Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 02/08, 16:00

Prediction: Trelleborgs FF vs Lunds BK

Team pages: Trelleborgs FF · Lunds BK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.22Total

Trelleborgs FF2

Lunds BK1.22

1X2

54% 24% 22%

Trelleborgs FF Draw Lunds BK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Trelleborgs FF 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WDDDWWLWWD

Lunds BK 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDLWWWDLDW

Head-to-head

Trelleborgs FF 4–2–0 Lunds BK (6 last)

Lunds BK2-3Trelleborgs FF
Lunds BK1-2Trelleborgs FF
Lunds BK2-2Trelleborgs FF
Trelleborgs FF1-1Lunds BK
Lunds BK1-2Trelleborgs FF
Trelleborgs FF4-0Lunds BK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Trelleborgs FF 1562 · Lunds BK 1526

	Trelleborgs FF	Draw	Lunds BK
Our model	54%	24%	22%
Market	54%	24%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.22 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Trelleborgs FF: 4-2-0.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Trelleborgs FF	Lunds BK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1	2.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 5.4	2.9 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	2.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.65

X3.75

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.85

2 (+0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
20:18 +9’	1.65	3.75	4.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Trelleborgs FF 4–2–0 Lunds BK

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
20/08/25 Sweden Cup Qualification	Lunds BK	2-3 HT 1-2	Trelleborgs FF
18/03/23 Club Friendly List	Lunds BK	1-2 HT 1-0	Trelleborgs FF
26/02/20 Europe Friendlies	Lunds BK	2-2 HT 1-1	Trelleborgs FF
13/03/19 Europe Friendlies	Trelleborgs FF	1-1 HT 0-0	Lunds BK
07/09/15 Sweden 1.div Södra	Lunds BK	1-2 HT 0-1	Trelleborgs FF
06/07/15 Sweden 1.div Södra	Trelleborgs FF	4-0 HT 2-0	Lunds BK

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	14	9	5	0	33	12	32
2	Ariana FC Malmo	14	8	3	3	28	16	27
3	Atvidabergs FF	14	7	5	2	30	18	26
4	Lunds BK	14	7	5	2	26	16	26
5	FC Rosengård 1917	14	6	4	4	23	19	22
6	Hässleholms IF	14	6	3	5	27	22	21
7	Tvååkers IF	14	6	3	5	17	19	21
8	Eskilsminne IF	15	6	2	7	25	28	20
9	BK Olympic	14	6	1	7	22	24	19
10	Jonkopings Sodra	14	5	3	6	20	15	18
11	Angelholm	14	3	7	4	22	22	16
12	Skövde AIK	14	3	7	4	11	20	16
13	Kristianstad FC	15	3	5	7	16	24	14
14	Laholms FK	14	4	1	9	21	29	13
15	FC Trollhättan	14	2	7	5	18	26	13
16	Utsiktens BK	14	1	1	12	10	39	4

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Trelleborgs FF	Lunds BK
Kristianstad FC	0-0 D	1-1 D
Hässleholms IF	2-0 W	1-0 W
Skövde AIK	4-0 W	2-1 W
Eskilsminne IF	3-2 W	4-2 W
Utsiktens BK	0-0 D	5-0 W
FC Trollhättan	2-2 D	1-1 D
Jonkopings Sodra	1-1 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 4 D 0 L	4 W 3 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Trelleborgs FF

WDDDWWLWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/06	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
18/06	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	2-2	3-2	3	4	W
14/06	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-0	15	6	W
10/06	Osters IF Club Friendly List	0-2	1-2	5	1	L
07/06	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	4-0	7	1	W
30/05	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-2	3-2	6	5	W
23/05	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	2	0	D
17/05	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-2	9	4	D
14/05	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
10/05	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	2-1	1	5	W

Lunds BK

WDLWWWDLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/06	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	2-1	8	4	W
18/06	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
12/06	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	0-3	1-4	10	1	L
07/06	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	1-1	13	1	D
03/06	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	3-1	6	1	W
22/05	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	4-2	4	3	W
17/05	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	5-0	3	0	W
13/05	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	2-1	3-4	3	5	L
09/05	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
01/05	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-0	5	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Trelleborgs FF vs Lunds BK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Trelleborgs FF win (54%). Probabilities: Trelleborgs FF 54%, draw 24%, Lunds BK 22%.

How many goals are expected in Trelleborgs FF vs Lunds BK?

The model expects 3.22 goals (Trelleborgs FF 2 · Lunds BK 1.22), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Trelleborgs FF vs Lunds BK?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.