Football · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · 18/10, 14:00

Prediction: Jonsereds IF vs Västra Frölunda IF

Team pages: Jonsereds IF · Västra Frölunda IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.23Total

Jonsereds IF1.71

Västra Frölunda IF1.52

1X2

42% 24% 34%

Jonsereds IF Draw Västra Frölunda IF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Jonsereds IF 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWDWLWLDWL

Västra Frölunda IF 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLWLWLLWDL

Head-to-head

Jonsereds IF 2–1–3 Västra Frölunda IF (6 last)

Västra Frölunda IF2-2Jonsereds IF
Västra Frölunda IF4-2Jonsereds IF
Jonsereds IF4-2Västra Frölunda IF
Jonsereds IF1-3Västra Frölunda IF
Västra Frölunda IF1-2Jonsereds IF
Västra Frölunda IF7-1Jonsereds IF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jonsereds IF 1511 · Västra Frölunda IF 1455

	Jonsereds IF	Draw	Västra Frölunda IF
Our model	41%	25%	33%
Market	43%	23%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3.23 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jonsereds IF (rating 1511 vs 1455).
H2H favours Västra Frölunda IF: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Jonsereds IF	Västra Frölunda IF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.5	1.2 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.4	2.3 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.90

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
15:56 +17’	2.10	3.90	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Jonsereds IF 2–1–3 Västra Frölunda IF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Västra Frölunda IF	2-2 HT 0-1	Jonsereds IF
14/09/25 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Västra Frölunda IF	4-2 HT 1-1	Jonsereds IF
26/04/25 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Jonsereds IF	4-2 HT 2-2	Västra Frölunda IF
19/10/24 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Jonsereds IF	1-3 HT 1-0	Västra Frölunda IF
09/06/24 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Västra Frölunda IF	1-2 HT 1-2	Jonsereds IF
09/06/18 Sweden 3.div Nordvästra Götaland	Västra Frölunda IF	7-1 HT 4-0	Jonsereds IF

Standings · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · Vastra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Landvetter IS	25	18	3	4	43	19	57
2	Dalstorps IF	25	14	7	4	50	28	49
3	Jonsereds IF	25	12	6	7	42	40	42
4	Hestrafors IF	25	12	5	8	50	43	41
5	IF Boljan	25	10	7	8	39	33	37
6	Västra Frölunda IF	25	10	7	8	45	40	37
7	Lindome GIF	25	11	4	10	47	43	37
8	Qviding FIF	25	11	4	10	46	45	37
9	Onsala BK	25	9	6	10	35	38	33
10	Torslanda IK	25	8	7	10	40	42	31
11	IK Kongahälla	25	7	6	12	36	47	27
12	Astorps FF	25	7	5	13	30	43	26
13	Galtabäcks BK	25	6	5	14	42	48	23
14	BK Astrio	25	2	4	19	22	58	10

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Jonsereds IF	Västra Frölunda IF
Dalstorps IF	2-3 L	0-3 L
Hestrafors IF	1-1 D	3-3 D
Astorps FF	0-2 L	2-0 W
Torslanda IK	3-2 W	0-1 L
BK Astrio	4-2 W	1-1 D
Galtabäcks BK	1-1 D	1-4 L
Onsala BK	2-1 W	3-1 W
Landvetter IS	2-2 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Jonsereds IF (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jonsereds IF

DWDWLWLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Dalstorps IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-2	2-3	–	–	L
03/10	IF Boljan Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
26/09	Hestrafors IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	1-1	5	4	D
20/09	Astorps FF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
12/09	Torslanda IK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	3-2	2	0	W
06/09	Qviding FIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
30/08	BK Astrio Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-1	4-2	2	3	W
23/08	Galtabäcks BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
15/08	Onsala BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	2-1	2	3	W
09/08	Landvetter IS Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	2-2	1	5	D

Västra Frölunda IF

DLWLWLLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Torslanda IK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
04/10	BK Astrio Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	1-1	8	2	D
27/09	Astorps FF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	2-0	3	2	W
20/09	Galtabäcks BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-2	1-4	6	3	L
11/09	Dalstorps IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	0-3	3	5	L
05/09	Onsala BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	3-1	5	0	W
28/08	Lindome GIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	1-2	8	2	L
23/08	Landvetter IS Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	1-0	0	4	W
14/08	IK Kongahälla Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-2	0-4	6	3	L
08/08	Hestrafors IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	3-3	5	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jonsereds IF vs Västra Frölunda IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Jonsereds IF win (42%). Probabilities: Jonsereds IF 42%, draw 24%, Västra Frölunda IF 34%.

How many goals are expected in Jonsereds IF vs Västra Frölunda IF?

The model expects 3.23 goals (Jonsereds IF 1.71 · Västra Frölunda IF 1.52), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Jonsereds IF vs Västra Frölunda IF?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.