Football · Norway Division 3 Group 3 · 19/09, 14:00

Prediction: Sogndal 2 vs Vard Haugesund

Team pages: Sogndal 2 · Vard Haugesund

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.37Total

Sogndal 22.36

Vard Haugesund2.01

1X2

46% 21% 33%

Sogndal 2 Draw Vard Haugesund

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-2 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Sogndal 2 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLDDDLWLWL

Vard Haugesund 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WLDDLLLLDW

Head-to-head

Sogndal 2 0–1–2 Vard Haugesund (3 last)

Vard Haugesund4-4Sogndal 2
Vard Haugesund6-0Sogndal 2
Sogndal 21-2Vard Haugesund

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Vard Haugesund: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sogndal 2	Vard Haugesund
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 2.4	2.3 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.8 / 3.2	3.8 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	2.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 41.81

Under 41.90

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 4.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:24

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.54 → 3.54	Pinn 3.54
X	4.13 → 4.13	Pinn 4.13
2	1.66 → 1.66	Pinn 1.66

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
03:12 +133’	3.54	4.13	1.66

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sogndal 2 0–1–2 Vard Haugesund

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/07/26 Norway Division 3 Group 3	Vard Haugesund	4-4 HT 1-1	Sogndal 2
10/08/19 Norway Division 3 Group 4	Vard Haugesund	6-0 HT 1-0	Sogndal 2
27/04/19 Norway Division 3 Group 4	Sogndal 2	1-2 HT 0-0	Vard Haugesund

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 3

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Os	19	15	0	4	69	33	45
2	Djerv 1919	20	12	5	3	51	29	41
3	Askøy	19	11	6	2	35	21	39
4	Fana	19	10	2	7	51	40	32
5	Brann 2	19	8	6	5	42	39	30
6	Vard Haugesund	19	8	5	6	48	36	29
7	Sogndal 2	19	8	3	8	51	37	27
8	Austevoll	19	7	6	6	37	44	27
9	Førde	19	8	3	8	33	41	27
10	Åsane Fotball 2	19	4	6	9	32	42	18
11	Stord	20	3	9	8	38	55	18
12	Gneist	19	5	2	12	34	54	17
13	Varegg	19	4	4	11	27	38	16
14	Fyllingsdalen	19	1	3	15	16	55	6

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sogndal 2	Vard Haugesund
Varegg	0-2 L	1-1 D
Førde	3-3 D	9-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Vard Haugesund (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sogndal 2

LLDDDLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Varegg Norway Division 3 Group 3	0-0	0-2	4	4	L
05/09	Fyllingsdalen Norway Division 3 Group 3	3-0	7-0	–	–	W
31/08	Åsane Fotball 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3	2-2	3-4	9	4	L
18/08	Varegg Norway Division 3 Group 3	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
15/08	Fana Norway Division 3 Group 3	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
10/08	Askøy Norway Division 3 Group 3	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
03/08	Førde Norway Division 3 Group 3	0-2	3-3	–	–	D
27/07	Vard Haugesund Norway Division 3 Group 3	1-1	4-4	0	2	D
27/06	Stord Norway Division 3 Group 3	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
22/06	Fana Norway Division 3 Group 3	1-3	2-5	0	1	L

Vard Haugesund

WLDDLLLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Førde Norway Division 3 Group 3	3-0	9-0	–	–	W
06/09	Brann 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3	1-3	4-4	6	4	D
30/08	Os Norway Division 3 Group 3	0-1	1-2	4	2	L
15/08	Austevoll Norway Division 3 Group 3	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
08/08	Djerv 1919 Norway Division 3 Group 3	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
01/08	Gneist Norway Division 3 Group 3	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
27/07	Sogndal 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3	1-1	4-4	10	2	D
28/06	Varegg Norway Division 3 Group 3	0-0	1-1	10	1	D
20/06	Austevoll Norway Division 3 Group 3	0-0	0-3	5	3	L
13/06	Førde Norway Division 3 Group 3	0-0	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sogndal 2 vs Vard Haugesund?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sogndal 2 win (46%). Probabilities: Sogndal 2 46%, draw 21%, Vard Haugesund 33%.

How many goals are expected in Sogndal 2 vs Vard Haugesund?

The model expects 4.37 goals (Sogndal 2 2.36 · Vard Haugesund 2.01), with a 53% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Sogndal 2 vs Vard Haugesund?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.