Football · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · 09/08, 13:00

Prediction: BK Astrio vs Torslanda IK

Team pages: BK Astrio · Torslanda IK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.94Total

BK Astrio1.14

Torslanda IK1.8

1X2

23% 24% 52%

BK Astrio Draw Torslanda IK

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

BK Astrio 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LWLDLLLLLL

Torslanda IK 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DWLLLDDDDW

Head-to-head

BK Astrio 1–2–2 Torslanda IK (5 last)

Torslanda IK2-0BK Astrio
BK Astrio4-0Torslanda IK
Torslanda IK2-2BK Astrio
BK Astrio1-1Torslanda IK
Torslanda IK4-3BK Astrio

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BK Astrio 1398 · Torslanda IK 1496

	BK Astrio	Draw	Torslanda IK
Our model	23%	25%	52%
Market	24%	23%	53%

Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Torslanda IK (rating 1398 vs 1496).
H2H favours Torslanda IK: 2-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	BK Astrio	Torslanda IK
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.5	1.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3	2.1 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.2	2.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.75

X3.90

21.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.88

2 (-0.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 00:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.75 → 4.10▲	Bet365 4.10
X	3.90 → 4.00▲	Bet365 4.00
2	1.70 → 1.61▼	Bet365 1.61

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
14:00 +2’	3.75	3.90	1.70
00:12 +4’	4.10▲	4.00▲	1.61▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · BK Astrio 1–2–2 Torslanda IK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Torslanda IK	2-0 HT 2-0	BK Astrio
30/07/22 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	BK Astrio	4-0 HT 2-0	Torslanda IK
02/04/22 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Torslanda IK	2-2 HT 0-1	BK Astrio
09/10/21 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	BK Astrio	1-1 HT 1-0	Torslanda IK
05/06/21 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Torslanda IK	4-3 HT 2-2	BK Astrio

Standings · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · Vastra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Landvetter IS	15	12	1	2	26	8	37
2	Västra Frölunda IF	16	7	6	3	36	24	27
3	Hestrafors IF	16	8	3	5	34	29	27
4	Jonsereds IF	15	8	3	4	26	25	27
5	Dalstorps IF	15	7	5	3	27	17	26
6	Lindome GIF	16	7	4	5	30	25	25
7	IF Boljan	16	6	5	5	22	23	23
8	Qviding FIF	16	6	4	6	33	31	22
9	Onsala BK	16	5	6	5	24	24	21
10	Torslanda IK	15	4	7	4	20	21	19
11	Astorps FF	16	3	5	8	19	31	14
12	IK Kongahälla	15	2	6	7	14	27	12
13	Galtabäcks BK	16	2	4	10	22	28	10
14	BK Astrio	15	1	3	11	11	31	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BK Astrio	Torslanda IK
Qviding FIF	1-3 L	1-2 L
Hestrafors IF	1-2 L	2-2 D
Lindome GIF	1-2 L	1-2 L
IF Boljan	1-3 L	2-2 D
Onsala BK	0-0 D	1-1 D
Galtabäcks BK	2-1 W	2-1 W
Västra Frölunda IF	3-5 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 5 L	1 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Torslanda IK (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

BK Astrio

LWLDLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Qviding FIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-2	1-3	4	4	L
27/06	Hestrafors IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
23/06	Angelholm Sweden Cup	0-0	0-3	1	2	L
18/06	Dalstorps IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	0-4	1	0	L
11/06	Lindome GIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	1-2	4	5	L
05/06	IF Boljan Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	1-3	5	0	L
30/05	Onsala BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
24/05	Landvetter IS Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	0-2	1	5	L
17/05	Galtabäcks BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-0	2-1	3	4	W
09/05	Västra Frölunda IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-2	3-5	7	3	L

Torslanda IK

DWLLLDDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Galtabäcks BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	2-1	5	1	W
27/06	Astorps FF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	1-1	6	2	D
18/06	Västra Frölunda IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	1-1	5	1	D
14/06	Onsala BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	1-1	6	7	D
06/06	Hestrafors IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	2-2	4	1	D
31/05	Jonsereds IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	0-1	7	3	L
22/05	Lindome GIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-2	1-2	6	2	L
14/05	Qviding FIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	1-2	6	3	L
08/05	Galtabäcks BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	2-1	5	6	W
01/05	IF Boljan Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-2	2-2	3	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BK Astrio vs Torslanda IK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Torslanda IK win (52%). Probabilities: BK Astrio 23%, draw 24%, Torslanda IK 52%.

How many goals are expected in BK Astrio vs Torslanda IK?

The model expects 2.94 goals (BK Astrio 1.14 · Torslanda IK 1.8), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in BK Astrio vs Torslanda IK?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.