Football · South Korea K League 2 · 24/10, 07:00

Prediction: Jeonnam Dragons vs Daegu FC

Team pages: Jeonnam Dragons · Daegu FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.16Total

Jeonnam Dragons1.16

Daegu FC2

1X2

21% 24% 56%

Jeonnam Dragons Draw Daegu FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Jeonnam Dragons 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLLWWDDLWL

Daegu FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWDWDWLW

Head-to-head

Jeonnam Dragons 1–5 Daegu FC (6 last)

Daegu FC4-2Jeonnam Dragons
Daegu FC3-4Jeonnam Dragons
Jeonnam Dragons0-1Daegu FC
Jeonnam Dragons1-2Daegu FC
Jeonnam Dragons1-2Daegu FC
Daegu FC2-1Jeonnam Dragons

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jeonnam Dragons 1471 · Daegu FC 1537

	Jeonnam Dragons	Draw	Daegu FC
Our model	21%	23%	56%
Market	21%	24%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daegu FC (rating 1471 vs 1537).
H2H favours Daegu FC: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Jeonnam Dragons	Daegu FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.5	1.5 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.1	2.6 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

14.33

X3.80

21.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)2.02

2 (-0.75)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.33 → 4.33	Pinn 4.54
X	3.80 → 3.80	Pinn 4.49 ★
2	1.60 → 1.60	Pinn 1.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 5.8%

Time*	1	X	2
03:05 +1’	4.33	3.80	1.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:58 +26’	4.31	4.27	1.63
10:45 +53’	4.38▲	4.33▲	1.65▲
08:29 +35’	4.48▲	4.44▲	1.62▼
07:03 +2’	4.54▲	4.49▲	1.63▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Jeonnam Dragons 1–0–5 Daegu FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 South Korea K League 2	Daegu FC	4-2 HT 2-2	Jeonnam Dragons
11/12/21 South Korea Cup	Daegu FC	3-4 HT 1-2	Jeonnam Dragons
24/11/21 South Korea Cup	Jeonnam Dragons	0-1 HT 0-1	Daegu FC
24/11/18 South Korea K League 1	Jeonnam Dragons	1-2 HT 0-1	Daegu FC
31/10/18 South Korea Cup	Jeonnam Dragons	1-2 HT 0-2	Daegu FC
20/10/18 South Korea K League 1	Daegu FC	2-1 HT 0-0	Jeonnam Dragons

Standings · South Korea K League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Suwon Bluewings	27	18	5	4	46	23	59
2	Suwon FC	27	15	9	3	53	30	54
3	Seoul E-Land FC	28	16	6	6	52	32	54
4	Daegu FC	27	14	7	6	51	36	49
5	Busan I Park	28	13	6	9	44	36	45
6	Hwaseong FC	28	12	8	8	43	31	44
7	Gimpo FC	27	9	11	7	35	32	38
8	Chungnam Asan FC	27	9	9	9	35	32	36
9	Gyeongnam FC	27	8	11	8	31	31	35
10	Chungbuk Cheongju	28	6	14	8	35	45	32
11	Seongnam FC	27	7	10	10	30	35	31
12	Paju Frontier FC	27	8	6	13	26	33	30
13	Yongin FC	27	5	12	10	32	41	27
14	Cheonan City	27	5	11	11	31	37	26
15	Ansan Greeners FC	28	7	4	17	32	53	25
16	Jeonnam Dragons	27	5	9	13	31	46	24
17	Gimhae FC 2008	27	2	8	17	22	56	14

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Jeonnam Dragons	Daegu FC
Busan I Park	1-2 L	1-1 D
Yongin FC	2-1 W	3-1 W
Suwon FC	0-3 L	1-2 L
Hwaseong FC	1-0 W	1-5 L
Chungbuk Cheongju	1-2 L	3-1 W
Paju Frontier FC	1-2 L	0-0 D
Gyeongnam FC	1-1 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Daegu FC (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jeonnam Dragons

DLLWWDDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Busan I Park South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-2	4	2	L
10/10	Yongin FC South Korea K League 2	1-0	2-1	6	2	W
19/09	Suwon FC South Korea K League 2	0-1	0-3	2	5	L
13/09	Gimpo FC South Korea K League 2	1-1	2-2	2	4	D
05/09	Gimhae FC 2008 South Korea K League 2	2-2	2-2	9	4	D
28/08	Cheonan City South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-0	0	2	W
23/08	Hwaseong FC South Korea K League 2	1-0	1-0	1	2	W
15/08	Chungbuk Cheongju South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-2	2	1	L
02/08	Paju Frontier FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-2	2	4	L
25/07	Gyeongnam FC South Korea K League 2	1-0	1-1	3	2	D

Daegu FC

LLWWDWDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Chungbuk Cheongju South Korea K League 2	1-1	3-1	8	2	W
19/09	Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2	1-1	1-2	8	4	L
12/09	Yongin FC South Korea K League 2	1-0	3-1	4	1	W
04/09	Paju Frontier FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
28/08	Ansan Greeners FC South Korea K League 2	0-1	2-1	4	3	W
22/08	Busan I Park South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-1	6	1	D
16/08	Chungnam Asan FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	2-0	6	3	W
07/08	Gyeongnam FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
01/08	Hwaseong FC South Korea K League 2	0-3	1-5	7	5	L
25/07	Suwon FC South Korea K League 2	0-2	1-2	11	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jeonnam Dragons vs Daegu FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Daegu FC win (56%). Probabilities: Jeonnam Dragons 21%, draw 24%, Daegu FC 56%.

How many goals are expected in Jeonnam Dragons vs Daegu FC?

The model expects 3.16 goals (Jeonnam Dragons 1.16 · Daegu FC 2), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Jeonnam Dragons vs Daegu FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.