Football · Norway Division 2 Group 1 · 16/08, 14:00

Prediction: Sandviken vs Jerv

Team pages: Sandviken · Jerv

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.66Total

Sandviken1.44

Jerv2.22

1X2

23% 24% 53%

Sandviken Draw Jerv

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

Sandviken 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WDLWLLLWLL

Jerv 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWDWWWLLW

Head-to-head

Sandviken 2–1 Jerv (3 last)

Jerv2-1Sandviken
Sandviken2-1Jerv
Jerv1-2Sandviken

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sandviken 1461 · Jerv 1549

	Sandviken	Draw	Jerv
Our model	24%	22%	54%
Market	22%	26%	53%

Estimated total (ours) 3.66 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jerv (rating 1461 vs 1549).
H2H favours Sandviken: 2-0-1.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sandviken	Jerv
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 2.6	2.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1.2	0.9 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.9	3.3 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.1	3.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

14.10

X3.50

21.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.90

2 (-0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.10 → 4.10	Pinn 4.50
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 4.11 ★
2	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
18:44 +7’	4.10	3.50	1.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:50 +1’	4.50	4.11	1.59

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sandviken 2–0–1 Jerv

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/06/26 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Jerv	2-1 HT 1-1	Sandviken
11/10/25 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Sandviken	2-1 HT 1-0	Jerv
21/04/25 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Jerv	1-2 HT 0-2	Sandviken

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Jerv	15	11	2	2	32	15	35
2	Brattvåg	16	10	2	4	32	16	32
3	Mjondalen	16	10	2	4	30	20	32
4	Kvik Halden FK	16	9	3	4	28	19	30
5	Notodden	16	8	3	5	22	14	27
6	Træff	15	7	4	4	28	23	25
7	Bjarg	15	8	1	6	26	23	25
8	Sotra	15	7	3	5	30	15	24
9	Arendal	16	5	5	6	23	25	20
10	Pors Grenland	15	5	4	6	17	20	19
11	Sandviken	15	4	2	9	21	33	14
12	Lysekloster	16	3	5	8	18	32	14
13	Vidar	16	1	3	12	14	44	6
14	Eik Tønsberg	16	1	1	14	17	39	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sandviken	Jerv
Notodden	0-1 L	0-0 D
Kvik Halden FK	4-5 L	2-1 W
Lysekloster	2-3 L	1-2 L
Brattvåg	1-0 W	2-1 W
Træff	4-2 W	2-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Jerv (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sandviken

WDLWLLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Notodden Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-1	0-1	6	3	L
01/08	Kvik Halden FK Norway Division 2 Group 1	3-3	4-5	12	5	L
25/07	Eik Tønsberg Norway Division 2 Group 1	2-1	6-5	6	6	W
27/06	Notodden Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-2	0-4	3	4	L
20/06	Lysekloster Norway Division 2 Group 1	2-1	2-3	2	7	L
14/06	Jerv Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-1	1-2	3	0	L
31/05	Brattvåg Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-0	1-0	6	9	W
23/05	Mjondalen Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-2	0-4	4	2	L
16/05	Kvik Halden FK Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
10/05	Træff Norway Division 2 Group 1	2-1	4-2	2	3	W

Jerv

WWWDWWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Vidar Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-0	4-0	8	5	W
02/08	Træff Norway Division 2 Group 1	2-2	2-3	6	4	L
26/07	Lysekloster Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-1	1-2	12	2	L
28/06	Sotra Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-1	3-1	3	7	W
21/06	Brattvåg Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-1	2-1	8	3	W
14/06	Sandviken Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-1	2-1	9	0	W
31/05	Notodden Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
23/05	Kvik Halden FK Norway Division 2 Group 1	2-1	2-1	6	4	W
16/05	Arendal Norway Division 2 Group 1	0-1	2-1	7	4	W
10/05	Bjarg Norway Division 2 Group 1	1-1	3-1	2	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sandviken vs Jerv?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Jerv win (53%). Probabilities: Sandviken 23%, draw 24%, Jerv 53%.

How many goals are expected in Sandviken vs Jerv?

The model expects 3.66 goals (Sandviken 1.44 · Jerv 2.22), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sandviken vs Jerv?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.