Football · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · 01/08, 16:00

Prediction: Hestrafors IF vs Astorps FF

Team pages: Hestrafors IF · Astorps FF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.45Total

Hestrafors IF1.74

Astorps FF1.71

1X2

38% 25% 37%

Hestrafors IF Draw Astorps FF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Hestrafors IF 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LLWLWWDLWW

Astorps FF 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DDDWLWDLLD

Head-to-head

Hestrafors IF 1–2–0 Astorps FF (3 last)

Astorps FF0-2Hestrafors IF
Hestrafors IF1-1Astorps FF
Astorps FF2-2Hestrafors IF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hestrafors IF 1531 · Astorps FF 1471

	Hestrafors IF	Draw	Astorps FF
Our model	39%	24%	37%
Market	38%	25%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.45 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hestrafors IF (rating 1531 vs 1471).
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hestrafors IF	Astorps FF
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 2.1	1.3 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 0.8	0.6 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	30/0/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 5.6	2.4 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0.2	3.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.60

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
11:05 +20’	2.35	3.60	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hestrafors IF 1–2–0 Astorps FF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Astorps FF	0-2 HT 0-2	Hestrafors IF
30/08/25 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Hestrafors IF	1-1 HT 1-0	Astorps FF
15/06/25 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Astorps FF	2-2 HT 1-2	Hestrafors IF

Standings · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · Vastra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Landvetter IS	14	11	1	2	25	8	34
2	Västra Frölunda IF	14	7	5	2	32	19	26
3	Dalstorps IF	14	7	5	2	27	16	26
4	Jonsereds IF	14	7	3	4	23	23	24
5	Hestrafors IF	14	7	2	5	29	25	23
6	Lindome GIF	14	6	4	4	26	22	22
7	IF Boljan	14	5	5	4	20	19	20
8	Qviding FIF	14	5	3	6	29	29	18
9	Onsala BK	14	4	5	5	21	24	17
10	Torslanda IK	14	3	7	4	18	20	16
11	Astorps FF	14	3	5	6	18	27	14
12	IK Kongahälla	14	2	5	7	14	27	11
13	Galtabäcks BK	14	2	3	9	20	25	9
14	BK Astrio	14	1	3	10	10	28	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hestrafors IF	Astorps FF
IK Kongahälla	3-0 W	2-1 W
Dalstorps IF	2-3 L	4-2 W
Torslanda IK	2-2 D	1-1 D
IF Boljan	3-1 W	1-1 D
Onsala BK	1-5 L	1-1 D
Lindome GIF	3-2 W	0-3 L
Västra Frölunda IF	2-4 L	0-3 L
Landvetter IS	0-2 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Hestrafors IF (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hestrafors IF

LLWLWWDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/06	BK Astrio Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
17/06	IK Kongahälla Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-0	3-0	4	0	W
11/06	Dalstorps IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-2	2-3	7	4	L
06/06	Torslanda IK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	2-2	7	1	D
29/05	IF Boljan Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-0	3-1	7	4	W
22/05	Jonsereds IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	3-1	5-1	7	0	W
16/05	Onsala BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-2	1-5	2	1	L
08/05	Lindome GIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	3-1	3-2	6	7	W
01/05	Västra Frölunda IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-1	2-4	6	1	L
24/04	Landvetter IS Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	0-2	4	4	L

Astorps FF

DDDWLWDLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/06	Torslanda IK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	1-1	3	2	D
18/06	Lindome GIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-2	0-3	7	3	L
14/06	Landvetter IS Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-2	0-2	3	5	L
06/06	Qviding FIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-0	2-2	5	3	D
30/05	IK Kongahälla Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	2-1	5	7	W
24/05	Västra Frölunda IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-2	0-3	5	1	L
16/05	Dalstorps IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-1	4-2	6	7	W
10/05	Onsala BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
30/04	Galtabäcks BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-2	2-2	12	2	D
26/04	IF Boljan Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	1-1	3	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hestrafors IF vs Astorps FF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hestrafors IF win (38%). Probabilities: Hestrafors IF 38%, draw 25%, Astorps FF 37%.

How many goals are expected in Hestrafors IF vs Astorps FF?

The model expects 3.45 goals (Hestrafors IF 1.74 · Astorps FF 1.71), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Hestrafors IF vs Astorps FF?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.