Football · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · 12/09, 13:00

Prediction: Jonsereds IF vs Torslanda IK

Team pages: Jonsereds IF · Torslanda IK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.41Total

Jonsereds IF1.79

Torslanda IK1.62

1X2

42% 24% 34%

Jonsereds IF Draw Torslanda IK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Jonsereds IF 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDLWWDWDWL

Torslanda IK 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DDDDWWLLLL

Head-to-head

Jonsereds IF 1–2 Torslanda IK (3 last)

Torslanda IK0-1Jonsereds IF
Jonsereds IF1-5Torslanda IK
Torslanda IK3-0Jonsereds IF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jonsereds IF 1541 · Torslanda IK 1456

	Jonsereds IF	Draw	Torslanda IK
Our model	41%	24%	34%
Market	42%	24%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.41 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jonsereds IF (rating 1541 vs 1456).
H2H favours Torslanda IK: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Jonsereds IF	Torslanda IK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.4	1.8 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.8 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.3	2 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.1	2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.80

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
17:49 +2’	2.15	3.80	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Jonsereds IF 1–0–2 Torslanda IK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Torslanda IK	0-1 HT 0-1	Jonsereds IF
21/08/15 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Jonsereds IF	1-5 HT 1-3	Torslanda IK
14/05/15 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Torslanda IK	3-0 HT 2-0	Jonsereds IF

Standings · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · Vastra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Landvetter IS	20	14	2	4	35	16	44
2	Hestrafors IF	20	11	4	5	43	33	37
3	Dalstorps IF	20	10	6	4	38	23	36
4	Jonsereds IF	20	10	5	5	35	32	35
5	Lindome GIF	20	10	4	6	38	29	34
6	Västra Frölunda IF	20	9	6	5	41	31	33
7	IF Boljan	20	9	5	6	33	26	32
8	Qviding FIF	20	8	4	8	39	39	28
9	Astorps FF	20	6	5	9	25	34	23
10	Torslanda IK	20	5	7	8	31	35	22
11	Onsala BK	20	5	6	9	27	35	21
12	IK Kongahälla	20	4	6	10	24	39	18
13	Galtabäcks BK	20	4	5	11	28	33	17
14	BK Astrio	20	1	3	16	14	46	6

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Jonsereds IF	Torslanda IK
Qviding FIF	0-1 L	1-4 L
BK Astrio	4-2 W	6-0 W
Galtabäcks BK	1-1 D	2-1 W
Onsala BK	2-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jonsereds IF

WDLWWDWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Qviding FIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
30/08	BK Astrio Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-1	4-2	2	3	W
23/08	Galtabäcks BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
15/08	Onsala BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	2-1	2	3	W
09/08	Landvetter IS Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	2-2	1	5	D
31/07	Lindome GIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	3-2	5	2	W
28/06	IK Kongahälla Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
17/06	Landvetter IS Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
13/06	Qviding FIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	2-2	2	1	D
05/06	Galtabäcks BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-0	4-2	1	2	W

Torslanda IK

DDDDWWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	IF Boljan Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-3	2-5	2	2	L
29/08	Hestrafors IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
22/08	Qviding FIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-3	1-4	6	0	L
15/08	Dalstorps IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	1-2	3	2	L
09/08	BK Astrio Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	4-0	6-0	7	2	W
01/08	Galtabäcks BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	2-1	5	1	W
27/06	Astorps FF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	1-1	6	2	D
18/06	Västra Frölunda IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	1-1	5	1	D
14/06	Onsala BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	1-1	6	7	D
06/06	Hestrafors IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	2-2	4	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jonsereds IF vs Torslanda IK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Jonsereds IF win (42%). Probabilities: Jonsereds IF 42%, draw 24%, Torslanda IK 34%.

How many goals are expected in Jonsereds IF vs Torslanda IK?

The model expects 3.41 goals (Jonsereds IF 1.79 · Torslanda IK 1.62), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Jonsereds IF vs Torslanda IK?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.