Football · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · 18/10, 14:00

Prediction: BK Astrio vs Dalstorps IF

Team pages: BK Astrio · Dalstorps IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.57Total

BK Astrio1.2

Dalstorps IF2.37

1X2

17% 21% 62%

BK Astrio Draw Dalstorps IF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

BK Astrio 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLWDL

Dalstorps IF 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

BK Astrio 1–2 Dalstorps IF (3 last)

Dalstorps IF4-0BK Astrio
BK Astrio3-2Dalstorps IF
Dalstorps IF2-0BK Astrio

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BK Astrio 1409 · Dalstorps IF 1573

	BK Astrio	Draw	Dalstorps IF
Our model	17%	20%	62%
Market	17%	21%	62%

Estimated total (ours) 3.57 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dalstorps IF (rating 1409 vs 1573).
H2H favours Dalstorps IF: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	BK Astrio	Dalstorps IF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.7	2.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.4	1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3	2.4 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0	4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

15.25

X4.33

21.44

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.88

2 (-1.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:56 +18’	5.25	4.33	1.44

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · BK Astrio 1–0–2 Dalstorps IF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/06/26 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Dalstorps IF	4-0 HT 1-0	BK Astrio
13/11/21 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	BK Astrio	3-2 HT 1-0	Dalstorps IF
04/09/21 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Dalstorps IF	2-0 HT 0-0	BK Astrio

Standings · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · Vastra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Landvetter IS	25	18	3	4	43	19	57
2	Dalstorps IF	25	14	7	4	50	28	49
3	Jonsereds IF	25	12	6	7	42	40	42
4	Hestrafors IF	25	12	5	8	50	43	41
5	IF Boljan	25	10	7	8	39	33	37
6	Västra Frölunda IF	25	10	7	8	45	40	37
7	Lindome GIF	25	11	4	10	47	43	37
8	Qviding FIF	25	11	4	10	46	45	37
9	Onsala BK	25	9	6	10	35	38	33
10	Torslanda IK	25	8	7	10	40	42	31
11	IK Kongahälla	25	7	6	12	36	47	27
12	Astorps FF	25	7	5	13	30	43	26
13	Galtabäcks BK	25	6	5	14	42	48	23
14	BK Astrio	25	2	4	19	22	58	10

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BK Astrio	Dalstorps IF
Västra Frölunda IF	1-1 D	3-0 W
Galtabäcks BK	6-3 W	1-2 L
Onsala BK	0-2 L	2-0 W
IK Kongahälla	1-5 L	4-1 W
Astorps FF	1-2 L	3-1 W
Jonsereds IF	2-4 L	3-2 W
IF Boljan	0-1 L	1-1 D
Torslanda IK	0-6 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 6 L	6 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Dalstorps IF (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BK Astrio

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Landvetter IS Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	0-1	1	1	L
04/10	Västra Frölunda IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	1-1	1	2	D
26/09	Galtabäcks BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-2	6-3	–	–	W
19/09	Onsala BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	0-2	5	5	L
12/09	IK Kongahälla Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-2	1-5	–	–	L
06/09	Astorps FF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-2	1-2	8	7	L
30/08	Jonsereds IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-2	2-4	2	3	L
22/08	IF Boljan Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	0-1	5	5	L
14/08	Lindome GIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	0-2	1	2	L
09/08	Torslanda IK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-4	0-6	1	2	L

Dalstorps IF

WWDWLWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Jonsereds IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-1	3-2	–	–	W
03/10	Astorps FF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
25/09	IF Boljan Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	1-1	5	6	D
19/09	Qviding FIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	2-1	6	2	W
11/09	Västra Frölunda IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	3-0	3	5	W
05/09	Galtabäcks BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	1-2	1	3	L
29/08	Onsala BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	2-0	5	7	W
22/08	Hestrafors IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	2-2	6	6	D
15/08	Torslanda IK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	2-1	4	2	W
09/08	IK Kongahälla Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	4-1	5	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BK Astrio vs Dalstorps IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Dalstorps IF win (62%). Probabilities: BK Astrio 17%, draw 21%, Dalstorps IF 62%.

How many goals are expected in BK Astrio vs Dalstorps IF?

The model expects 3.57 goals (BK Astrio 1.2 · Dalstorps IF 2.37), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in BK Astrio vs Dalstorps IF?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.