Football · Norway Division 3 Group 3 · 24/10, 15:00
Prediction: Fyllingsdalen vs Vard Haugesund
Team pages: Fyllingsdalen · Vard Haugesund
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.55Total
Fyllingsdalen1.77
Vard Haugesund2.78
1X2
Fyllingsdalen
Draw
Vard Haugesund
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
1-2 7%
Recent form · 10 last
Fyllingsdalen
0-0-10 (W-D-L)
Vard Haugesund
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fyllingsdalen
1–2–3
Vard Haugesund
(6 last)
- Vard Haugesund6-2Fyllingsdalen
- Vard Haugesund6-1Fyllingsdalen
- Fyllingsdalen4-1Vard Haugesund
- Vard Haugesund2-0Fyllingsdalen
- Fyllingsdalen1-1Vard Haugesund
- Fyllingsdalen1-1Vard Haugesund
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vard Haugesund (rating 1360 vs 1567).
- H2H favours Vard Haugesund: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fyllingsdalen | Vard Haugesund | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 3.8 | 3.3 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.5 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/20/80% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 2 | 2 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fyllingsdalen 1–2–3 Vard Haugesund
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Norway Division 3 Group 3 | Vard Haugesund | 6-2 HT 2-1 | Fyllingsdalen |
| 21/09/19 Norway Division 3 Group 4 | Vard Haugesund | 6-1 HT 3-0 | Fyllingsdalen |
| 01/06/19 Norway Division 3 Group 4 | Fyllingsdalen | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Vard Haugesund |
| 20/08/16 Norway Division 2 Group 3 | Vard Haugesund | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Fyllingsdalen |
| 07/05/16 Norway Division 2 Group 3 | Fyllingsdalen | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Vard Haugesund |
| 24/10/15 Norway Division 2 Group 3 | Fyllingsdalen | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Vard Haugesund |
Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 3
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Os | 24 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 81 | 40 | 55 |
| 2 | Djerv 1919 | 24 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 62 | 31 | 53 |
| 3 | Fana | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 68 | 46 | 44 |
| 4 | Vard Haugesund | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 65 | 44 | 44 |
| 5 | Askøy | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 41 | 32 | 43 |
| 6 | Brann 2 | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 55 | 44 | 37 |
| 7 | Austevoll | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 46 | 52 | 37 |
| 8 | Førde | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 44 | 54 | 31 |
| 9 | Sogndal 2 | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 62 | 54 | 30 |
| 10 | Stord | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 49 | 62 | 27 |
| 11 | Varegg | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 38 | 49 | 23 |
| 12 | Åsane Fotball 2 | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 58 | 22 |
| 13 | Gneist | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 41 | 72 | 18 |
| 14 | Fyllingsdalen | 24 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 20 | 76 | 6 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fyllingsdalen | Vard Haugesund |
|---|---|---|
| Fana | 1-4 L | 3-2 W |
| Os | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Førde | 2-6 L | 9-0 W |
| Stord | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Brann 2 | 0-7 L | 4-4 D |
| Sogndal 2 | 0-7 L | 4-2 W |
| Austevoll | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Djerv 1919 | 0-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 8 L | 4 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Vard Haugesund (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fyllingsdalen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Fana Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-2 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 10/10 | Os Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/10 | Førde Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-2 | 2-6 | – | – | L |
| 26/09 | Stord Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 21/09 | Brann 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-2 | 0-7 | – | – | L |
| 12/09 | Gneist Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 05/09 | Sogndal 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-3 | 0-7 | – | – | L |
| 30/08 | Austevoll Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Djerv 1919 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 08/08 | Varegg Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-1 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
Vard Haugesund
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Askøy Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-2 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 10/10 | Åsane Fotball 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
4-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 03/10 | Stord Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/09 | Fana Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
2-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 19/09 | Sogndal 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-0 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 12/09 | Førde Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
3-0 | 9-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/09 | Brann 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | Os Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Austevoll Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 08/08 | Djerv 1919 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fyllingsdalen vs Vard Haugesund?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Vard Haugesund win (59%). Probabilities: Fyllingsdalen 23%, draw 19%, Vard Haugesund 59%.
How many goals are expected in Fyllingsdalen vs Vard Haugesund?
The model expects 4.55 goals (Fyllingsdalen 1.77 · Vard Haugesund 2.78), with a 52% chance of under 4.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Fyllingsdalen vs Vard Haugesund?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.