Prediction: Grei vs Baerum
- Baerum5-0Grei
| Grei | Draw | Baerum | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 13% | 15% | 72% |
| Market | 13% | 15% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Baerum (rating 1405 vs 1529).
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Grei | Baerum | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 3.4 | 3.3 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.3 | 1.5 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 50/0/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.1 | 2.8 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | 3.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Grei 0–0–1 Baerum
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/26 Norway Division 3 Group 1 | Baerum | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Grei |
Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Asker | 15 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 50 | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Gamle Oslo | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 53 | 29 | 31 |
| 3 | Heming | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 20 | 30 |
| 4 | Baerum | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 28 |
| 5 | IF Ready | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 22 | 27 |
| 6 | Frigg | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 29 | 25 |
| 7 | Valerenga 2 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 36 | 44 | 25 |
| 8 | FK Union Carl Berner | 15 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 21 |
| 9 | Nordstrand | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 33 | 16 |
| 10 | KFUM 2 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 27 | 43 | 14 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Oslo | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 23 | 48 | 13 |
| 12 | Konnerud | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 23 | 39 | 12 |
| 13 | Ullern | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 40 | 11 |
| 14 | Grei | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 24 | 49 | 10 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Grei | Baerum |
|---|---|---|
| KFUM 2 | 0-5 L | 5-1 W |
| Konnerud | 3-1 W | 7-2 W |
| FK Union Carl Berner | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| IF Ready | 3-5 L | 2-4 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Baerum (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Grei
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Lokomotiv Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 03/08 | KFUM 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-2 | 0-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Konnerud Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | Nordstrand Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-3 | 1-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 20/06 | FK Union Carl Berner Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | IF Ready Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-1 | 3-5 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 06/06 | Holmlia Norway Cup |
1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 30/05 | Baerum Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-2 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | KFUM 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 14/05 | Gamle Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
Baerum
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | KFUM 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-0 | 5-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | Heming Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 25/07 | Valerenga 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
4-2 | 6-3 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | Frigg Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 20/06 | Konnerud Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-1 | 7-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 14/06 | KFUM 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Grei Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | IF Ready Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Asker Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | FK Union Carl Berner Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Grei vs Baerum?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Baerum win (72%). Probabilities: Grei 13%, draw 15%, Baerum 72%.
How many goals are expected in Grei vs Baerum?
The model expects 4.7 goals (Grei 1.44 · Baerum 3.26), with a 52% chance of under 4.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Grei vs Baerum?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.