Prediction: Breidablik vs Keflavik
Expected goals: 3.88 (Breidablik 2.39 · Keflavik 1.49). The model gives 57% home, 21% draw, 23% away. Under 3.75 goals (51%) and both teams to score (60%). Most likely score: 2-1.
Recent form leaves Breidablik with 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; Keflavik has piled up 4-3-3 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for Breidablik and 1 for Keflavik, with 2 draws.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Breidablik (rating 1575 vs 1495).
- H2H favours Breidablik: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Breidablik | Keflavik | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.9 / 2.1 | 1.5 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 1 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 6.4 | 2.4 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Breidablik 3–2–1 Keflavik
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/26 Iceland Premier League | Keflavik | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Breidablik |
| 25/04/24 Iceland Cup | Keflavik | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Breidablik |
| 07/03/24 Iceland League Cup | Breidablik | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Keflavik |
| 20/08/23 Iceland Premier League | Breidablik | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Keflavik |
| 29/05/23 Iceland Premier League | Keflavik | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Breidablik |
| 17/07/22 Iceland Premier League | Keflavik | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Breidablik |
Standings · Iceland Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 14 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 48 | 9 | 40 |
| 2 | KR Reykjavik | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 48 | 34 | 29 |
| 3 | Fram Reykjavik | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 25 | 27 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 25 | 22 |
| 5 | Valur Reykjavik | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 27 | 19 |
| 6 | Keflavik | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 24 | 16 |
| 7 | Stjarnan | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 31 | 15 |
| 8 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 26 | 15 |
| 9 | IA Akranes | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 25 | 15 |
| 10 | KA Akureyri | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 28 | 10 |
| 11 | FH Hafnarfjordur | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 31 | 8 |
| 12 | Thor Akureyri | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 8 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Breidablik | Keflavik |
|---|---|---|
| IA Akranes | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Vikingur Reykjavik | 3-0 W | 1-3 L |
| KA Akureyri | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Stjarnan | 4-4 D | 1-1 D |
| Fram Reykjavik | 3-4 L | 1-1 D |
| KR Reykjavik | 6-3 W | 3-2 W |
| Valur Reykjavik | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 3 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Breidablik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 28/06 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Cup |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 25/06 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 21/06 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 16/06 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
3-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 12/06 | KF Aegir Iceland Cup |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/05 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 22/05 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
4-2 | 6-3 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 13 | 1 | L |
| 13/05 | Throttur Reykjavik Iceland Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
Keflavik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 28/06 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 21/06 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 14/06 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 1-6 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 22/05 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 08/05 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Breidablik vs Keflavik?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Breidablik win (57%). Probabilities: Breidablik 57%, draw 21%, Keflavik 23%.
How many goals are expected in Breidablik vs Keflavik?
The model expects 3.88 goals (Breidablik 2.39 · Keflavik 1.49), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Breidablik vs Keflavik?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.