Football · Norway Division 3 Group 3 · 01/11, 12:00

Prediction: Vard Haugesund vs Varegg

Team pages: Vard Haugesund · Varegg

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.4Total

Vard Haugesund2.69

Varegg1.71

1X2

58% 19% 23%

Vard Haugesund Draw Varegg

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Vard Haugesund 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LLDWWWWWWW

Varegg 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Vard Haugesund 0–1–0 Varegg (1 last)

Varegg1-1Vard Haugesund

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vard Haugesund (rating 1576 vs 1485).
Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vard Haugesund	Varegg
Goals for / against (FT)	3.6 / 1.7	2.1 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 1	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5	1 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 41.78

Under 41.93

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 4.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:05

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.62 → 1.62	Pinn 1.62
X	7.72 → 7.72	Pinn 7.72
2	2.71 → 2.71	Pinn 2.71

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
01:45 +21’	1.62	7.72	2.71

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Vard Haugesund 0–1–0 Varegg

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/06/26 Norway Division 3 Group 3	Varegg	1-1 HT 0-0	Vard Haugesund

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 3

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Os	25	19	1	5	85	42	58
2	Djerv 1919	25	17	5	3	67	31	56
3	Vard Haugesund	25	14	5	6	69	45	47
4	Fana	25	14	2	9	68	51	44
5	Askøy	25	12	7	6	43	35	43
6	Brann 2	25	11	7	7	58	46	40
7	Austevoll	25	10	7	8	49	56	37
8	Stord	26	8	9	9	57	67	33
9	Førde	25	9	4	12	47	58	31
10	Sogndal 2	26	9	3	14	66	61	30
11	Varegg	25	7	5	13	42	52	26
12	Åsane Fotball 2	25	6	7	12	45	60	25
13	Gneist	25	5	3	17	43	76	18
14	Fyllingsdalen	25	1	3	21	21	80	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vard Haugesund	Varegg
Åsane Fotball 2	5-1 W	1-3 L
Stord	2-1 W	2-3 L
Sogndal 2	4-2 W	2-0 W
Førde	9-0 W	4-3 W
Brann 2	4-4 D	2-1 W
Os	1-2 L	4-2 W
Austevoll	1-2 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vard Haugesund

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Fyllingsdalen Norway Division 3 Group 3	0-1	4-1	–	–	W
17/10	Askøy Norway Division 3 Group 3	1-2	3-2	–	–	W
10/10	Åsane Fotball 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3	4-0	5-1	5	0	W
03/10	Stord Norway Division 3 Group 3	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
26/09	Fana Norway Division 3 Group 3	2-0	3-2	–	–	W
19/09	Sogndal 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3	1-0	4-2	–	–	W
12/09	Førde Norway Division 3 Group 3	3-0	9-0	–	–	W
06/09	Brann 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3	1-3	4-4	6	4	D
30/08	Os Norway Division 3 Group 3	0-1	1-2	4	2	L
15/08	Austevoll Norway Division 3 Group 3	0-2	1-2	–	–	L

Varegg

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Førde Norway Division 3 Group 3	1-2	4-3	–	–	W
19/10	Åsane Fotball 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3	1-0	1-3	3	2	L
10/10	Stord Norway Division 3 Group 3	2-2	2-3	7	3	L
03/10	Brann 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
26/09	Os Norway Division 3 Group 3	0-1	4-2	2	2	W
19/09	Gneist Norway Division 3 Group 3	0-0	2-2	–	–	D
12/09	Sogndal 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3	0-0	2-0	1	4	W
05/09	Austevoll Norway Division 3 Group 3	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
30/08	Djerv 1919 Norway Division 3 Group 3	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
18/08	Sogndal 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3	1-1	1-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vard Haugesund vs Varegg?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vard Haugesund win (58%). Probabilities: Vard Haugesund 58%, draw 19%, Varegg 23%.

How many goals are expected in Vard Haugesund vs Varegg?

The model expects 4.4 goals (Vard Haugesund 2.69 · Varegg 1.71), with a 54% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Vard Haugesund vs Varegg?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.