Football · South Korea K League 2 · 01/11, 08:30

Prediction: Chungbuk Cheongju vs Paju Frontier FC

Team pages: Chungbuk Cheongju · Paju Frontier FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.4Total

Chungbuk Cheongju1.36

Paju Frontier FC1.05

1X2

43% 29% 28%

Chungbuk Cheongju Draw Paju Frontier FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Chungbuk Cheongju 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWDLLWWWLL

Paju Frontier FC 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WLWDLDWDLD

Head-to-head

Chungbuk Cheongju 0–4–1 Paju Frontier FC (5 last)

Paju Frontier FC0-0Chungbuk Cheongju
Chungbuk Cheongju2-2Paju Frontier FC
Paju Frontier FC0-0Chungbuk Cheongju
Chungbuk Cheongju0-2Paju Frontier FC
Paju Frontier FC2-2Chungbuk Cheongju

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chungbuk Cheongju 1480 · Paju Frontier FC 1494

	Chungbuk Cheongju	Draw	Paju Frontier FC
Our model	43%	30%	28%
Market	44%	28%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Chungbuk Cheongju	Paju Frontier FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.7	1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.2 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.9	1.6 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.2	3.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.30

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.88

2 (+0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.30 → 3.30	Pinn 3.45
2	3.20 → 3.20	Pinn 3.39 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.2% Pinnacle margin 6.3%

Time*	1	X	2
03:15 +3’	2.10	3.30	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:16 +181’	2.23	3.42	3.12
20:02 +28’	2.06▼	3.46▲	3.42▲
06:56 +16’	2.09▲	3.45▼	3.39▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Chungbuk Cheongju 0–4–1 Paju Frontier FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 South Korea K League 2	Paju Frontier FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Chungbuk Cheongju
04/09/22 South Korea K3 League	Chungbuk Cheongju	2-2 HT 1-1	Paju Frontier FC
08/05/22 South Korea K3 League	Paju Frontier FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Chungbuk Cheongju
18/07/21 South Korea K3 League	Chungbuk Cheongju	0-2 HT 0-0	Paju Frontier FC
21/03/21 South Korea K3 League	Paju Frontier FC	2-2	Chungbuk Cheongju

Standings · South Korea K League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Suwon Bluewings	28	19	5	4	48	23	62
2	Suwon FC	28	15	9	4	53	31	54
3	Seoul E-Land FC	28	16	6	6	52	32	54
4	Daegu FC	28	15	7	6	55	38	52
5	Busan I Park	29	14	6	9	47	37	48
6	Hwaseong FC	29	12	9	8	44	32	45
7	Chungnam Asan FC	28	10	9	9	36	32	39
8	Gimpo FC	28	9	11	8	36	34	38
9	Gyeongnam FC	28	8	11	9	32	34	35
10	Chungbuk Cheongju	29	6	14	9	35	47	32
11	Seongnam FC	28	7	10	11	30	37	31
12	Paju Frontier FC	28	8	7	13	27	34	31
13	Yongin FC	28	6	12	10	34	41	30
14	Cheonan City	28	6	11	11	34	38	29
15	Ansan Greeners FC	29	7	4	18	33	56	25
16	Jeonnam Dragons	28	5	9	14	33	50	24
17	Gimhae FC 2008	28	3	8	17	24	57	17

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chungbuk Cheongju	Paju Frontier FC
Daegu FC	1-3 L	0-0 D
Seongnam FC	3-1 W	2-1 W
Seoul E-Land FC	0-2 L	1-1 D
Hwaseong FC	1-2 L	1-1 D
Gyeongnam FC	1-1 D	0-1 L
Jeonnam Dragons	2-1 W	2-1 W
Gimpo FC	0-3 L	1-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Paju Frontier FC (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chungbuk Cheongju

LWDLLWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Yongin FC South Korea K League 2	0-1	0-2	7	2	L
17/10	Daegu FC South Korea K League 2	1-1	1-3	7	2	L
09/10	Seongnam FC South Korea K League 2	1-0	3-1	0	2	W
20/09	Ansan Greeners FC South Korea K League 2	1-1	3-2	5	3	W
12/09	Chungnam Asan FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
04/09	Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2	0-2	0-2	2	2	L
29/08	Hwaseong FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-2	4	5	L
23/08	Gyeongnam FC South Korea K League 2	1-1	1-1	5	4	D
15/08	Jeonnam Dragons South Korea K League 2	0-0	2-1	3	1	W
07/08	Gimpo FC South Korea K League 2	0-2	0-3	4	2	L

Paju Frontier FC

WLWDLDWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Hwaseong FC South Korea K League 2	0-1	1-1	2	1	D
17/10	Gimpo FC South Korea K League 2	1-1	1-4	4	2	L
10/10	Busan I Park South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
20/09	Gimhae FC 2008 South Korea K League 2	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
04/09	Daegu FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
29/08	Gyeongnam FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
23/08	Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-1	4	8	D
16/08	Seongnam FC South Korea K League 2	0-1	2-1	7	1	W
08/08	Suwon FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
02/08	Jeonnam Dragons South Korea K League 2	0-0	2-1	6	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chungbuk Cheongju vs Paju Frontier FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Chungbuk Cheongju win (43%). Probabilities: Chungbuk Cheongju 43%, draw 29%, Paju Frontier FC 28%.

How many goals are expected in Chungbuk Cheongju vs Paju Frontier FC?

The model expects 2.4 goals (Chungbuk Cheongju 1.36 · Paju Frontier FC 1.05), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Chungbuk Cheongju vs Paju Frontier FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.