Football · South Korea K League 2 · 05/09, 12:00

Prediction: Busan I Park vs Ansan Greeners FC

Team pages: Busan I Park · Ansan Greeners FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.34Total

Busan I Park2.22

Ansan Greeners FC1.12

1X2

61% 21% 17%

Busan I Park Draw Ansan Greeners FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Busan I Park 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

WDDWLLLDDL

Ansan Greeners FC 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLWDDLLL

Head-to-head

Busan I Park 4–2 Ansan Greeners FC (6 last)

Ansan Greeners FC1-3Busan I Park
Ansan Greeners FC2-3Busan I Park
Busan I Park0-2Ansan Greeners FC
Ansan Greeners FC1-3Busan I Park
Ansan Greeners FC0-5Busan I Park
Ansan Greeners FC1-0Busan I Park

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Busan I Park (rating 1515 vs 1405).
H2H favours Busan I Park: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Busan I Park	Ansan Greeners FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.6	1.1 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.7	1.7 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	2.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.77

Under 2.752.02

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 12:18

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.46▲	Pinn 1.46
X	4.60 → 4.67▲	Pinn 4.67
2	5.77 → 5.88▲	Pinn 5.88

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 7.1%

Time*	1	X	2
11:21	1.44	4.60	5.77
12:18	1.46▲	4.67▲	5.88▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Busan I Park 4–0–2 Ansan Greeners FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 South Korea K League 2	Ansan Greeners FC	1-3 HT 0-1	Busan I Park
14/09/25 South Korea K League 2	Ansan Greeners FC	2-3 HT 0-1	Busan I Park
07/06/25 South Korea K League 2	Busan I Park	0-2 HT 0-0	Ansan Greeners FC
20/04/25 South Korea K League 2	Ansan Greeners FC	1-3 HT 0-3	Busan I Park
29/09/24 South Korea K League 2	Ansan Greeners FC	0-5 HT 0-3	Busan I Park
27/05/24 South Korea K League 2	Ansan Greeners FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Busan I Park

Standings · South Korea K League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Suwon Bluewings	23	14	5	4	36	20	47
2	Suwon FC	22	12	7	3	45	27	43
3	Daegu FC	23	12	6	5	44	32	42
4	Seoul E-Land FC	23	12	6	5	41	28	42
5	Hwaseong FC	23	11	6	6	36	24	39
6	Busan I Park	23	11	5	7	39	32	38
7	Chungnam Asan FC	22	8	7	7	31	27	31
8	Gimpo FC	22	7	10	5	27	26	31
9	Gyeongnam FC	23	7	9	7	30	30	30
10	Seongnam FC	22	6	9	7	24	26	27
11	Yongin FC	22	5	10	7	29	31	25
12	Paju Frontier FC	23	7	4	12	22	28	25
13	Chungbuk Cheongju	23	3	14	6	27	37	23
14	Cheonan City	23	4	9	10	27	32	21
15	Jeonnam Dragons	22	4	7	11	24	36	19
16	Ansan Greeners FC	23	5	4	14	24	44	19
17	Gimhae FC 2008	22	2	6	14	17	43	12

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Busan I Park	Ansan Greeners FC
Suwon FC	1-2 L	1-3 L
Daegu FC	1-1 D	1-2 L
Seoul E-Land FC	1-2 L	1-3 L
Suwon Bluewings	1-4 L	2-1 W
Seongnam FC	0-1 L	1-2 L
Chungnam Asan FC	2-2 D	1-1 D
Paju Frontier FC	4-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 4 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Busan I Park (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Busan I Park

WDDWLLLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Suwon FC South Korea K League 2	1-1	1-2	6	5	L
22/08	Daegu FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-1	4	1	D
15/08	Hwaseong FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
02/08	Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-2	6	4	L
25/07	Suwon Bluewings South Korea K League 2	1-1	1-4	6	5	L
18/07	Seongnam FC South Korea K League 2	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
12/07	Gimpo FC South Korea K League 2	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
05/07	Jeonnam Dragons South Korea K League 2	0-2	3-3	1	4	D
05/06	Chungnam Asan FC South Korea K League 2	2-2	2-2	3	4	D
30/05	Paju Frontier FC South Korea K League 2	1-0	4-1	8	2	W

Ansan Greeners FC

LLWLWDDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Daegu FC South Korea K League 2	1-0	1-2	2	3	L
22/08	Seongnam FC South Korea K League 2	1-0	1-2	4	1	L
16/08	Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2	1-1	1-3	6	1	L
07/08	Chungnam Asan FC South Korea K League 2	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
02/08	Gimhae FC 2008 South Korea K League 2	1-2	2-2	1	5	D
26/07	Paju Frontier FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-0	1	3	W
19/07	Gyeongnam FC South Korea K League 2	0-3	0-5	1	4	L
11/07	Suwon Bluewings South Korea K League 2	0-1	2-1	0	2	W
04/07	Suwon FC South Korea K League 2	1-0	1-3	3	1	L
31/05	Cheonan City South Korea K League 2	1-1	1-3	8	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Busan I Park vs Ansan Greeners FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Busan I Park win (61%). Probabilities: Busan I Park 61%, draw 21%, Ansan Greeners FC 17%.

How many goals are expected in Busan I Park vs Ansan Greeners FC?

The model expects 3.34 goals (Busan I Park 2.22 · Ansan Greeners FC 1.12), with a 56% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Busan I Park vs Ansan Greeners FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.