Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · 31/07, 19:30
Prediction: IF Karlstad II vs Grebbestads IF
Team pages: IF Karlstad II · Grebbestads IF
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.3Total
IF Karlstad II1.53
Grebbestads IF1.77
1X2
IF Karlstad II
Draw
Grebbestads IF
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
IF Karlstad II
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Grebbestads IF
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
IF Karlstad II
0–2–2
Grebbestads IF
(4 last)
- Grebbestads IF1-1IF Karlstad II
- Grebbestads IF6-1IF Karlstad II
- IF Karlstad II2-2Grebbestads IF
- IF Karlstad II1-2Grebbestads IF
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · IF Karlstad II 1424 · Grebbestads IF 1553
| IF Karlstad II | Draw | Grebbestads IF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 25% | 43% |
| Market | 33% | 24% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.3 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Grebbestads IF (rating 1424 vs 1553).
- H2H favours Grebbestads IF: 2-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| IF Karlstad II | Grebbestads IF | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 2.1 | 2.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.8 / 2.8 | 3.6 / 6.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.3 | 2.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · IF Karlstad II 0–2–2 Grebbestads IF
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland | Grebbestads IF | 1-1 HT 0-0 | IF Karlstad II |
| 16/10/21 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland | Grebbestads IF | 6-1 HT 4-0 | IF Karlstad II |
| 15/08/21 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland | IF Karlstad II | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Grebbestads IF |
| 05/09/20 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland | IF Karlstad II | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Grebbestads IF |
Standings · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · Norra Gotaland
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Husqvarna FF | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 39 |
| 2 | Skara | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 29 | 17 | 33 |
| 3 | IFK Skövde FK | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 28 |
| 4 | Grebbestads IF | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 25 |
| 5 | Ahlafors IF | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 19 | 23 |
| 6 | Stenungsunds IF | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 18 |
| 7 | Motala AIF FK | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 18 |
| 8 | IFK Kumla | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
| 9 | Herrestads AIF | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 27 | 17 |
| 10 | Vanersborgs FK | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 24 | 16 |
| 11 | Lidköpings FK | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 33 | 12 |
| 12 | IF Karlstad II | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 26 | 10 |
| 13 | IK Tord | 14 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 8 |
| 14 | Vänersborgs IF | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 8 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | IF Karlstad II | Grebbestads IF |
|---|---|---|
| Husqvarna FF | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Motala AIF FK | 1-3 L | 2-0 W |
| IK Tord | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| IFK Skövde FK | 0-2 L | 4-0 W |
| Lidköpings FK | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Ahlafors IF | 1-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Vanersborgs FK | 2-3 L | 3-2 W |
| IFK Kumla | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 5 L | 6 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Grebbestads IF (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
IF Karlstad II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Husqvarna FF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 21/06 | Motala AIF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | IK Tord Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 07/06 | IFK Skövde FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 29/05 | Lidköpings FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Ahlafors IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 14/05 | Vanersborgs FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-3 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 08/05 | IFK Kumla Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | Stenungsunds IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Husqvarna FF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
Grebbestads IF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | IFK Kumla Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 18/06 | Vänersborgs IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-3 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 12/06 | IFK Skövde FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 05/06 | Husqvarna FF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 29/05 | Vanersborgs FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-0 | 3-2 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Motala AIF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/05 | Lidköpings FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Ahlafors IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 01/05 | Skara Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-2 | 1-3 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | IK Tord Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in IF Karlstad II vs Grebbestads IF?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Grebbestads IF win (43%). Probabilities: IF Karlstad II 33%, draw 25%, Grebbestads IF 43%.
How many goals are expected in IF Karlstad II vs Grebbestads IF?
The model expects 3.3 goals (IF Karlstad II 1.53 · Grebbestads IF 1.77), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in IF Karlstad II vs Grebbestads IF?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.