Football · Norway Division 3 Group 3 · 24/10, 15:00
Prediction: Varegg vs Førde
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.32Total
Varegg2.33
Førde1.99
1X2
Varegg
Draw
Førde
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
2-1 7%
Recent form · 10 last
Varegg
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Førde
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Varegg
2–2–1
Førde
(5 last)
- Førde3-1Varegg
- Varegg0-0Førde
- Førde2-2Varegg
- Varegg4-2Førde
- Førde3-5Varegg
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Varegg: 2-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Varegg | Førde | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2.1 | 2.1 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 1 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.8 / 3.2 | 1 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Varegg 2–2–1 Førde
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Norway Division 3 Group 3 | Førde | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Varegg |
| 15/09/18 Norway Division 3 Group 4 | Varegg | 0-0 | Førde |
| 26/05/18 Norway Division 3 Group 4 | Førde | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Varegg |
| 21/10/17 Norway Division 3 Group 4 | Varegg | 4-2 | Førde |
| 09/07/17 Norway Division 3 Group 4 | Førde | 3-5 HT 2-1 | Varegg |
Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 3
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Os | 24 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 81 | 40 | 55 |
| 2 | Djerv 1919 | 24 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 62 | 31 | 53 |
| 3 | Fana | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 68 | 46 | 44 |
| 4 | Vard Haugesund | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 65 | 44 | 44 |
| 5 | Askøy | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 41 | 32 | 43 |
| 6 | Brann 2 | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 55 | 44 | 37 |
| 7 | Austevoll | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 46 | 52 | 37 |
| 8 | Førde | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 44 | 54 | 31 |
| 9 | Sogndal 2 | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 62 | 54 | 30 |
| 10 | Stord | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 49 | 62 | 27 |
| 11 | Varegg | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 38 | 49 | 23 |
| 12 | Åsane Fotball 2 | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 58 | 22 |
| 13 | Gneist | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 41 | 72 | 18 |
| 14 | Fyllingsdalen | 24 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 20 | 76 | 6 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Varegg | Førde |
|---|---|---|
| Åsane Fotball 2 | 1-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Stord | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Brann 2 | 2-1 W | 7-0 W |
| Os | 4-2 W | 0-2 L |
| Gneist | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Austevoll | 2-2 D | 2-3 L |
| Djerv 1919 | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Førde (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Varegg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Åsane Fotball 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 10/10 | Stord Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
2-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 03/10 | Brann 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/09 | Os Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-1 | 4-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | Gneist Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 12/09 | Sogndal 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Austevoll Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 30/08 | Djerv 1919 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/08 | Sogndal 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | Askøy Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
Førde
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Djerv 1919 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 10/10 | Austevoll Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-3 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 03/10 | Fyllingsdalen Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
2-1 | 6-2 | – | – | W |
| 26/09 | Åsane Fotball 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 19/09 | Fana Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-0 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 12/09 | Vard Haugesund Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-3 | 0-9 | – | – | L |
| 05/09 | Os Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 30/08 | Stord Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 15/08 | Gneist Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Brann 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
3-0 | 7-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Varegg vs Førde?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Varegg win (46%). Probabilities: Varegg 46%, draw 21%, Førde 33%.
How many goals are expected in Varegg vs Førde?
The model expects 4.32 goals (Varegg 2.33 · Førde 1.99), with a 51% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Varegg vs Førde?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.