Football · South Korea K League 2 · 05/09, 12:00

Prediction: Cheonan City vs Hwaseong FC

Team pages: Cheonan City · Hwaseong FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.01Total

Cheonan City1.35

Hwaseong FC1.67

1X2

30% 26% 44%

Cheonan City Draw Hwaseong FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Cheonan City 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

WDLLLLLDLL

Hwaseong FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWDDLW

Head-to-head

Cheonan City 0–2–4 Hwaseong FC (6 last)

Hwaseong FC2-2Cheonan City
Cheonan City2-2Hwaseong FC
Cheonan City2-3Hwaseong FC
Hwaseong FC2-1Cheonan City
Hwaseong FC2-0Cheonan City
Cheonan City0-1Hwaseong FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hwaseong FC (rating 1436 vs 1539).
H2H favours Hwaseong FC: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cheonan City	Hwaseong FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.7	1.7 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0.9 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.7	3 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.4	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.89

Under 2.51.89

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:18

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.55 → 3.55	Pinn 3.55
X	3.55 → 3.58▲	Pinn 3.58
2	2.00 → 2.00	Pinn 2.00

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.1%

Time*	1	X	2
11:21	3.55	3.55	2.00
13:18	3.55	3.58▲	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cheonan City 0–2–4 Hwaseong FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 South Korea K League 2	Hwaseong FC	2-2 HT 0-1	Cheonan City
21/09/25 South Korea K League 2	Cheonan City	2-2 HT 1-1	Hwaseong FC
12/07/25 South Korea K League 2	Cheonan City	2-3 HT 0-1	Hwaseong FC
04/05/25 South Korea K League 2	Hwaseong FC	2-1 HT 1-1	Cheonan City
17/07/22 South Korea K3 League	Hwaseong FC	2-0 HT 2-0	Cheonan City
02/04/22 South Korea K3 League	Cheonan City	0-1 HT 0-0	Hwaseong FC

Standings · South Korea K League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Suwon Bluewings	23	14	5	4	36	20	47
2	Suwon FC	22	12	7	3	45	27	43
3	Daegu FC	23	12	6	5	44	32	42
4	Seoul E-Land FC	23	12	6	5	41	28	42
5	Hwaseong FC	23	11	6	6	36	24	39
6	Busan I Park	23	11	5	7	39	32	38
7	Chungnam Asan FC	22	8	7	7	31	27	31
8	Gimpo FC	22	7	10	5	27	26	31
9	Gyeongnam FC	23	7	9	7	30	30	30
10	Seongnam FC	22	6	9	7	24	26	27
11	Yongin FC	22	5	10	7	29	31	25
12	Paju Frontier FC	23	7	4	12	22	28	25
13	Chungbuk Cheongju	23	3	14	6	27	37	23
14	Cheonan City	23	4	9	10	27	32	21
15	Jeonnam Dragons	22	4	7	11	24	36	19
16	Ansan Greeners FC	23	5	4	14	24	44	19
17	Gimhae FC 2008	22	2	6	14	17	43	12

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cheonan City	Hwaseong FC
Jeonnam Dragons	0-1 L	0-1 L
Suwon Bluewings	0-1 L	1-2 L
Seoul E-Land FC	3-4 L	0-0 D
Chungbuk Cheongju	0-1 L	2-1 W
Gyeongnam FC	1-2 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 5 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Hwaseong FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cheonan City

WDLLLLLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Jeonnam Dragons South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
22/08	Suwon Bluewings South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-1	1	1	L
16/08	Gimpo FC South Korea K League 2	1-1	1-1	1	2	D
08/08	Seongnam FC South Korea K League 2	1-2	2-3	4	2	L
24/07	Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2	1-1	3-4	4	3	L
19/07	Chungbuk Cheongju South Korea K League 2	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
10/07	Gimhae FC 2008 South Korea K League 2	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
05/07	Gyeongnam FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-2	2	6	L
07/06	Suwon FC South Korea K League 2	1-0	2-2	3	7	D
31/05	Ansan Greeners FC South Korea K League 2	1-1	3-1	6	3	W

Hwaseong FC

WLLWWWDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Chungbuk Cheongju South Korea K League 2	0-0	2-1	4	5	W
23/08	Jeonnam Dragons South Korea K League 2	0-1	0-1	8	6	L
15/08	Busan I Park South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
07/08	Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-0	2	1	D
01/08	Daegu FC South Korea K League 2	3-0	5-1	4	5	W
25/07	Chungnam Asan FC South Korea K League 2	2-0	3-2	5	4	W
19/07	Yongin FC South Korea K League 2	2-0	3-0	11	6	W
11/07	Paju Frontier FC South Korea K League 2	0-1	1-2	12	2	L
06/06	Suwon Bluewings South Korea K League 2	1-0	1-2	3	4	L
31/05	Gyeongnam FC South Korea K League 2	1-0	2-0	5	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cheonan City vs Hwaseong FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Hwaseong FC win (44%). Probabilities: Cheonan City 30%, draw 26%, Hwaseong FC 44%.

How many goals are expected in Cheonan City vs Hwaseong FC?

The model expects 3.01 goals (Cheonan City 1.35 · Hwaseong FC 1.67), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Cheonan City vs Hwaseong FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.