Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · 14/08, 20:00

Prediction: FOC Farsta vs Nykopings BIS

Team pages: FOC Farsta · Nykopings BIS

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3Total

FOC Farsta1.58

Nykopings BIS1.43

1X2

40% 26% 34%

FOC Farsta Draw Nykopings BIS

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FOC Farsta 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWWDWWLWDD

Nykopings BIS 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWWWLLDWLW

Head-to-head

FOC Farsta 2–1–2 Nykopings BIS (5 last)

Nykopings BIS3-1FOC Farsta
Nykopings BIS2-1FOC Farsta
FOC Farsta3-2Nykopings BIS
FOC Farsta2-1Nykopings BIS
Nykopings BIS0-0FOC Farsta

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FOC Farsta 1548 · Nykopings BIS 1536

	FOC Farsta	Draw	Nykopings BIS
Our model	40%	26%	33%
Market	41%	25%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FOC Farsta	Nykopings BIS
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 0.7	1.2 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.2	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/70/0%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.2	2.4 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.60

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.80

Under 3.752.00

Diff.: 1.35 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.38▲	Bet365 2.38
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.63 → 2.38▼	Bet365 2.38

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
12:45 +3’	2.20	3.60	2.63
16:04 +5’	2.38▲	3.60	2.38▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 1 odds move recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FOC Farsta 2–1–2 Nykopings BIS

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	Nykopings BIS	3-1 HT 2-0	FOC Farsta
19/10/25 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	Nykopings BIS	2-1 HT 1-0	FOC Farsta
17/04/25 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	FOC Farsta	3-2 HT 0-1	Nykopings BIS
05/08/23 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	FOC Farsta	2-1 HT 1-1	Nykopings BIS
01/04/23 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	Nykopings BIS	0-0 HT 0-0	FOC Farsta

Standings · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · Sodra Svealand

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BK Forward	16	10	3	3	31	19	33
2	Nykopings BIS	16	10	2	4	28	13	32
3	IFK Haninge	16	10	2	4	40	28	32
4	IK Sleipner	16	8	4	4	30	29	28
5	FOC Farsta	16	8	3	5	33	20	27
6	Smedby AIS	16	8	3	5	32	22	27
7	Ragsveds IF	16	7	5	4	33	25	26
8	Fittja IF	16	7	2	7	30	31	23
9	Örebro Syrianska IF	16	5	2	9	17	19	17
10	Lindö FF	16	5	2	9	24	27	17
11	Syrianska FC	16	4	3	9	25	38	15
12	Karlslunds IF FK	16	3	5	8	18	28	14
13	IF Eker Örebro	16	4	2	10	18	44	14
14	Nacka FC	16	3	2	11	18	34	11
15	IF Sylvia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FOC Farsta	Nykopings BIS
Ragsveds IF	1-1 D	2-1 W
IF Eker Örebro	4-1 W	1-1 D
BK Forward	2-1 W	0-1 L
Smedby AIS	1-1 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FOC Farsta (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FOC Farsta

WWWDWWLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	IFK Haninge Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	2-2	6	5	D
31/07	Ragsveds IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
27/06	IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	2-1	4-1	–	–	W
21/06	Karlslunds IF FK Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	0-1	8	4	L
13/06	IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	4-0	6	0	W
06/06	BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	2-0	2-1	9	4	W
30/05	Smedby AIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	1-1	3	5	D
22/05	IFK Haninge Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	3-0	5-0	4	4	W
15/05	Ragsveds IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
09/05	Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	1-0	3	5	W

Nykopings BIS

DWWWLLDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	IK Sleipner Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
02/08	BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
25/06	Nacka FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	2-0	4-1	8	0	W
22/06	IK Sleipner Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	1-1	4	5	D
15/06	Smedby AIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	0-1	9	3	L
06/06	Fittja IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	0-2	3	2	L
29/05	Nacka FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	2-0	1	5	W
23/05	Ragsveds IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	2-1	5	7	W
14/05	Lindö FF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
10/05	IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FOC Farsta vs Nykopings BIS?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FOC Farsta win (40%). Probabilities: FOC Farsta 40%, draw 26%, Nykopings BIS 34%.

How many goals are expected in FOC Farsta vs Nykopings BIS?

The model expects 3 goals (FOC Farsta 1.58 · Nykopings BIS 1.43), with a 58% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FOC Farsta vs Nykopings BIS?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.