Football · South Korea K League 2 · 15/08, 12:30

Prediction: Busan I Park vs Hwaseong FC

Team pages: Busan I Park · Hwaseong FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.35Total

Busan I Park1.63

Hwaseong FC1.72

1X2

36% 25% 40%

Busan I Park Draw Hwaseong FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Busan I Park 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDDWWLLWLL

Hwaseong FC 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Busan I Park 2–1–2 Hwaseong FC (5 last)

Hwaseong FC3-2Busan I Park
Hwaseong FC1-1Busan I Park
Hwaseong FC1-0Busan I Park
Busan I Park3-2Hwaseong FC
Busan I Park4-0Hwaseong FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hwaseong FC (rating 1483 vs 1552).
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Busan I Park	Hwaseong FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.5	2.4 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	1.2 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.3	3 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0	3.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:12

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Pinn 2.05
X	3.64 → 3.64	Pinn 3.64
2	3.32 → 3.32	Pinn 3.32

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.4%

Time*	1	X	2
01:12	2.05	3.64	3.32

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Busan I Park 2–1–2 Hwaseong FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 South Korea K League 2	Hwaseong FC	3-2 HT 2-2	Busan I Park
28/09/25 South Korea K League 2	Hwaseong FC	1-1 HT 1-0	Busan I Park
19/07/25 South Korea K League 2	Hwaseong FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Busan I Park
27/04/25 South Korea K League 2	Busan I Park	3-2 HT 2-2	Hwaseong FC
01/07/20 South Korea Cup	Busan I Park	4-0 HT 3-0	Hwaseong FC

Standings · South Korea K League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Suwon Bluewings	20	12	4	4	29	17	40
2	Seoul E-Land FC	20	11	4	5	36	25	37
3	Suwon FC	19	10	6	3	39	24	36
4	Busan I Park	20	11	3	6	37	29	36
5	Daegu FC	20	10	5	5	39	30	35
6	Hwaseong FC	20	10	5	5	34	22	35
7	Gimpo FC	20	7	9	4	25	21	30
8	Chungnam Asan FC	20	7	7	6	29	24	28
9	Gyeongnam FC	20	6	7	7	27	28	25
10	Seongnam FC	19	5	8	6	20	22	23
11	Yongin FC	20	4	10	6	25	29	22
12	Paju Frontier FC	20	6	3	11	19	25	21
13	Cheonan City	20	4	8	8	26	29	20
14	Chungbuk Cheongju	20	2	13	5	23	33	19
15	Ansan Greeners FC	20	5	4	11	21	37	19
16	Jeonnam Dragons	19	2	7	10	21	34	13
17	Gimhae FC 2008	19	2	5	12	16	37	11

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Busan I Park	Hwaseong FC
Yongin FC	0-2 L	3-0 W
Seoul E-Land FC	1-2 L	0-0 D
Suwon Bluewings	1-4 L	1-2 L
Chungnam Asan FC	2-2 D	3-2 W
Paju Frontier FC	4-1 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Hwaseong FC (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Busan I Park

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	Yongin FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-2	5	2	L
02/08	Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-2	6	4	L
29/07	FC Seoul South Korea Cup	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
25/07	Suwon Bluewings South Korea K League 2	1-1	1-4	6	5	L
18/07	Seongnam FC South Korea K League 2	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
15/07	Geoje Citizen FC South Korea Cup	1-0	4-0	0	1	W
12/07	Gimpo FC South Korea K League 2	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
05/07	Jeonnam Dragons South Korea K League 2	0-2	3-3	1	4	D
05/06	Chungnam Asan FC South Korea K League 2	2-2	2-2	3	4	D
30/05	Paju Frontier FC South Korea K League 2	1-0	4-1	8	2	W

Hwaseong FC

WWLLWWWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-0	2	1	D
01/08	Daegu FC South Korea K League 2	3-0	5-1	4	5	W
29/07	Jeju SK South Korea Cup	2-0	2-2	7	5	D
25/07	Chungnam Asan FC South Korea K League 2	2-0	3-2	5	4	W
19/07	Yongin FC South Korea K League 2	2-0	3-0	11	6	W
15/07	Yangpyeong FC South Korea Cup	0-1	4-3	5	3	W
11/07	Paju Frontier FC South Korea K League 2	0-1	1-2	12	2	L
06/06	Suwon Bluewings South Korea K League 2	1-0	1-2	3	4	L
31/05	Gyeongnam FC South Korea K League 2	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
23/05	Chungbuk Cheongju South Korea K League 2	1-1	3-2	7	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Busan I Park vs Hwaseong FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Hwaseong FC win (40%). Probabilities: Busan I Park 36%, draw 25%, Hwaseong FC 40%.

How many goals are expected in Busan I Park vs Hwaseong FC?

The model expects 3.35 goals (Busan I Park 1.63 · Hwaseong FC 1.72), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Busan I Park vs Hwaseong FC?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.