Football · South Korea K League 2 · 01/11, 06:00

Prediction: Suwon FC vs Ansan Greeners FC

Team pages: Suwon FC · Ansan Greeners FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.17Total

Suwon FC2.38

Ansan Greeners FC0.79

1X2

72% 18% 10%

Suwon FC Draw Ansan Greeners FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Suwon FC 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWDDWWWL

Ansan Greeners FC 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

DLLLWLLLWL

Head-to-head

Suwon FC 4–2 Ansan Greeners FC (6 last)

Ansan Greeners FC1-3Suwon FC
Ansan Greeners FC0-4Suwon FC
Suwon FC1-2Ansan Greeners FC
Ansan Greeners FC0-2Suwon FC
Ansan Greeners FC1-2Suwon FC
Suwon FC2-3Ansan Greeners FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Suwon FC 1569 · Ansan Greeners FC 1438

	Suwon FC	Draw	Ansan Greeners FC
Our model	72%	18%	10%
Market	72%	18%	10%

Estimated total (ours) 3.17 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Suwon FC (rating 1569 vs 1438).
H2H favours Suwon FC: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Suwon FC	Ansan Greeners FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.7	1.3 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.5	2.2 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.2	2.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.28

X5.00

29.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.90

2 (+1.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.28▼	Bet365 1.28
X	5.00 → 5.00	Pinn 6.20 ★
2	7.50 → 9.50▲	Bet365 9.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 8.3% Pinnacle margin 6.9%

Time*	1	X	2
03:12 +6’	1.33	5.00	7.50
16:37 +4’	1.28▼	5.00	9.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:46 +211’	1.25	6.14	9.22
16:40 +2’	1.22▼	6.67▲	9.97▲
17:17 +17’	1.26▲	6.20▼	8.88▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Suwon FC 4–0–2 Ansan Greeners FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/07/26 South Korea K League 2	Ansan Greeners FC	1-3 HT 1-0	Suwon FC
03/10/20 South Korea K League 2	Ansan Greeners FC	0-4 HT 0-1	Suwon FC
01/08/20 South Korea K League 2	Suwon FC	1-2 HT 1-1	Ansan Greeners FC
16/05/20 South Korea K League 2	Ansan Greeners FC	0-2 HT 0-1	Suwon FC
03/11/19 South Korea K League 2	Ansan Greeners FC	1-2 HT 0-0	Suwon FC
17/08/19 South Korea K League 2	Suwon FC	2-3 HT 1-2	Ansan Greeners FC

Standings · South Korea K League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Suwon Bluewings	28	19	5	4	48	23	62
2	Suwon FC	28	15	9	4	53	31	54
3	Seoul E-Land FC	28	16	6	6	52	32	54
4	Daegu FC	28	15	7	6	55	38	52
5	Busan I Park	29	14	6	9	47	37	48
6	Hwaseong FC	29	12	9	8	44	32	45
7	Chungnam Asan FC	28	10	9	9	36	32	39
8	Gimpo FC	28	9	11	8	36	34	38
9	Gyeongnam FC	28	8	11	9	32	34	35
10	Chungbuk Cheongju	29	6	14	9	35	47	32
11	Seongnam FC	28	7	10	11	30	37	31
12	Paju Frontier FC	28	8	7	13	27	34	31
13	Yongin FC	28	6	12	10	34	41	30
14	Cheonan City	28	6	11	11	34	38	29
15	Ansan Greeners FC	29	7	4	18	33	56	25
16	Jeonnam Dragons	28	5	9	14	33	50	24
17	Gimhae FC 2008	28	3	8	17	24	57	17

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Suwon FC	Ansan Greeners FC
Chungnam Asan FC	0-1 L	1-1 D
Seongnam FC	2-1 W	1-2 L
Hwaseong FC	1-0 W	0-2 L
Cheonan City	1-1 D	1-3 L
Yongin FC	1-1 D	4-0 W
Busan I Park	2-1 W	1-0 W
Suwon Bluewings	2-2 D	1-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Suwon FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Suwon FC

WDWWDDWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Chungnam Asan FC South Korea K League 2	0-1	0-1	7	3	L
17/10	Seongnam FC South Korea K League 2	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
09/10	Hwaseong FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
19/09	Jeonnam Dragons South Korea K League 2	1-0	3-0	8	5	W
13/09	Cheonan City South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-1	6	2	D
05/09	Yongin FC South Korea K League 2	0-1	1-1	5	1	D
30/08	Busan I Park South Korea K League 2	1-1	2-1	3	5	W
22/08	Gimhae FC 2008 South Korea K League 2	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
15/08	Suwon Bluewings South Korea K League 2	1-1	2-2	1	1	D
08/08	Paju Frontier FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-0	2	4	W

Ansan Greeners FC

DLLLWLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Cheonan City South Korea K League 2	0-2	1-3	1	2	L
17/10	Yongin FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	4-0	6	2	W
11/10	Suwon Bluewings South Korea K League 2	0-2	1-4	2	1	L
20/09	Chungbuk Cheongju South Korea K League 2	1-1	2-3	2	3	L
12/09	Hwaseong FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-2	1	2	L
05/09	Busan I Park South Korea K League 2	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
28/08	Daegu FC South Korea K League 2	1-0	1-2	2	3	L
22/08	Seongnam FC South Korea K League 2	1-0	1-2	4	1	L
16/08	Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2	1-1	1-3	6	1	L
07/08	Chungnam Asan FC South Korea K League 2	0-1	1-1	4	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Suwon FC vs Ansan Greeners FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Suwon FC win (72%). Probabilities: Suwon FC 72%, draw 18%, Ansan Greeners FC 10%.

How many goals are expected in Suwon FC vs Ansan Greeners FC?

The model expects 3.17 goals (Suwon FC 2.38 · Ansan Greeners FC 0.79), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Suwon FC vs Ansan Greeners FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.