Prediction: Fram Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri
Expected goals: 4.05 (Fram Reykjavik 2.77 · Thor Akureyri 1.29). The model gives 68% home, 17% draw, 15% away. Under 4 goals (52%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 2-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Fram Reykjavik sits at 7-2-1 (W-D-L), while Thor Akureyri arrives on a 0-2-8 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Fram Reykjavik won 5 and Thor Akureyri 1.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fram Reykjavik (rating 1563 vs 1396).
- H2H favours Fram Reykjavik: 5-0-1.
- High corners: 13.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fram Reykjavik | Thor Akureyri | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 2 | 0.9 / 2.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 1.1 | 0.4 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/10/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 7.5 | 2.8 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 4.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fram Reykjavik 5–0–1 Thor Akureyri
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/04/26 Iceland Premier League | Thor Akureyri | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Fram Reykjavik |
| 27/07/21 Iceland 1 Deild | Thor Akureyri | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Fram Reykjavik |
| 21/05/21 Iceland 1 Deild | Fram Reykjavik | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Thor Akureyri |
| 13/02/21 Iceland League Cup | Fram Reykjavik | 3-2 | Thor Akureyri |
| 26/09/20 Iceland 1 Deild | Thor Akureyri | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Fram Reykjavik |
| 26/07/20 Iceland 1 Deild | Fram Reykjavik | 6-1 HT 3-1 | Thor Akureyri |
Standings · Iceland Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 14 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 48 | 9 | 40 |
| 2 | KR Reykjavik | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 48 | 34 | 29 |
| 3 | Fram Reykjavik | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 24 | 26 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 25 | 22 |
| 5 | Valur Reykjavik | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 27 | 19 |
| 6 | Stjarnan | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 31 | 15 |
| 7 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 26 | 15 |
| 8 | Keflavik | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 23 | 15 |
| 9 | IA Akranes | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 25 | 15 |
| 10 | KA Akureyri | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 28 | 10 |
| 11 | FH Hafnarfjordur | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 31 | 8 |
| 12 | Thor Akureyri | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 8 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fram Reykjavik | Thor Akureyri |
|---|---|---|
| Keflavik | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| IA Akranes | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Vikingur Reykjavik | 0-5 L | 0-6 L |
| KA Akureyri | 4-3 W | 0-1 L |
| Breidablik | 4-3 W | 0-4 L |
| Stjarnan | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| KR Reykjavik | 2-2 D | 3-3 D |
| Valur Reykjavik | 3-2 W | 2-4 L |
| FH Hafnarfjordur | 4-3 W | 1-1 D |
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 5-1 W | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 7 W 2 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 8 L |
Better against common opponents: Fram Reykjavik (9 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fram Reykjavik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 29/06 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 21/06 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 15/06 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
3-2 | 4-3 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 29/05 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
3-1 | 4-3 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 08/05 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
2-2 | 3-2 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
1-3 | 4-3 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 27/04 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 11 | 1 | W |
Thor Akureyri
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
3-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 28/06 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 14/06 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
0-3 | 1-4 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 22/05 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 08/05 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-3 | 0-6 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 27/04 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fram Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Fram Reykjavik win (68%). Probabilities: Fram Reykjavik 68%, draw 17%, Thor Akureyri 15%.
How many goals are expected in Fram Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri?
The model expects 4.05 goals (Fram Reykjavik 2.77 · Thor Akureyri 1.29), with a 52% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Fram Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.