Football · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · 31/07, 19:30

Prediction: IK Kongahälla vs Onsala BK

Team pages: IK Kongahälla · Onsala BK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.22Total

IK Kongahälla1.42

Onsala BK1.8

1X2

30% 24% 46%

IK Kongahälla Draw Onsala BK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

IK Kongahälla 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DWLLLDWLLW

Onsala BK 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDWWDLLDWL

Head-to-head

IK Kongahälla 0–1–0 Onsala BK (1 last)

Onsala BK2-2IK Kongahälla

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IK Kongahälla 1470 · Onsala BK 1502

	IK Kongahälla	Draw	Onsala BK
Our model	29%	25%	46%
Market	30%	24%	46%

Estimated total (ours) 3.22 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IK Kongahälla	Onsala BK
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.8	1.8 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1	1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.1	3.4 / 6.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0.1	2.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.75

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.82

2 (-0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:06 +2’	3.00	3.75	1.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · IK Kongahälla 0–1–0 Onsala BK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Onsala BK	2-2 HT 2-2	IK Kongahälla

Standings · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · Vastra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Landvetter IS	14	11	1	2	25	8	34
2	Västra Frölunda IF	14	7	5	2	32	19	26
3	Dalstorps IF	14	7	5	2	27	16	26
4	Jonsereds IF	14	7	3	4	23	23	24
5	Hestrafors IF	14	7	2	5	29	25	23
6	Lindome GIF	14	6	4	4	26	22	22
7	IF Boljan	14	5	5	4	20	19	20
8	Qviding FIF	14	5	3	6	29	29	18
9	Onsala BK	14	4	5	5	21	24	17
10	Torslanda IK	14	3	7	4	18	20	16
11	Astorps FF	14	3	5	6	18	27	14
12	IK Kongahälla	14	2	5	7	14	27	11
13	Galtabäcks BK	14	2	3	9	20	25	9
14	BK Astrio	14	1	3	10	10	28	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IK Kongahälla	Onsala BK
Hestrafors IF	0-3 L	5-1 W
Lindome GIF	2-2 D	2-0 W
Astorps FF	1-2 L	1-1 D
Dalstorps IF	1-3 L	1-3 L
Västra Frölunda IF	0-4 L	2-4 L
Landvetter IS	1-1 D	2-4 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 4 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Onsala BK (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

IK Kongahälla

DWLLLDWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	Vanersborgs FK Club Friendly List	1-1	2-1	7	2	W
28/06	Jonsereds IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	0-1	10	2	L
17/06	Hestrafors IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-2	0-3	3	0	L
13/06	Galtabäcks BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-1	2-1	1	1	W
05/06	Lindome GIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	2-2	4	4	D
30/05	Astorps FF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	1-2	8	7	L
23/05	Dalstorps IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-3	1-3	–	–	L
14/05	Västra Frölunda IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-2	0-4	4	2	L
08/05	Jonsereds IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
01/05	Landvetter IS Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	1-1	–	–	D

Onsala BK

WDWWDLLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/06	Landvetter IS Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-2	2-4	9	3	L
18/06	IF Boljan Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-0	2-1	7	2	W
14/06	Torslanda IK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	1-1	4	7	D
11/06	Västra Frölunda IF Sweden Cup	1-2	2-4	8	3	L
07/06	Dalstorps IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	1-3	6	1	L
30/05	BK Astrio Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	0-0	9	2	D
22/05	Qviding FIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
16/05	Hestrafors IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-1	5-1	6	1	W
10/05	Astorps FF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
01/05	Lindome GIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	2-0	6	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IK Kongahälla vs Onsala BK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Onsala BK win (46%). Probabilities: IK Kongahälla 30%, draw 24%, Onsala BK 46%.

How many goals are expected in IK Kongahälla vs Onsala BK?

The model expects 3.22 goals (IK Kongahälla 1.42 · Onsala BK 1.8), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in IK Kongahälla vs Onsala BK?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.