Football · South Korea K League 2 · 30/08, 12:30

Prediction: Suwon FC vs Busan I Park

Team pages: Suwon FC · Busan I Park

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.12Total

Suwon FC1.92

Busan I Park1.2

1X2

53% 24% 23%

Suwon FC Draw Busan I Park

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Suwon FC 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

LDDWWDWWDW

Busan I Park 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

WDDWLLLLDD

Head-to-head

Suwon FC 1–5 Busan I Park (6 last)

Busan I Park2-1Suwon FC
Suwon FC2-1Busan I Park
Busan I Park2-1Suwon FC
Suwon FC0-1Busan I Park
Busan I Park2-0Suwon FC
Suwon FC0-1Busan I Park

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Suwon FC (rating 1549 vs 1497).
H2H favours Busan I Park: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Suwon FC	Busan I Park
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.1	1.4 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.3	1.9 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.2	3.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.94

Under 31.84

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:26

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.18 → 2.18	Pinn 2.18
X	3.45 → 3.45	Pinn 3.45
2	3.21 → 3.21	Pinn 3.21

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6%

Time*	1	X	2
00:26	2.18	3.45	3.21

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Suwon FC 1–0–5 Busan I Park

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 South Korea K League 2	Busan I Park	2-1 HT 2-0	Suwon FC
09/12/23 South Korea K League Play Offs	Suwon FC	2-1 HT 0-1	Busan I Park
06/12/23 South Korea K League Play Offs	Busan I Park	2-1 HT 0-1	Suwon FC
15/07/20 South Korea Cup	Suwon FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Busan I Park
05/10/19 South Korea K League 2	Busan I Park	2-0 HT 2-0	Suwon FC
13/07/19 South Korea K League 2	Suwon FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Busan I Park

Standings · South Korea K League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Suwon Bluewings	21	12	5	4	31	19	41
2	Seoul E-Land FC	21	12	4	5	39	26	40
3	Daegu FC	21	11	5	5	41	30	38
4	Suwon FC	20	10	7	3	41	26	37
5	Busan I Park	21	11	4	6	37	29	37
6	Hwaseong FC	21	10	6	5	34	22	36
7	Gimpo FC	21	7	10	4	26	22	31
8	Chungnam Asan FC	21	7	7	7	29	26	28
9	Gyeongnam FC	21	6	8	7	28	29	26
10	Paju Frontier FC	21	7	3	11	21	26	24
11	Seongnam FC	20	5	8	7	21	24	23
12	Yongin FC	20	4	10	6	25	29	22
13	Chungbuk Cheongju	21	3	13	5	25	34	22
14	Cheonan City	21	4	9	8	27	30	21
15	Ansan Greeners FC	21	5	4	12	22	40	19
16	Jeonnam Dragons	20	2	7	11	22	36	13
17	Gimhae FC 2008	20	2	6	12	17	38	12

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Suwon FC	Busan I Park
Suwon Bluewings	2-2 D	1-4 L
Paju Frontier FC	1-0 W	4-1 W
Daegu FC	2-1 W	1-1 D
Seoul E-Land FC	2-2 D	1-2 L
Jeonnam Dragons	5-0 W	3-3 D
Seongnam FC	0-0 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 0 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Suwon FC (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Suwon FC

LDDWWDWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Gimhae FC 2008 South Korea K League 2	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
15/08	Suwon Bluewings South Korea K League 2	1-1	2-2	1	1	D
08/08	Paju Frontier FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
25/07	Daegu FC South Korea K League 2	2-0	2-1	7	3	W
18/07	Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2	1-0	2-2	5	3	D
10/07	Jeonnam Dragons South Korea K League 2	2-0	5-0	2	5	W
04/07	Ansan Greeners FC South Korea K League 2	0-1	3-1	8	1	W
07/06	Cheonan City South Korea K League 2	0-1	2-2	13	7	D
30/05	Seongnam FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
23/05	Gyeongnam FC South Korea K League 2	2-1	2-3	4	6	L

Busan I Park

WDDWLLLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Daegu FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-1	4	1	D
15/08	Hwaseong FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
07/08	Yongin FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-2	5	2	L
02/08	Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-2	6	4	L
25/07	Suwon Bluewings South Korea K League 2	1-1	1-4	6	5	L
18/07	Seongnam FC South Korea K League 2	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
12/07	Gimpo FC South Korea K League 2	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
05/07	Jeonnam Dragons South Korea K League 2	0-2	3-3	1	4	D
05/06	Chungnam Asan FC South Korea K League 2	2-2	2-2	3	4	D
30/05	Paju Frontier FC South Korea K League 2	1-0	4-1	8	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Suwon FC vs Busan I Park?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Suwon FC win (53%). Probabilities: Suwon FC 53%, draw 24%, Busan I Park 23%.

How many goals are expected in Suwon FC vs Busan I Park?

The model expects 3.12 goals (Suwon FC 1.92 · Busan I Park 1.2), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Suwon FC vs Busan I Park?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.