Football · Norway Division 3 Group 3 · 26/09, 14:00
Prediction: Fyllingsdalen vs Stord
Team pages: Fyllingsdalen · Stord
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.06Total
Fyllingsdalen1.96
Stord2.1
1X2
Fyllingsdalen
Draw
Stord
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Fyllingsdalen
0-1-9 (W-D-L)
Stord
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fyllingsdalen
3–1–2
Stord
(6 last)
- Stord2-2Fyllingsdalen
- Stord4-2Fyllingsdalen
- Fyllingsdalen1-3Stord
- Stord1-5Fyllingsdalen
- Fyllingsdalen3-2Stord
- Stord1-2Fyllingsdalen
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stord (rating 1381 vs 1457).
- H2H favours Fyllingsdalen: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fyllingsdalen | Stord | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 3.2 | 1.8 / 2.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 1.1 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/40/60% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.5 / 2.5 | 2 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fyllingsdalen 3–1–2 Stord
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/26 Norway Division 3 Group 3 | Stord | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Fyllingsdalen |
| 09/09/23 Norway Division 3 Group 3 | Stord | 4-2 HT 2-2 | Fyllingsdalen |
| 06/05/23 Norway Division 3 Group 3 | Fyllingsdalen | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Stord |
| 18/09/21 Norway Division 3 Group 4 | Stord | 1-5 | Fyllingsdalen |
| 10/08/19 Norway Division 3 Group 4 | Fyllingsdalen | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Stord |
| 25/05/19 Norway Division 3 Group 4 | Stord | 1-2 | Fyllingsdalen |
Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 3
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Os | 20 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 72 | 35 | 48 |
| 2 | Askøy | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 22 | 42 |
| 3 | Djerv 1919 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 51 | 29 | 41 |
| 4 | Fana | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 54 | 40 | 35 |
| 5 | Brann 2 | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 49 | 39 | 33 |
| 6 | Vard Haugesund | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 52 | 38 | 32 |
| 7 | Sogndal 2 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 53 | 41 | 27 |
| 8 | Austevoll | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 47 | 27 |
| 9 | Førde | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 33 | 44 | 27 |
| 10 | Åsane Fotball 2 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 45 | 18 |
| 11 | Stord | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 38 | 55 | 18 |
| 12 | Gneist | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 36 | 56 | 18 |
| 13 | Varegg | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 40 | 17 |
| 14 | Fyllingsdalen | 20 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 62 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fyllingsdalen | Stord |
|---|---|---|
| Brann 2 | 0-7 L | 1-1 D |
| Sogndal 2 | 0-7 L | 2-0 W |
| Djerv 1919 | 0-3 L | 3-4 L |
| Varegg | 0-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Askøy | 0-1 L | 3-3 D |
| Åsane Fotball 2 | 2-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 6 L | 1 W 4 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Stord (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fyllingsdalen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Brann 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-2 | 0-7 | – | – | L |
| 12/09 | Gneist Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 05/09 | Sogndal 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-3 | 0-7 | – | – | L |
| 30/08 | Austevoll Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Djerv 1919 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 08/08 | Varegg Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-1 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | Askøy Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 26/07 | Åsane Fotball 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 25/06 | Austevoll Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 20/06 | Djerv 1919 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Stord
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Djerv 1919 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
3-1 | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 12/09 | Askøy Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
2-2 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 05/09 | Fana Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
3-4 | 3-5 | – | – | L |
| 30/08 | Førde Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 17/08 | Åsane Fotball 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 08/08 | Os Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-3 | 2-8 | – | – | L |
| 03/08 | Brann 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Askøy Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-2 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 27/06 | Sogndal 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/06 | Varegg Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fyllingsdalen vs Stord?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Stord win (42%). Probabilities: Fyllingsdalen 36%, draw 22%, Stord 42%.
How many goals are expected in Fyllingsdalen vs Stord?
The model expects 4.06 goals (Fyllingsdalen 1.96 · Stord 2.1), with a 53% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Fyllingsdalen vs Stord?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.