Football · South Korea K League 2 · 23/08, 12:30

Prediction: Jeonnam Dragons vs Hwaseong FC

Team pages: Jeonnam Dragons · Hwaseong FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.03Total

Jeonnam Dragons1.25

Hwaseong FC1.78

1X2

26% 25% 49%

Jeonnam Dragons Draw Hwaseong FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Jeonnam Dragons 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLDDLLWDLL

Hwaseong FC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWDWDD

Head-to-head

Jeonnam Dragons 2–2 Hwaseong FC (4 last)

Hwaseong FC1-0Jeonnam Dragons
Jeonnam Dragons1-2Hwaseong FC
Jeonnam Dragons3-2Hwaseong FC
Hwaseong FC1-2Jeonnam Dragons

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hwaseong FC (rating 1419 vs 1553).
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Jeonnam Dragons	Hwaseong FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.1	2.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	1.1 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4.1	3.5 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.2	3.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.81

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:25

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.51 → 3.51	Pinn 3.51
X	3.55 → 3.55	Pinn 3.55
2	2.02 → 2.02	Pinn 2.02

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.2%

Time*	1	X	2
01:25	3.51	3.55	2.02

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Jeonnam Dragons 2–0–2 Hwaseong FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 South Korea K League 2	Hwaseong FC	1-0 HT 1-0	Jeonnam Dragons
14/09/25 South Korea K League 2	Jeonnam Dragons	1-2 HT 0-0	Hwaseong FC
31/05/25 South Korea K League 2	Jeonnam Dragons	3-2 HT 2-1	Hwaseong FC
12/04/25 South Korea K League 2	Hwaseong FC	1-2 HT 0-1	Jeonnam Dragons

Standings · South Korea K League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Suwon Bluewings	21	12	5	4	31	19	41
2	Seoul E-Land FC	21	12	4	5	39	26	40
3	Daegu FC	21	11	5	5	41	30	38
4	Suwon FC	20	10	7	3	41	26	37
5	Busan I Park	21	11	4	6	37	29	37
6	Hwaseong FC	21	10	6	5	34	22	36
7	Gimpo FC	21	7	10	4	26	22	31
8	Chungnam Asan FC	21	7	7	7	29	26	28
9	Gyeongnam FC	21	6	8	7	28	29	26
10	Paju Frontier FC	21	7	3	11	21	26	24
11	Seongnam FC	20	5	8	7	21	24	23
12	Yongin FC	20	4	10	6	25	29	22
13	Chungbuk Cheongju	21	3	13	5	25	34	22
14	Cheonan City	21	4	9	8	27	30	21
15	Ansan Greeners FC	21	5	4	12	22	40	19
16	Jeonnam Dragons	20	2	7	11	22	36	13
17	Gimhae FC 2008	20	2	6	12	17	38	12

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Jeonnam Dragons	Hwaseong FC
Paju Frontier FC	1-2 L	1-2 L
Gyeongnam FC	1-1 D	2-0 W
Chungnam Asan FC	1-0 W	3-2 W
Busan I Park	3-3 D	0-0 D
Seoul E-Land FC	0-1 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Hwaseong FC (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Jeonnam Dragons

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Chungbuk Cheongju South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-2	2	1	L
02/08	Paju Frontier FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-2	2	4	L
25/07	Gyeongnam FC South Korea K League 2	1-0	1-1	3	2	D
18/07	Chungnam Asan FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-0	3	11	W
15/07	Chungnam Asan FC South Korea Cup	1-2	3-4	4	9	L
10/07	Suwon FC South Korea K League 2	0-2	0-5	1	5	L
05/07	Busan I Park South Korea K League 2	2-0	3-3	3	4	D
07/06	Gimpo FC South Korea K League 2	1-2	2-2	7	6	D
31/05	Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-1	4	0	L
23/05	Gimhae FC 2008 South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-1	12	1	L

Hwaseong FC

WLLWWWDWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Busan I Park South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
07/08	Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-0	2	1	D
01/08	Daegu FC South Korea K League 2	3-0	5-1	4	5	W
29/07	Jeju SK South Korea Cup	2-0	2-2	7	5	D
25/07	Chungnam Asan FC South Korea K League 2	2-0	3-2	5	4	W
19/07	Yongin FC South Korea K League 2	2-0	3-0	11	6	W
15/07	Yangpyeong FC South Korea Cup	0-1	4-3	5	3	W
11/07	Paju Frontier FC South Korea K League 2	0-1	1-2	12	2	L
06/06	Suwon Bluewings South Korea K League 2	1-0	1-2	3	4	L
31/05	Gyeongnam FC South Korea K League 2	1-0	2-0	5	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jeonnam Dragons vs Hwaseong FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Hwaseong FC win (49%). Probabilities: Jeonnam Dragons 26%, draw 25%, Hwaseong FC 49%.

How many goals are expected in Jeonnam Dragons vs Hwaseong FC?

The model expects 3.03 goals (Jeonnam Dragons 1.25 · Hwaseong FC 1.78), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Jeonnam Dragons vs Hwaseong FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.