Football · South Korea K League 2 · 29/08, 12:30

Prediction: Hwaseong FC vs Chungbuk Cheongju

Team pages: Hwaseong FC · Chungbuk Cheongju

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.24Total

Hwaseong FC2.05

Chungbuk Cheongju1.19

1X2

56% 23% 21%

Hwaseong FC Draw Chungbuk Cheongju

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Hwaseong FC 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLLWWWDD

Chungbuk Cheongju 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DLWLDWDDLW

Head-to-head

Hwaseong FC 5–1–0 Chungbuk Cheongju (6 last)

Chungbuk Cheongju2-3Hwaseong FC
Hwaseong FC1-0Chungbuk Cheongju
Chungbuk Cheongju1-1Hwaseong FC
Hwaseong FC2-1Chungbuk Cheongju
Hwaseong FC1-0Chungbuk Cheongju
Chungbuk Cheongju0-3Hwaseong FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hwaseong FC (rating 1560 vs 1486).
H2H favours Hwaseong FC: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hwaseong FC	Chungbuk Cheongju
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.1	1.4 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 6.2	1.3 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0	3.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.94

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 14:37

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.84▲	Pinn 1.84
X	3.65 → 3.69▲	Pinn 3.69
2	3.91 → 3.98▲	Pinn 3.98

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
12:56 +4’	1.83	3.65	3.91
14:36 +1’	1.84▲	3.69▲	3.98▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hwaseong FC 5–1–0 Chungbuk Cheongju

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 South Korea K League 2	Chungbuk Cheongju	2-3 HT 1-1	Hwaseong FC
11/10/25 South Korea K League 2	Hwaseong FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Chungbuk Cheongju
16/08/25 South Korea K League 2	Chungbuk Cheongju	1-1 HT 0-0	Hwaseong FC
15/03/25 South Korea K League 2	Hwaseong FC	2-1 HT 0-0	Chungbuk Cheongju
25/09/22 South Korea K3 League	Hwaseong FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Chungbuk Cheongju
22/05/22 South Korea K3 League	Chungbuk Cheongju	0-3 HT 0-1	Hwaseong FC

Standings · South Korea K League 2

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Suwon Bluewings	22	13	5	4	32	19	44
2	Suwon FC	21	11	7	3	43	26	40
3	Seoul E-Land FC	21	12	4	5	39	26	40
4	Daegu FC	22	11	6	5	42	31	39
5	Busan I Park	22	11	5	6	38	30	38
6	Hwaseong FC	21	10	6	5	34	22	36
7	Gimpo FC	21	7	10	4	26	22	31
8	Chungnam Asan FC	21	7	7	7	29	26	28
9	Gyeongnam FC	21	6	8	7	28	29	26
10	Seongnam FC	21	6	8	7	23	25	26
11	Paju Frontier FC	21	7	3	11	21	26	24
12	Yongin FC	20	4	10	6	25	29	22
13	Chungbuk Cheongju	21	3	13	5	25	34	22
14	Cheonan City	22	4	9	9	27	31	21
15	Ansan Greeners FC	22	5	4	13	23	42	19
16	Jeonnam Dragons	20	2	7	11	22	36	13
17	Gimhae FC 2008	21	2	6	13	17	40	12

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hwaseong FC	Chungbuk Cheongju
Seoul E-Land FC	0-0 D	2-1 W
Daegu FC	5-1 W	1-5 L
Yongin FC	3-0 W	1-1 D
Suwon Bluewings	1-2 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hwaseong FC

WWWLLWWWDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Busan I Park South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
07/08	Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-0	2	1	D
01/08	Daegu FC South Korea K League 2	3-0	5-1	4	5	W
25/07	Chungnam Asan FC South Korea K League 2	2-0	3-2	5	4	W
19/07	Yongin FC South Korea K League 2	2-0	3-0	11	6	W
11/07	Paju Frontier FC South Korea K League 2	0-1	1-2	12	2	L
06/06	Suwon Bluewings South Korea K League 2	1-0	1-2	3	4	L
31/05	Gyeongnam FC South Korea K League 2	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
23/05	Chungbuk Cheongju South Korea K League 2	1-1	3-2	7	5	W
17/05	Busan I Park South Korea K League 2	2-2	3-2	4	1	W

Chungbuk Cheongju

DLWLDWDDLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Jeonnam Dragons South Korea K League 2	0-0	2-1	3	1	W
07/08	Gimpo FC South Korea K League 2	0-2	0-3	4	2	L
01/08	Suwon Bluewings South Korea K League 2	1-0	2-2	2	8	D
24/07	Gimhae FC 2008 South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-1	1	1	D
19/07	Cheonan City South Korea K League 2	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
11/07	Yongin FC South Korea K League 2	1-0	1-1	6	1	D
04/07	Daegu FC South Korea K League 2	0-2	1-5	5	2	L
07/06	Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2	0-1	2-1	4	4	W
23/05	Hwaseong FC South Korea K League 2	1-1	2-3	4	5	L
16/05	Jeonnam Dragons South Korea K League 2	1-0	2-2	1	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hwaseong FC vs Chungbuk Cheongju?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hwaseong FC win (56%). Probabilities: Hwaseong FC 56%, draw 23%, Chungbuk Cheongju 21%.

How many goals are expected in Hwaseong FC vs Chungbuk Cheongju?

The model expects 3.24 goals (Hwaseong FC 2.05 · Chungbuk Cheongju 1.19), with a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Hwaseong FC vs Chungbuk Cheongju?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.