Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 14/08, 19:00

Prediction: Lunds BK vs Hässleholms IF

Team pages: Lunds BK · Hässleholms IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.06Total

Lunds BK1.79

Hässleholms IF1.27

1X2

49% 25% 26%

Lunds BK Draw Hässleholms IF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Lunds BK 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWDLDWDD

Hässleholms IF 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWLDDWWLWW

Head-to-head

Lunds BK 4–2 Hässleholms IF (6 last)

Hässleholms IF0-1Lunds BK
Lunds BK3-2Hässleholms IF
Hässleholms IF1-0Lunds BK
Lunds BK1-2Hässleholms IF
Lunds BK1-0Hässleholms IF
Lunds BK2-0Hässleholms IF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lunds BK 1538 · Hässleholms IF 1536

	Lunds BK	Draw	Hässleholms IF
Our model	49%	25%	26%
Market	49%	25%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.06 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Lunds BK: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lunds BK	Hässleholms IF
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.6	1.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	1.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	70/10/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 6	1.5 / 2.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0	3.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.60

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.93

2 (+0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 19:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 2.15▲	Bet365 2.15
X	3.60 → 3.40▼	Bet365 3.40
2	3.40 → 2.75▼	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:27 +17’	1.83	3.60	3.40
18:56 +8’	2.15▲	3.40▼	2.75▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lunds BK 4–0–2 Hässleholms IF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/05/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	Hässleholms IF	0-1 HT 0-1	Lunds BK
31/01/26 Club Friendly List	Lunds BK	3-2 HT 2-1	Hässleholms IF
05/09/25 Sweden 1.div Södra	Hässleholms IF	1-0 HT 0-0	Lunds BK
27/07/25 Club Friendly List	Lunds BK	1-2 HT 0-0	Hässleholms IF
09/05/25 Sweden 1.div Södra	Lunds BK	1-0 HT 1-0	Hässleholms IF
26/02/25 Club Friendly List	Lunds BK	2-0 HT 1-0	Hässleholms IF

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	16	10	6	0	37	15	36
2	Atvidabergs FF	16	8	5	3	32	21	29
3	Ariana FC Malmo	16	8	4	4	31	20	28
4	Lunds BK	16	7	7	2	29	19	28
5	Hässleholms IF	16	8	3	5	31	22	27
6	FC Rosengård 1917	16	7	5	4	27	21	26
7	BK Olympic	16	7	1	8	25	27	22
8	Tvååkers IF	16	6	4	6	20	23	22
9	Jonkopings Sodra	16	6	3	7	24	19	21
10	Eskilsminne IF	16	6	3	7	25	28	21
11	Angelholm	16	3	8	5	24	25	17
12	Kristianstad FC	16	4	5	7	17	24	17
13	Skövde AIK	16	3	8	5	13	24	17
14	Laholms FK	16	5	1	10	22	30	16
15	FC Trollhättan	16	3	7	6	19	27	16
16	Utsiktens BK	16	1	2	13	12	43	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lunds BK	Hässleholms IF
Skövde AIK	1-1 D	2-2 D
Trelleborgs FF	2-2 D	0-2 L
BK Olympic	3-1 W	1-2 L
Utsiktens BK	5-0 W	2-0 W
Laholms FK	3-4 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Lunds BK (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Lunds BK

LWWWDLDWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
02/08	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	2-2	4	4	D
27/06	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	2-1	8	4	W
18/06	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
12/06	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	0-3	1-4	10	1	L
07/06	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	1-1	13	1	D
03/06	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	3-1	6	1	W
22/05	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	4-2	4	3	W
17/05	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	5-0	3	0	W
13/05	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	2-1	3-4	3	5	L

Hässleholms IF

WWLDDWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-0	1	4	W
01/08	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
25/07	BK Olympic Club Friendly List	0-2	1-2	0	1	L
18/07	FK Karlskrona Club Friendly List	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
26/06	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	3-1	4-2	4	2	W
22/06	Räppe GOIF Sweden Cup	1-0	1-1	8	5	D
18/06	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-2	2	2	D
14/06	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-2	2	6	L
04/06	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	2-1	2-1	2	4	W
30/05	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	3-0	3	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lunds BK vs Hässleholms IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lunds BK win (49%). Probabilities: Lunds BK 49%, draw 25%, Hässleholms IF 26%.

How many goals are expected in Lunds BK vs Hässleholms IF?

The model expects 3.06 goals (Lunds BK 1.79 · Hässleholms IF 1.27), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Lunds BK vs Hässleholms IF?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.