Football · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · 08/08, 13:00

Prediction: Västra Frölunda IF vs Hestrafors IF

Team pages: Västra Frölunda IF · Hestrafors IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.07Total

Västra Frölunda IF2.4

Hestrafors IF1.66

1X2

53% 22% 25%

Västra Frölunda IF Draw Hestrafors IF

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Västra Frölunda IF 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

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Hestrafors IF 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Västra Frölunda IF 3–1–0 Hestrafors IF (4 last)

Hestrafors IF2-4Västra Frölunda IF
Hestrafors IF0-2Västra Frölunda IF
Västra Frölunda IF3-2Hestrafors IF
Västra Frölunda IF0-0Hestrafors IF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Västra Frölunda IF 1562 · Hestrafors IF 1528

	Västra Frölunda IF	Draw	Hestrafors IF
Our model	54%	21%	26%
Market	53%	22%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 4.07 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Västra Frölunda IF: 3-1-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Västra Frölunda IF	Hestrafors IF
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.3	2.5 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.6	1.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	70/10/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.1	3.1 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0	2.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.70

X4.00

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.93

2 (+0.75)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.88

Under 3.51.93

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 4.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
14:16 +18’	1.70	4.00	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Västra Frölunda IF 3–1–0 Hestrafors IF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/05/26 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Hestrafors IF	2-4 HT 2-1	Västra Frölunda IF
15/08/25 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Hestrafors IF	0-2 HT 0-2	Västra Frölunda IF
29/05/25 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Västra Frölunda IF	3-2 HT 3-1	Hestrafors IF
09/06/19 Sweden 3.div Nordvästra Götaland	Västra Frölunda IF	0-0 HT 0-0	Hestrafors IF

Standings · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · Vastra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Landvetter IS	15	12	1	2	26	8	37
2	Jonsereds IF	15	8	3	4	26	25	27
3	Västra Frölunda IF	15	7	5	3	33	21	26
4	Dalstorps IF	15	7	5	3	27	17	26
5	Hestrafors IF	15	8	2	5	31	26	26
6	IF Boljan	15	6	5	4	22	20	23
7	Lindome GIF	15	6	4	5	28	25	22
8	Qviding FIF	15	6	3	6	32	30	21
9	Torslanda IK	15	4	7	4	20	21	19
10	Onsala BK	15	4	6	5	21	24	18
11	Astorps FF	15	3	5	7	19	29	14
12	IK Kongahälla	15	2	6	7	14	27	12
13	Galtabäcks BK	15	2	3	10	21	27	9
14	BK Astrio	15	1	3	11	11	31	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Västra Frölunda IF	Hestrafors IF
IF Boljan	1-2 L	3-1 W
Torslanda IK	1-1 D	2-2 D
Onsala BK	4-2 W	1-5 L
Dalstorps IF	1-1 D	2-3 L
Astorps FF	3-0 W	2-1 W
IK Kongahälla	4-0 W	3-0 W
BK Astrio	5-3 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Västra Frölunda IF (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Västra Frölunda IF

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	IF Boljan Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	1-2	2	1	L
24/06	Qviding FIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-0	5-0	5	3	W
18/06	Torslanda IK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	1-1	2	1	D
14/06	IF Boljan Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	1-1	3	1	D
11/06	Onsala BK Sweden Cup	2-1	4-2	2	3	W
05/06	Landvetter IS Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-2	0-3	7	3	L
31/05	Dalstorps IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	1-1	9	3	D
24/05	Astorps FF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-0	3-0	1	1	W
14/05	IK Kongahälla Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-0	4-0	6	2	W
09/05	BK Astrio Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-1	5-3	4	3	W

Hestrafors IF

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Astorps FF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-0	2-1	4	2	W
27/06	BK Astrio Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
17/06	IK Kongahälla Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-0	3-0	4	0	W
11/06	Dalstorps IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-2	2-3	7	4	L
06/06	Torslanda IK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	2-2	7	1	D
29/05	IF Boljan Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-0	3-1	7	4	W
22/05	Jonsereds IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	3-1	5-1	7	0	W
16/05	Onsala BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-2	1-5	2	1	L
08/05	Lindome GIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	3-1	3-2	6	7	W
01/05	Västra Frölunda IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-1	2-4	6	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Västra Frölunda IF vs Hestrafors IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Västra Frölunda IF win (53%). Probabilities: Västra Frölunda IF 53%, draw 22%, Hestrafors IF 25%.

How many goals are expected in Västra Frölunda IF vs Hestrafors IF?

The model expects 4.07 goals (Västra Frölunda IF 2.4 · Hestrafors IF 1.66), with a 54% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Västra Frölunda IF vs Hestrafors IF?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.