Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · 31/07, 19:00

Prediction: IK Tord vs IFK Kumla

Team pages: IK Tord · IFK Kumla

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.43Total

IK Tord1.22

IFK Kumla1.21

1X2

37% 28% 36%

IK Tord Draw IFK Kumla

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

IK Tord 0-5-5 (W-D-L)

LLDDDLLDLD

IFK Kumla 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

DLDLLLDDWL

Head-to-head

IK Tord 0–1–2 IFK Kumla (3 last)

IFK Kumla1-0IK Tord
IK Tord1-1IFK Kumla
IFK Kumla3-1IK Tord

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IK Tord 1431 · IFK Kumla 1456

	IK Tord	Draw	IFK Kumla
Our model	35%	30%	35%
Market	38%	26%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours IFK Kumla: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IK Tord	IFK Kumla
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.9	0.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.9	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/40/60%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.6	3.1 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.50

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.88

2 (0)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 15:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	3.40 → 3.50▲	Bet365 3.50
2	2.50 → 2.45▼	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
12:07 +1’	2.40	3.40	2.50
13:04 +6’	2.45▲	3.40	2.45▼
15:07 +1’	2.40▼	3.50▲	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · IK Tord 0–1–2 IFK Kumla

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/06/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	IFK Kumla	1-0 HT 0-0	IK Tord
09/08/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	IK Tord	1-1 HT 1-0	IFK Kumla
16/05/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	IFK Kumla	3-1 HT 0-1	IK Tord

Standings · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · Norra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Husqvarna FF	15	12	3	0	36	10	39
2	Skara	14	10	3	1	29	17	33
3	IFK Skövde FK	14	9	1	4	30	19	28
4	Grebbestads IF	14	8	1	5	27	20	25
5	Ahlafors IF	14	6	5	3	31	19	23
6	Stenungsunds IF	14	5	3	6	25	22	18
7	Motala AIF FK	14	5	3	6	18	17	18
8	IFK Kumla	14	4	5	5	15	16	17
9	Herrestads AIF	14	4	5	5	23	27	17
10	Vanersborgs FK	14	4	4	6	19	24	16
11	Lidköpings FK	15	3	3	9	16	33	12
12	IF Karlstad II	14	2	4	8	16	26	10
13	IK Tord	14	0	8	6	15	26	8
14	Vänersborgs IF	14	2	2	10	16	40	8

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IK Tord	IFK Kumla
Ahlafors IF	2-2 D	1-1 D
IF Karlstad II	1-1 D	1-1 D
Skara	1-2 L	0-2 L
Husqvarna FF	1-1 D	1-3 L
Vanersborgs FK	2-2 D	0-0 D
Herrestads AIF	2-2 D	1-2 L
Grebbestads IF	0-3 L	1-2 L
IFK Skövde FK	0-4 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 5 D 3 L	0 W 3 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: IK Tord (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IK Tord

LLDDDLLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/06	Ahlafors IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	2-2	6	4	D
18/06	IFK Kumla Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-1	4	0	L
13/06	IF Karlstad II Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	1-1	5	2	D
06/06	Lidköpings FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
21/05	Skara Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	1-2	2	3	L
15/05	Husqvarna FF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	1-1	2	3	D
10/05	Vanersborgs FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-2	2-2	5	2	D
01/05	Herrestads AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	2-2	9	7	D
25/04	Grebbestads IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
18/04	IFK Skövde FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-2	0-4	2	4	L

IFK Kumla

DLDLLLDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/06	Grebbestads IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-0	1-2	1	3	L
18/06	IK Tord Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	1-0	4	0	W
11/06	Motala AIF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
07/06	Ahlafors IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	1-1	8	4	D
30/05	Herrestads AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-2	1-2	10	2	L
22/05	IFK Skövde FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-0	1-2	4	6	L
14/05	Skara Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
08/05	IF Karlstad II Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
01/05	Husqvarna FF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	1-3	5	4	L
25/04	Vanersborgs FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IK Tord vs IFK Kumla?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IK Tord win (37%). Probabilities: IK Tord 37%, draw 28%, IFK Kumla 36%.

How many goals are expected in IK Tord vs IFK Kumla?

The model expects 2.43 goals (IK Tord 1.22 · IFK Kumla 1.21), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in IK Tord vs IFK Kumla?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.