Football · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · 15/08, 13:00

Prediction: Jonsereds IF vs Onsala BK

Team pages: Jonsereds IF · Onsala BK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.3Total

Jonsereds IF1.67

Onsala BK1.63

1X2

39% 24% 37%

Jonsereds IF Draw Onsala BK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Jonsereds IF 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLLWWDLWWD

Onsala BK 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWDLLDWLDW

Head-to-head

Jonsereds IF 2–1–0 Onsala BK (3 last)

Onsala BK2-3Jonsereds IF
Jonsereds IF1-0Onsala BK
Onsala BK3-3Jonsereds IF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jonsereds IF 1520 · Onsala BK 1502

	Jonsereds IF	Draw	Onsala BK
Our model	38%	25%	37%
Market	39%	24%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.3 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Jonsereds IF: 2-1-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Jonsereds IF	Onsala BK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2	1.8 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 3.5	2.6 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0.1	2.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.75

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
13:26 +6’	2.30	3.75	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Jonsereds IF 2–1–0 Onsala BK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Onsala BK	2-3 HT 1-2	Jonsereds IF
05/09/25 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Jonsereds IF	1-0 HT 1-0	Onsala BK
17/05/25 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Onsala BK	3-3 HT 2-1	Jonsereds IF

Standings · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · Vastra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Landvetter IS	16	12	2	2	28	10	38
2	Dalstorps IF	16	8	5	3	31	18	29
3	Jonsereds IF	16	8	4	4	28	27	28
4	Västra Frölunda IF	16	7	6	3	36	24	27
5	Hestrafors IF	16	8	3	5	34	29	27
6	Lindome GIF	16	7	4	5	30	25	25
7	IF Boljan	16	6	5	5	22	23	23
8	Torslanda IK	16	5	7	4	26	21	22
9	Qviding FIF	16	6	4	6	33	31	22
10	Onsala BK	16	5	6	5	24	24	21
11	Astorps FF	16	3	5	8	19	31	14
12	IK Kongahälla	16	2	6	8	15	31	12
13	Galtabäcks BK	16	2	4	10	22	28	10
14	BK Astrio	16	1	3	12	11	37	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Jonsereds IF	Onsala BK
Landvetter IS	2-2 D	2-4 L
IK Kongahälla	1-0 W	0-0 D
Qviding FIF	2-2 D	2-1 W
Torslanda IK	1-0 W	1-1 D
Hestrafors IF	1-5 L	5-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Jonsereds IF (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Jonsereds IF

LLLWWDLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Landvetter IS Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	2-2	1	5	D
31/07	Lindome GIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	3-2	5	2	W
28/06	IK Kongahälla Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
17/06	Landvetter IS Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
13/06	Qviding FIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	2-2	2	1	D
05/06	Galtabäcks BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-0	4-2	1	2	W
31/05	Torslanda IK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	1-0	0	3	W
22/05	Hestrafors IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-3	1-5	3	0	L
17/05	Lindome GIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	0-5	8	2	L
08/05	IK Kongahälla Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	0-1	5	2	L

Onsala BK

WWDLLDWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	IF Boljan Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	3-0	3	1	W
31/07	IK Kongahälla Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
26/06	Landvetter IS Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-2	2-4	9	3	L
18/06	IF Boljan Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-0	2-1	7	2	W
14/06	Torslanda IK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	1-1	4	7	D
11/06	Västra Frölunda IF Sweden Cup	1-2	2-4	8	3	L
07/06	Dalstorps IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	1-3	6	1	L
30/05	BK Astrio Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	0-0	9	2	D
22/05	Qviding FIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
16/05	Hestrafors IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-1	5-1	6	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jonsereds IF vs Onsala BK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Jonsereds IF win (39%). Probabilities: Jonsereds IF 39%, draw 24%, Onsala BK 37%.

How many goals are expected in Jonsereds IF vs Onsala BK?

The model expects 3.3 goals (Jonsereds IF 1.67 · Onsala BK 1.63), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Jonsereds IF vs Onsala BK?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.