Football · South Korea K League 2 · 23/08, 12:30

Prediction: Seoul E-Land FC vs Paju Frontier FC

Team pages: Seoul E-Land FC · Paju Frontier FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.06Total

Seoul E-Land FC2.05

Paju Frontier FC1.01

1X2

60% 23% 17%

Seoul E-Land FC Draw Paju Frontier FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Seoul E-Land FC 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DWWLWDWWDW

Paju Frontier FC 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLWDLWLW

Head-to-head

Seoul E-Land FC 1–0 Paju Frontier FC (1 last)

Paju Frontier FC1-3Seoul E-Land FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Seoul E-Land FC 1575 · Paju Frontier FC 1455

	Seoul E-Land FC	Draw	Paju Frontier FC
Our model	60%	23%	17%
Market	61%	22%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 3.06 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Seoul E-Land FC (rating 1575 vs 1455).
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Seoul E-Land FC	Paju Frontier FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.3	0.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.1 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.1	1.2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.1	3.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.48

X4.00

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.82

2 (+1)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 19:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.45 → 1.48▲	Pinn 1.50
X	4.00 → 4.00	Pinn 4.70 ★
2	5.50 → 5.25▼	Pinn 5.55

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.6% Pinnacle margin 5.9%

Time*	1	X	2
16:29 +7’	1.45	4.00	5.50
18:49 +11’	1.48▲	4.00	5.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:34 +1’	1.54	4.52	5.06
18:57 +3’	1.49▼	4.67▲	5.43▲
13:55	1.49▲	4.63▼	5.45▲
19:37 +1’	1.50▲	4.70▲	5.55▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Seoul E-Land FC 1–0–0 Paju Frontier FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 South Korea K League 2	Paju Frontier FC	1-3 HT 1-1	Seoul E-Land FC

Standings · South Korea K League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Suwon Bluewings	21	12	5	4	31	19	41
2	Seoul E-Land FC	21	12	4	5	39	26	40
3	Daegu FC	21	11	5	5	41	30	38
4	Suwon FC	20	10	7	3	41	26	37
5	Busan I Park	21	11	4	6	37	29	37
6	Hwaseong FC	21	10	6	5	34	22	36
7	Gimpo FC	21	7	10	4	26	22	31
8	Chungnam Asan FC	21	7	7	7	29	26	28
9	Gyeongnam FC	21	6	8	7	28	29	26
10	Paju Frontier FC	21	7	3	11	21	26	24
11	Seongnam FC	20	5	8	7	21	24	23
12	Yongin FC	20	4	10	6	25	29	22
13	Chungbuk Cheongju	21	3	13	5	25	34	22
14	Cheonan City	21	4	9	8	27	30	21
15	Ansan Greeners FC	21	5	4	12	22	40	19
16	Jeonnam Dragons	20	2	7	11	22	36	13
17	Gimhae FC 2008	20	2	6	12	17	38	12

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Seoul E-Land FC	Paju Frontier FC
Ansan Greeners FC	3-1 W	0-1 L
Hwaseong FC	0-0 D	2-1 W
Busan I Park	2-1 W	1-4 L
Suwon FC	2-2 D	0-1 L
Jeonnam Dragons	1-0 W	2-1 W
Seongnam FC	3-1 W	2-1 W
Yongin FC	2-2 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 0 L	3 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Seoul E-Land FC (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Seoul E-Land FC

DWWLWDWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Ansan Greeners FC South Korea K League 2	1-1	3-1	6	1	W
07/08	Hwaseong FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-0	1	1	D
02/08	Busan I Park South Korea K League 2	0-0	2-1	3	4	W
24/07	Cheonan City South Korea K League 2	1-1	4-3	6	3	W
18/07	Suwon FC South Korea K League 2	0-1	2-2	0	3	D
05/07	Gimhae FC 2008 South Korea K League 2	0-0	3-1	11	3	W
07/06	Chungbuk Cheongju South Korea K League 2	1-0	1-2	5	4	L
31/05	Jeonnam Dragons South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-0	1	0	W
24/05	Seongnam FC South Korea K League 2	2-0	3-1	2	6	W
16/05	Yongin FC South Korea K League 2	0-1	2-2	6	4	D

Paju Frontier FC

LLLLWDLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Seongnam FC South Korea K League 2	0-1	2-1	7	1	W
08/08	Suwon FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
02/08	Jeonnam Dragons South Korea K League 2	0-0	2-1	6	4	W
26/07	Ansan Greeners FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
19/07	Suwon Bluewings South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
11/07	Hwaseong FC South Korea K League 2	1-0	2-1	2	2	W
04/07	Yongin FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
05/06	Daegu FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-1	6	8	L
30/05	Busan I Park South Korea K League 2	0-1	1-4	6	2	L
25/05	Gimpo FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-1	4	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Seoul E-Land FC vs Paju Frontier FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Seoul E-Land FC win (60%). Probabilities: Seoul E-Land FC 60%, draw 23%, Paju Frontier FC 17%.

How many goals are expected in Seoul E-Land FC vs Paju Frontier FC?

The model expects 3.06 goals (Seoul E-Land FC 2.05 · Paju Frontier FC 1.01), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Seoul E-Land FC vs Paju Frontier FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.