Prediction: Varegg vs Os
- Os4-0Varegg
- Varegg2-1Os
- Os0-2Varegg
| Varegg | Draw | Os | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 18% | 18% | 64% |
| Market | 18% | 18% | 64% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Os (rating 1491 vs 1590).
- H2H favours Varegg: 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Varegg | Os | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.9 | 3.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 1.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 90/10/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.5 / 2 | 2.8 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Varegg 2–0–1 Os
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/26 Norway Division 3 Group 3 | Os | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Varegg |
| 26/08/17 Norway Division 3 Group 4 | Varegg | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Os |
| 13/05/17 Norway Division 3 Group 4 | Os | 0-2 | Varegg |
Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 3
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Os | 20 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 72 | 35 | 48 |
| 2 | Askøy | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 22 | 42 |
| 3 | Djerv 1919 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 51 | 29 | 41 |
| 4 | Fana | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 54 | 40 | 35 |
| 5 | Brann 2 | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 49 | 39 | 33 |
| 6 | Vard Haugesund | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 52 | 38 | 32 |
| 7 | Sogndal 2 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 53 | 41 | 27 |
| 8 | Austevoll | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 47 | 27 |
| 9 | Førde | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 33 | 44 | 27 |
| 10 | Åsane Fotball 2 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 45 | 18 |
| 11 | Stord | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 38 | 55 | 18 |
| 12 | Gneist | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 36 | 56 | 18 |
| 13 | Varegg | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 40 | 17 |
| 14 | Fyllingsdalen | 20 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 62 | 6 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Varegg | Os |
|---|---|---|
| Austevoll | 2-2 D | 5-1 W |
| Fana | 4-2 W | 2-3 L |
| Vard Haugesund | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Os (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Varegg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Gneist Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 12/09 | Sogndal 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Austevoll Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 30/08 | Djerv 1919 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/08 | Sogndal 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | Askøy Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | Fyllingsdalen Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/08 | Fana Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
2-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 26/07 | Os Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 28/06 | Vard Haugesund Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
Os
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Åsane Fotball 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
2-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 12/09 | Fana Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Førde Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/08 | Vard Haugesund Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 17/08 | Brann 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 08/08 | Stord Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
3-1 | 8-2 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | Austevoll Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/07 | Varegg Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 25/06 | Åsane Fotball 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
2-1 | 5-3 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | Brann 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
4-1 | 5-2 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Varegg vs Os?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Os win (64%). Probabilities: Varegg 18%, draw 18%, Os 64%.
How many goals are expected in Varegg vs Os?
The model expects 4.13 goals (Varegg 1.43 · Os 2.71), with a 51% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Varegg vs Os?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.