Football · Norway Division 3 Group 3 · 17/10, 14:00
Prediction: Stord vs Gneist
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.38Total
Stord2.56
Gneist1.83
1X2
Stord
Draw
Gneist
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
2-1 7%
Recent form · 10 last
Stord
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Gneist
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Stord
1–0
Gneist
(1 last)
- Gneist3-4Stord
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stord (rating 1488 vs 1433).
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Stord | Gneist | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 2.9 | 1.3 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.6 / 1.6 | 0.4 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 10/20/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5 | 1.3 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 2.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stord 1–0–0 Gneist
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Norway Division 3 Group 3 | Gneist | 3-4 HT 2-2 | Stord |
Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 3
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Os | 23 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 76 | 39 | 52 |
| 2 | Djerv 1919 | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 59 | 30 | 50 |
| 3 | Askøy | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 39 | 29 | 43 |
| 4 | Vard Haugesund | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 62 | 42 | 41 |
| 5 | Fana | 23 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 64 | 45 | 41 |
| 6 | Brann 2 | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 54 | 43 | 36 |
| 7 | Austevoll | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 51 | 36 |
| 8 | Førde | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 43 | 51 | 31 |
| 9 | Sogndal 2 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 61 | 49 | 30 |
| 10 | Stord | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 44 | 60 | 24 |
| 11 | Varegg | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 37 | 46 | 23 |
| 12 | Åsane Fotball 2 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 39 | 57 | 19 |
| 13 | Gneist | 23 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 39 | 67 | 18 |
| 14 | Fyllingsdalen | 23 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 72 | 6 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Stord | Gneist |
|---|---|---|
| Varegg | 3-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Vard Haugesund | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Fyllingsdalen | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Djerv 1919 | 3-4 L | 0-5 L |
| Askøy | 3-3 D | 0-2 L |
| Fana | 3-5 L | 0-4 L |
| Førde | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Åsane Fotball 2 | 2-2 D | 3-3 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Stord (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stord
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Varegg Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
2-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 03/10 | Vard Haugesund Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/09 | Fyllingsdalen Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/09 | Djerv 1919 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
3-1 | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 12/09 | Askøy Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
2-2 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 05/09 | Fana Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
3-4 | 3-5 | – | – | L |
| 30/08 | Førde Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 17/08 | Åsane Fotball 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 08/08 | Os Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-3 | 2-8 | – | – | L |
| 03/08 | Brann 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
Gneist
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Sogndal 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-2 | 3-5 | – | – | L |
| 03/10 | Djerv 1919 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 26/09 | Austevoll Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 19/09 | Varegg Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 12/09 | Fyllingsdalen Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 07/09 | Asane Fotball 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 30/08 | Askøy Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | Førde Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Fana Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-2 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | Vard Haugesund Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stord vs Gneist?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Stord win (53%). Probabilities: Stord 53%, draw 20%, Gneist 27%.
How many goals are expected in Stord vs Gneist?
The model expects 4.38 goals (Stord 2.56 · Gneist 1.83), with a 53% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Stord vs Gneist?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.