Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 10/10, 13:00

Prediction: Hässleholms IF vs Jonkopings Sodra

Team pages: Hässleholms IF · Jonkopings Sodra

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.13Total

Hässleholms IF1.05

Jonkopings Sodra1.08

1X2

34% 29% 36%

Hässleholms IF Draw Jonkopings Sodra

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Hässleholms IF 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLWLLW

Jonkopings Sodra 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDDWLDWWLL

Head-to-head

Hässleholms IF 0–3 Jonkopings Sodra (3 last)

Jonkopings Sodra2-0Hässleholms IF
Hässleholms IF1-2Jonkopings Sodra
Jonkopings Sodra2-1Hässleholms IF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hässleholms IF 1540 · Jonkopings Sodra 1507

	Hässleholms IF	Draw	Jonkopings Sodra
Our model	33%	32%	35%
Market	36%	27%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.13 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Jonkopings Sodra: 3-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hässleholms IF	Jonkopings Sodra
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.2	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.8	2.3 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.3	2.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.30

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.98

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.88

Under 2.51.93

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 1.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
14:08 +26’	2.50	3.30	2.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hässleholms IF 0–0–3 Jonkopings Sodra

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	Jonkopings Sodra	2-0 HT 1-0	Hässleholms IF
27/09/25 Sweden 1.div Södra	Hässleholms IF	1-2 HT 0-2	Jonkopings Sodra
28/05/25 Sweden 1.div Södra	Jonkopings Sodra	2-1 HT 2-0	Hässleholms IF

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	25	16	6	3	55	28	54
2	Atvidabergs FF	25	13	7	5	49	35	46
3	Hässleholms IF	25	14	3	8	46	30	45
4	Lunds BK	25	11	8	6	46	29	41
5	Ariana FC Malmo	25	11	8	6	45	35	41
6	FC Trollhättan	25	10	8	7	42	37	38
7	FC Rosengård 1917	25	10	8	7	41	37	38
8	Jonkopings Sodra	25	9	6	10	29	26	33
9	Tvååkers IF	25	9	6	10	33	39	33
10	Skövde AIK	25	8	9	8	31	38	33
11	Eskilsminne IF	25	9	5	11	40	44	32
12	BK Olympic	25	9	3	13	41	48	30
13	Kristianstad FC	25	7	6	12	29	37	27
14	Laholms FK	25	7	4	14	32	43	25
15	Angelholm	25	4	9	12	31	47	21
16	Utsiktens BK	25	2	6	17	23	60	12

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hässleholms IF	Jonkopings Sodra
Tvååkers IF	2-1 W	0-1 L
FC Rosengård 1917	1-2 L	0-0 D
Kristianstad FC	2-1 W	0-0 D
Eskilsminne IF	2-0 W	0-1 L
Laholms FK	2-1 W	0-0 D
Utsiktens BK	2-0 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Hässleholms IF (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hässleholms IF

WWWWWLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	2-1	2	4	W
26/09	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-2	5	4	L
20/09	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
16/09	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	2-0	6	2	W
12/09	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-2	8	7	L
05/09	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	2-1	6	3	W
29/08	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
24/08	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	2-1	0	5	W
14/08	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	3-0	2	4	W
08/08	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-0	1	4	W

Jonkopings Sodra

WDDWLDWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-1	7	5	L
26/09	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-3	5	2	L
21/09	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	3-2	6	3	W
16/09	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-0	7	3	W
13/09	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
06/09	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-1	8	5	L
29/08	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-0	6	0	W
22/08	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
15/08	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
09/08	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-0	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hässleholms IF vs Jonkopings Sodra?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Jonkopings Sodra win (36%). Probabilities: Hässleholms IF 34%, draw 29%, Jonkopings Sodra 36%.

How many goals are expected in Hässleholms IF vs Jonkopings Sodra?

The model expects 2.13 goals (Hässleholms IF 1.05 · Jonkopings Sodra 1.08), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Hässleholms IF vs Jonkopings Sodra?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.