6	Smedby AIS	17	9	3	5	33	22	30
7	Ragsveds IF	16	7	5	4	33	25	26
8	Fittja IF	16	7	2	7	30	31	23
9	Örebro Syrianska IF	16	5	2	9	17	19	17
10	Lindö FF	17	5	2	10	25	29	17
11	Karlslunds IF FK	17	4	5	8	21	28	17
12	Syrianska FC	16	4	3	9	25	38	15
13	IF Eker Örebro	17	4	2	11	18	45	14
14	Nacka FC	16	3	2	11	18	34	11
15	IF Sylvia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nacka FC	Örebro Syrianska IF
Lindö FF	1-1 D	0-2 L
IFK Haninge	1-5 L	0-3 L
Syrianska FC	2-2 D	3-0 W
BK Forward	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Örebro Syrianska IF (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Nacka FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	4-0	–	–	W
01/08	Lindö FF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	1-1	6	1	D
25/06	Nykopings BIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-2	1-4	3	0	L
21/06	IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
14/06	Lindö FF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	0-4	2	4	L
06/06	IFK Haninge Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-2	1-5	4	2	L
29/05	Nykopings BIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	0-2	4	5	L
24/05	Karlslunds IF FK Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	1-2	3	6	L
16/05	Syrianska FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	2-2	6	3	D
10/05	BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	1-2	8	3	L

Örebro Syrianska IF

LWLWLLWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
01/08	Smedby AIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	0-2	2	7	L
24/07	IF Karlstad Fotboll Club Friendly List	1-2	1-4	4	1	L
28/06	Syrianska FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	3-0	3	2	W
21/06	Lindö FF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	0-2	2	2	L
13/06	IFK Haninge Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-2	0-3	3	4	L
07/06	Smedby AIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	2-1	6	4	W
31/05	IK Sleipner Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	0-1	6	5	L
23/05	Fittja IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
15/05	BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	0-2	2	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nacka FC vs Örebro Syrianska IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nacka FC win (37%). Probabilities: Nacka FC 37%, draw 28%, Örebro Syrianska IF 35%.

How many goals are expected in Nacka FC vs Örebro Syrianska IF?

The model expects 2.68 goals (Nacka FC 1.36 · Örebro Syrianska IF 1.32), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Nacka FC vs Örebro Syrianska IF?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.