Football · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · 14/08, 19:30

Prediction: Lindome GIF vs BK Astrio

Team pages: Lindome GIF · BK Astrio

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.7Total

Lindome GIF2.56

BK Astrio1.14

1X2

67% 18% 14%

Lindome GIF Draw BK Astrio

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Lindome GIF 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWWDDWWDLW

BK Astrio 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

WLDLLLLLLL

Head-to-head

Lindome GIF 2–4 BK Astrio (6 last)

BK Astrio1-2Lindome GIF
Lindome GIF2-1BK Astrio
BK Astrio3-2Lindome GIF
Lindome GIF2-3BK Astrio
BK Astrio3-0Lindome GIF
BK Astrio3-0Lindome GIF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lindome GIF 1541 · BK Astrio 1397

	Lindome GIF	Draw	BK Astrio
Our model	67%	18%	14%
Market	68%	18%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 3.7 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lindome GIF (rating 1541 vs 1397).
H2H favours BK Astrio: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lindome GIF	BK Astrio
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.3	0.6 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.6	0.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 5.9	0.8 / 2.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.3	2.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.33

X5.00

26.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.82

2 (+1.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.90

Under 3.751.90

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
12:43 +4’	1.33	5.00	6.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lindome GIF 2–0–4 BK Astrio

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/06/26 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	BK Astrio	1-2 HT 0-1	Lindome GIF
02/08/25 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Lindome GIF	2-1 HT 0-0	BK Astrio
05/04/25 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	BK Astrio	3-2 HT 0-1	Lindome GIF
10/08/24 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Lindome GIF	2-3 HT 2-2	BK Astrio
13/04/24 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	BK Astrio	3-0 HT 0-0	Lindome GIF
22/10/23 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	BK Astrio	3-0 HT 1-0	Lindome GIF

Standings · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · Vastra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Landvetter IS	16	12	2	2	28	10	38
2	Dalstorps IF	16	8	5	3	31	18	29
3	Jonsereds IF	16	8	4	4	28	27	28
4	Västra Frölunda IF	16	7	6	3	36	24	27
5	Hestrafors IF	16	8	3	5	34	29	27
6	Lindome GIF	16	7	4	5	30	25	25
7	IF Boljan	16	6	5	5	22	23	23
8	Torslanda IK	16	5	7	4	26	21	22
9	Qviding FIF	16	6	4	6	33	31	22
10	Onsala BK	16	5	6	5	24	24	21
11	Astorps FF	16	3	5	8	19	31	14
12	IK Kongahälla	16	2	6	8	15	31	12
13	Galtabäcks BK	16	2	4	10	22	28	10
14	BK Astrio	16	1	3	12	11	37	6

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lindome GIF	BK Astrio
Dalstorps IF	2-2 D	0-4 L
Galtabäcks BK	1-1 D	2-1 W
Torslanda IK	2-1 W	0-6 L
Hestrafors IF	2-3 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Lindome GIF (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Lindome GIF

LWWDDWWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	Astorps FF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	2-0	2	2	W
31/07	Jonsereds IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	2-3	6	2	L
26/06	Dalstorps IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
18/06	Astorps FF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-0	3-0	6	3	W
11/06	BK Astrio Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	2-1	8	5	W
05/06	IK Kongahälla Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	2-2	12	4	D
29/05	Galtabäcks BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	1-1	8	2	D
22/05	Torslanda IK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-0	2-1	0	2	W
17/05	Jonsereds IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	5-0	5	2	W
08/05	Hestrafors IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-3	2-3	8	7	L

BK Astrio

WLDLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Torslanda IK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-4	0-6	1	2	L
02/08	Qviding FIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-2	1-3	4	4	L
27/06	Hestrafors IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
23/06	Angelholm Sweden Cup	0-0	0-3	1	2	L
18/06	Dalstorps IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	0-4	1	0	L
11/06	Lindome GIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	1-2	4	5	L
05/06	IF Boljan Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	1-3	5	0	L
30/05	Onsala BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
24/05	Landvetter IS Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	0-2	1	5	L
17/05	Galtabäcks BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-0	2-1	3	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lindome GIF vs BK Astrio?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lindome GIF win (67%). Probabilities: Lindome GIF 67%, draw 18%, BK Astrio 14%.

How many goals are expected in Lindome GIF vs BK Astrio?

The model expects 3.7 goals (Lindome GIF 2.56 · BK Astrio 1.14), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Lindome GIF vs BK Astrio?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.