Football · South Korea K League 2 · 22/08, 12:30

Prediction: Ansan Greeners FC vs Seongnam FC

Team pages: Ansan Greeners FC · Seongnam FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.53Total

Ansan Greeners FC1.32

Seongnam FC1.22

1X2

38% 29% 33%

Ansan Greeners FC Draw Seongnam FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Ansan Greeners FC 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Seongnam FC 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DDLLDWWLWL

Head-to-head

Ansan Greeners FC 2–1–3 Seongnam FC (6 last)

Seongnam FC0-1Ansan Greeners FC
Seongnam FC4-0Ansan Greeners FC
Ansan Greeners FC1-0Seongnam FC
Seongnam FC1-0Ansan Greeners FC
Ansan Greeners FC1-1Seongnam FC
Ansan Greeners FC0-1Seongnam FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Seongnam FC (rating 1451 vs 1491).
H2H favours Seongnam FC: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ansan Greeners FC	Seongnam FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.3	1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 2.9	1.6 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.1	2.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.97

Under 2.51.83

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:26

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.19 → 4.52▲	Pinn 4.52
X	3.61 → 3.77▲	Pinn 3.77
2	1.77 → 1.72▼	Pinn 1.72

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.7%

Time*	1	X	2
12:56 +9’	4.19	3.61	1.77
17:24 +2’	4.52▲	3.77▲	1.72▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ansan Greeners FC 2–1–3 Seongnam FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 South Korea K League 2	Seongnam FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Ansan Greeners FC
06/09/25 South Korea K League 2	Seongnam FC	4-0 HT 3-0	Ansan Greeners FC
31/05/25 South Korea K League 2	Ansan Greeners FC	1-0 HT 1-0	Seongnam FC
06/04/25 South Korea K League 2	Seongnam FC	1-0 HT 1-0	Ansan Greeners FC
09/11/24 South Korea K League 2	Ansan Greeners FC	1-1 HT 0-0	Seongnam FC
01/06/24 South Korea K League 2	Ansan Greeners FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Seongnam FC

Standings · South Korea K League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Suwon Bluewings	21	12	5	4	31	19	41
2	Suwon FC	20	10	7	3	41	26	37
3	Busan I Park	21	11	4	6	37	29	37
4	Seoul E-Land FC	20	11	4	5	36	25	37
5	Hwaseong FC	21	10	6	5	34	22	36
6	Daegu FC	20	10	5	5	39	30	35
7	Gimpo FC	20	7	9	4	25	21	30
8	Chungnam Asan FC	20	7	7	6	29	24	28
9	Gyeongnam FC	21	6	8	7	28	29	26
10	Seongnam FC	19	5	8	6	20	22	23
11	Yongin FC	20	4	10	6	25	29	22
12	Chungbuk Cheongju	21	3	13	5	25	34	22
13	Paju Frontier FC	20	6	3	11	19	25	21
14	Cheonan City	20	4	8	8	26	29	20
15	Ansan Greeners FC	20	5	4	11	21	37	19
16	Jeonnam Dragons	20	2	7	11	22	36	13
17	Gimhae FC 2008	20	2	6	12	17	38	12

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ansan Greeners FC	Seongnam FC
Chungnam Asan FC	1-1 D	0-2 L
Gimhae FC 2008	2-2 D	1-0 W
Paju Frontier FC	1-0 W	1-2 L
Suwon Bluewings	2-1 W	0-1 L
Suwon FC	1-3 L	0-0 D
Cheonan City	1-3 L	3-2 W
Daegu FC	0-3 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Seongnam FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Ansan Greeners FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2	1-1	1-3	6	1	L
07/08	Chungnam Asan FC South Korea K League 2	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
02/08	Gimhae FC 2008 South Korea K League 2	1-2	2-2	1	5	D
26/07	Paju Frontier FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-0	1	3	W
19/07	Gyeongnam FC South Korea K League 2	0-3	0-5	1	4	L
15/07	Jinju Citizen FC South Korea Cup	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
11/07	Suwon Bluewings South Korea K League 2	0-1	2-1	0	2	W
04/07	Suwon FC South Korea K League 2	1-0	1-3	3	1	L
31/05	Cheonan City South Korea K League 2	1-1	1-3	8	3	L
24/05	Daegu FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-3	1	1	L

Seongnam FC

DDLLDWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Paju Frontier FC South Korea K League 2	1-0	1-2	5	1	L
08/08	Cheonan City South Korea K League 2	2-1	3-2	3	2	W
01/08	Chungnam Asan FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-2	2	1	L
29/07	Gimhae FC 2008 South Korea Cup	1-0	1-0	3	1	W
18/07	Busan I Park South Korea K League 2	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
15/07	Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea Cup	0-1	1-1	9	3	D
11/07	Daegu FC South Korea K League 2	1-1	2-3	2	3	L
04/07	Suwon Bluewings South Korea K League 2	0-1	0-1	6	4	L
05/06	Gimhae FC 2008 South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
30/05	Suwon FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-0	6	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ansan Greeners FC vs Seongnam FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ansan Greeners FC win (38%). Probabilities: Ansan Greeners FC 38%, draw 29%, Seongnam FC 33%.

How many goals are expected in Ansan Greeners FC vs Seongnam FC?

The model expects 2.53 goals (Ansan Greeners FC 1.32 · Seongnam FC 1.22), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Ansan Greeners FC vs Seongnam FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.