Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · 31/07, 19:30

Prediction: Stenungsunds IF vs Skara

Team pages: Stenungsunds IF · Skara

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.3Total

Stenungsunds IF1.43

Skara1.86

1X2

29% 24% 47%

Stenungsunds IF Draw Skara

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Stenungsunds IF 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLDWLWLWL

Skara 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

WWDWWWWWDW

Head-to-head

Stenungsunds IF 0–1 Skara (1 last)

Skara2-1Stenungsunds IF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stenungsunds IF 1485 · Skara 1605

	Stenungsunds IF	Draw	Skara
Our model	29%	24%	47%
Market	29%	24%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 3.3 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Skara (rating 1485 vs 1605).
Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Stenungsunds IF	Skara
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.7	2.1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1	1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 4.1	3 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.3	2.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.75

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.82

2 (-0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.80

Under 3.252.00

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.10▲	Bet365 3.10
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	1.95 → 1.91▼	Bet365 1.91

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:07 +1’	3.00	3.75	1.95
15:02 +7’	3.10▲	3.75	1.91▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Stenungsunds IF 0–0–1 Skara

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/04/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	Skara	2-1 HT 1-1	Stenungsunds IF

Standings · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · Norra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Husqvarna FF	15	12	3	0	36	10	39
2	Skara	14	10	3	1	29	17	33
3	IFK Skövde FK	14	9	1	4	30	19	28
4	Grebbestads IF	14	8	1	5	27	20	25
5	Ahlafors IF	14	6	5	3	31	19	23
6	Stenungsunds IF	14	5	3	6	25	22	18
7	Motala AIF FK	14	5	3	6	18	17	18
8	IFK Kumla	14	4	5	5	15	16	17
9	Herrestads AIF	14	4	5	5	23	27	17
10	Vanersborgs FK	14	4	4	6	19	24	16
11	Lidköpings FK	15	3	3	9	16	33	12
12	IF Karlstad II	14	2	4	8	16	26	10
13	IK Tord	14	0	8	6	15	26	8
14	Vänersborgs IF	14	2	2	10	16	40	8

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Stenungsunds IF	Skara
Vänersborgs IF	0-1 L	2-1 W
Vanersborgs FK	4-2 W	3-1 W
Ahlafors IF	0-4 L	1-1 D
Husqvarna FF	1-3 L	1-1 D
Lidköpings FK	6-0 W	4-2 W
Herrestads AIF	1-4 L	2-0 W
IFK Skövde FK	0-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 5 L	5 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Skara (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stenungsunds IF

LWLDWLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/06	Vänersborgs IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
18/06	Vanersborgs FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	2-1	4-2	2	5	W
12/06	Ahlafors IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-3	0-4	3	3	L
04/06	Vänersborgs IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	2-0	5-0	7	1	W
31/05	Husqvarna FF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	1-3	2	4	L
23/05	Lidköpings FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	3-0	6-0	–	–	W
17/05	Motala AIF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-0	1-1	4	0	D
08/05	Herrestads AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-4	1-4	3	4	L
03/05	IF Karlstad II Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	2-0	4	5	W
25/04	IFK Skövde FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	0-2	7	1	L

Skara

WWDWWWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/06	Herrestads AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
18/06	Ahlafors IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	1-1	7	3	D
13/06	Lidköpings FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	2-1	4-2	5	0	W
05/06	Vanersborgs FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-0	3-1	5	1	W
29/05	IFK Skövde FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	1-0	11	1	W
21/05	IK Tord Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-0	2-1	6	3	W
14/05	IFK Kumla Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
09/05	Husqvarna FF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
01/05	Grebbestads IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	2-0	3-1	2	2	W
24/04	Vänersborgs IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	2-1	9	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stenungsunds IF vs Skara?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Skara win (47%). Probabilities: Stenungsunds IF 29%, draw 24%, Skara 47%.

How many goals are expected in Stenungsunds IF vs Skara?

The model expects 3.3 goals (Stenungsunds IF 1.43 · Skara 1.86), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Stenungsunds IF vs Skara?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.