Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 01/08, 13:00

Prediction: Tvååkers IF vs Utsiktens BK

Team pages: Tvååkers IF · Utsiktens BK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.16Total

Tvååkers IF2.22

Utsiktens BK0.94

1X2

66% 20% 14%

Tvååkers IF Draw Utsiktens BK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

Tvååkers IF 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWDLDWWL

Utsiktens BK 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

LLLDLDLLLL

Head-to-head

Tvååkers IF 2–3–1 Utsiktens BK (6 last)

Tvååkers IF2-0Utsiktens BK
Utsiktens BK0-4Tvååkers IF
Tvååkers IF2-2Utsiktens BK
Utsiktens BK3-3Tvååkers IF
Tvååkers IF2-2Utsiktens BK
Utsiktens BK3-2Tvååkers IF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tvååkers IF 1517 · Utsiktens BK 1400

	Tvååkers IF	Draw	Utsiktens BK
Our model	65%	21%	14%
Market	66%	20%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tvååkers IF (rating 1517 vs 1400).
H2H favours Tvååkers IF: 2-3-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tvååkers IF	Utsiktens BK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.4	0.6 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	0.2 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	0/10/90%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.5	2 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0	1.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.36

X4.50

26.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.85

2 (+1.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.02

Under 3.251.77

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.36 → 1.36	Bet365 1.36
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
20:08 +5’	1.36	4.50	6.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tvååkers IF 2–3–1 Utsiktens BK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/09/21 Sweden 1.div Södra	Tvååkers IF	2-0 HT 0-0	Utsiktens BK
08/05/21 Sweden 1.div Södra	Utsiktens BK	0-4 HT 0-2	Tvååkers IF
04/10/20 Sweden 1.div Södra	Tvååkers IF	2-2 HT 2-2	Utsiktens BK
17/06/20 Sweden 1.div Södra	Utsiktens BK	3-3 HT 3-0	Tvååkers IF
24/08/19 Sweden 1.div Södra	Tvååkers IF	2-2 HT 1-0	Utsiktens BK
06/04/19 Sweden 1.div Södra	Utsiktens BK	3-2 HT 1-2	Tvååkers IF

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	14	9	5	0	33	12	32
2	Ariana FC Malmo	14	8	3	3	28	16	27
3	Atvidabergs FF	14	7	5	2	30	18	26
4	Lunds BK	14	7	5	2	26	16	26
5	FC Rosengård 1917	14	6	4	4	23	19	22
6	Hässleholms IF	14	6	3	5	27	22	21
7	Tvååkers IF	14	6	3	5	17	19	21
8	Eskilsminne IF	15	6	2	7	25	28	20
9	BK Olympic	14	6	1	7	22	24	19
10	Jonkopings Sodra	14	5	3	6	20	15	18
11	Angelholm	14	3	7	4	22	22	16
12	Skövde AIK	14	3	7	4	11	20	16
13	Kristianstad FC	15	3	5	7	16	24	14
14	Laholms FK	14	4	1	9	21	29	13
15	FC Trollhättan	14	2	7	5	18	26	13
16	Utsiktens BK	14	1	1	12	10	39	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tvååkers IF	Utsiktens BK
Hässleholms IF	2-4 L	0-3 L
Angelholm	3-2 W	2-4 L
Atvidabergs FF	2-2 D	0-3 L
FC Rosengård 1917	1-0 W	0-1 L
Laholms FK	1-2 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Tvååkers IF (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Tvååkers IF

LWWWDLDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/06	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-3	2-4	4	2	L
18/06	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	2-1	3-2	3	0	W
13/06	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	2-1	3	3	W
07/06	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-2	2-2	5	4	D
30/05	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-2	6	3	L
23/05	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
18/05	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-0	2	0	W
14/05	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
09/05	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-0	0	3	W
02/05	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	1-2	5	2	L

Utsiktens BK

LLLDLDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/06	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-3	1-3	1	2	L
17/06	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-2	0-3	12	0	L
13/06	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	1-2	2-4	9	2	L
08/06	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-1	3	5	L
03/06	Viken Sweden Cup Qualification	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
30/05	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-3	5	2	L
23/05	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	1	0	D
17/05	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-5	1	0	L
13/05	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-2	2-3	8	2	L
09/05	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-4	3	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tvååkers IF vs Utsiktens BK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tvååkers IF win (66%). Probabilities: Tvååkers IF 66%, draw 20%, Utsiktens BK 14%.

How many goals are expected in Tvååkers IF vs Utsiktens BK?

The model expects 3.16 goals (Tvååkers IF 2.22 · Utsiktens BK 0.94), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Tvååkers IF vs Utsiktens BK?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.