Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 15/08, 13:00

Prediction: BK Olympic vs Ariana FC Malmo

Team pages: BK Olympic · Ariana FC Malmo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.64Total

BK Olympic1.67

Ariana FC Malmo1.96

1X2

32% 24% 44%

BK Olympic Draw Ariana FC Malmo

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

BK Olympic 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWLDWWWWWL

Ariana FC Malmo 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

BK Olympic 3–1–2 Ariana FC Malmo (6 last)

Ariana FC Malmo1-2BK Olympic
BK Olympic5-3Ariana FC Malmo
Ariana FC Malmo4-2BK Olympic
BK Olympic1-1Ariana FC Malmo
BK Olympic0-1Ariana FC Malmo
BK Olympic3-0Ariana FC Malmo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BK Olympic 1520 · Ariana FC Malmo 1522

	BK Olympic	Draw	Ariana FC Malmo
Our model	32%	23%	44%
Market	32%	24%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 3.64 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours BK Olympic: 3-1-2.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	BK Olympic	Ariana FC Malmo
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.7	2.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.6	1.1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.4	2.9 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.1	2.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.70

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.93

2 (-0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
19:51 +2’	2.80	3.70	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · BK Olympic 3–1–2 Ariana FC Malmo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/06/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	Ariana FC Malmo	1-2 HT 0-2	BK Olympic
26/05/26 Sweden Cup Qualification	BK Olympic	5-3 HT 2-2	Ariana FC Malmo
25/10/25 Sweden 1.div Södra	Ariana FC Malmo	4-2 HT 2-0	BK Olympic
19/06/25 Sweden 1.div Södra	BK Olympic	1-1 HT 1-0	Ariana FC Malmo
09/02/25 Club Friendly List	BK Olympic	0-1 HT 0-0	Ariana FC Malmo
12/10/24 Sweden 1.div Södra	BK Olympic	3-0 HT 1-0	Ariana FC Malmo

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	16	10	6	0	37	15	36
2	Atvidabergs FF	16	8	5	3	32	21	29
3	Ariana FC Malmo	16	8	4	4	31	20	28
4	Lunds BK	16	7	7	2	29	19	28
5	Hässleholms IF	16	8	3	5	31	22	27
6	FC Rosengård 1917	16	7	5	4	27	21	26
7	BK Olympic	16	7	1	8	25	27	22
8	Tvååkers IF	16	6	4	6	20	23	22
9	Jonkopings Sodra	16	6	3	7	24	19	21
10	Eskilsminne IF	16	6	3	7	25	28	21
11	Angelholm	16	3	8	5	24	25	17
12	Kristianstad FC	16	4	5	7	17	24	17
13	Skövde AIK	16	3	8	5	13	24	17
14	Laholms FK	16	5	1	10	22	30	16
15	FC Trollhättan	16	3	7	6	19	27	16
16	Utsiktens BK	16	1	2	13	12	43	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BK Olympic	Ariana FC Malmo
Jonkopings Sodra	0-2 L	1-0 W
Skövde AIK	3-1 W	4-0 W
Eskilsminne IF	2-1 W	2-1 W
Laholms FK	3-2 W	4-2 W
Angelholm	1-1 D	2-2 D
Lunds BK	1-3 L	4-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	5 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Ariana FC Malmo (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

BK Olympic

LWLDWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-2	8	2	L
01/08	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	3-0	3-1	8	3	W
25/07	Hässleholms IF Club Friendly List	2-0	2-1	5	1	W
28/06	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	2-1	5	4	W
21/06	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	2-1	6	3	W
13/06	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	3-1	3-2	5	4	W
08/06	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	1-1	0	2	D
03/06	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	1-3	1	1	L
26/05	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden Cup Qualification	2-2	5-3	3	3	W
23/05	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-2	3	3	L

Ariana FC Malmo

LWLWWWLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-2	1-2	4	2	L
01/08	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	2-2	7	4	D
27/06	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
21/06	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	0-2	1-2	13	3	L
12/06	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	3-0	4-1	5	1	W
07/06	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-1	3	3	W
30/05	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	2-2	4-2	9	4	W
26/05	BK Olympic Sweden Cup Qualification	2-2	3-5	7	3	L
23/05	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	4-0	5	1	W
18/05	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-1	8	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BK Olympic vs Ariana FC Malmo?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ariana FC Malmo win (44%). Probabilities: BK Olympic 32%, draw 24%, Ariana FC Malmo 44%.

How many goals are expected in BK Olympic vs Ariana FC Malmo?

The model expects 3.64 goals (BK Olympic 1.67 · Ariana FC Malmo 1.96), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in BK Olympic vs Ariana FC Malmo?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.